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March Discobs 2024


George BM
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Who wants some more snow?  From this mornings AFD 

Mountain Snow (Thursday/Friday): The first in a series of cold
fronts crosses the area early Wednesday morning, as the base of the
cutoff mid-level low moves across PA/NY. Colder temperatures surge
into the Alleghenies by Wednesday afternoon, causing precip to
transition from rain to snow by Wednesday night. Favorable dynamics
and ample moisture could result in a prolonged period of upslope
mountain snow. Marginal temperatures likely limit accumulations
through Wednesday evening, then better chance for snow to stick
Thursday into Friday. The GFS in particular is much higher than the
other guidance, showing significant snow accumulations late in the
week. At the very least 1-3", possibly up to 4-5", of accumulating
snow is possible at the higher elevations. Light snow could fall as
east as the Blue Ridge/Catoctins
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.17" rain on Wednesday. 2.38" so far in March vs a normal of 3.51".

I will plan to post tomorrow or Monday about dry Marches in my region related to previous winter snowfall.

A 3 model blend gives the higher elevations of W.Va. between Elkins and Snowshoe 9. 7 inches of snow between Wednesday and late Friday.

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1 hour ago, yoda said:

Who wants some more snow?  From this mornings AFD 

Mountain Snow (Thursday/Friday): The first in a series of cold
fronts crosses the area early Wednesday morning, as the base of the
cutoff mid-level low moves across PA/NY. Colder temperatures surge
into the Alleghenies by Wednesday afternoon, causing precip to
transition from rain to snow by Wednesday night. Favorable dynamics
and ample moisture could result in a prolonged period of upslope
mountain snow. Marginal temperatures likely limit accumulations
through Wednesday evening, then better chance for snow to stick
Thursday into Friday. The GFS in particular is much higher than the
other guidance, showing significant snow accumulations late in the
week. At the very least 1-3", possibly up to 4-5", of accumulating
snow is possible at the higher elevations. Light snow could fall as
east as the Blue Ridge/Catoctins

Looks like a miserable stretch of weather incoming this week.

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28 minutes ago, yoda said:

Who wants some more snow?  From this mornings AFD 

Mountain Snow (Thursday/Friday): The first in a series of cold
fronts crosses the area early Wednesday morning, as the base of the
cutoff mid-level low moves across PA/NY. Colder temperatures surge
into the Alleghenies by Wednesday afternoon, causing precip to
transition from rain to snow by Wednesday night. Favorable dynamics
and ample moisture could result in a prolonged period of upslope
mountain snow. Marginal temperatures likely limit accumulations
through Wednesday evening, then better chance for snow to stick
Thursday into Friday. The GFS in particular is much higher than the
other guidance, showing significant snow accumulations late in the
week. At the very least 1-3", possibly up to 4-5", of accumulating
snow is possible at the higher elevations. Light snow could fall as
east as the Blue Ridge/Catoctins

Hard pass. This seems to be a reoccurring theme around here, the pattern we want in jan/feb shows up in march/april. 

I

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3 hours ago, yoda said:

Who wants some more snow?  From this mornings AFD 

Mountain Snow (Thursday/Friday): The first in a series of cold
fronts crosses the area early Wednesday morning, as the base of the
cutoff mid-level low moves across PA/NY. Colder temperatures surge
into the Alleghenies by Wednesday afternoon, causing precip to
transition from rain to snow by Wednesday night. Favorable dynamics
and ample moisture could result in a prolonged period of upslope
mountain snow. Marginal temperatures likely limit accumulations
through Wednesday evening, then better chance for snow to stick
Thursday into Friday. The GFS in particular is much higher than the
other guidance, showing significant snow accumulations late in the
week. At the very least 1-3", possibly up to 4-5", of accumulating
snow is possible at the higher elevations. Light snow could fall as
east as the Blue Ridge/Catoctins

Gross

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4 hours ago, mdhokie said:

Hard pass. This seems to be a reoccurring theme around here, the pattern we want in jan/feb shows up in MarchApril. 

I

The pattern in late week would not benefit us whether it was Jan. or April.  Up-slope snow does not affect areas east of the mts..  We are in a down-slope region.

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Just now, WxUSAF said:

Thunder. Did not expect that.

Same. Glanced outside, happened to see a flash of lightning, and had to check radar to make sure my eyes weren't playing tricks on me.

Sure does seem like we've had a lot more lightning and thunder so far this year as compared to a typical spring. 

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House sitting/dog sitting in Olney and have heard several rumbles so far along with lightning.  Yep, didn't expect that after glancing at the radar a little while ago.  It was somewhat mild/humid today, though.

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Quote

1015 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 NNE Belvedere Heights 39.07N  76.50W
03/30/2024  M43 mph          Anne Arundel       MD   Mesonet         
            A wind gust of 37 knots (43 MPH) was measured by a 
            Tempest station at Spriggs Pond Jetty adjacent to the 
            Chesapeake Bay.

 

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Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1046 PM EDT Sat Mar 30 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Saunders Point Light    38.88N  76.48W
03/30/2024  M62 mph          ANZ532             MD   Buoy

            Wind gusts of up to 54 knots (62 MPH) were measured by
            the Saunders Point Light WeatherFlow sensor (XMTR)
            between 10:30 and 10:40 PM.


&&

Event Number LWX2402888
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Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1043 PM EDT Sat Mar 30 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1029 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     5 ESE Bay Ridge         38.92N  76.36W
03/30/2024  M61 mph          ANZ532             MD   Buoy

            Wind gusts of up to 53 knots (61 MPH) were measured by
            the Kent Island WeatherFlow sensor (XKNT) between 10:29
            and 10:34 PM.


&&

Event Number LWX2402885
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22 hours ago, yoda said:

Who wants some more snow?  From this mornings AFD 

Mountain Snow (Thursday/Friday): The first in a series of cold
fronts crosses the area early Wednesday morning, as the base of the
cutoff mid-level low moves across PA/NY. Colder temperatures surge
into the Alleghenies by Wednesday afternoon, causing precip to
transition from rain to snow by Wednesday night. Favorable dynamics
and ample moisture could result in a prolonged period of upslope
mountain snow. Marginal temperatures likely limit accumulations
through Wednesday evening, then better chance for snow to stick
Thursday into Friday. The GFS in particular is much higher than the
other guidance, showing significant snow accumulations late in the
week. At the very least 1-3", possibly up to 4-5", of accumulating
snow is possible at the higher elevations. Light snow could fall as
east as the Blue Ridge/Catoctins

Was just coming to post that 20 years ago on this day I picked up 1.7 inches. So, not much of a surprise. I've had measurable all the way out to 4/19 or so here. 

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37 minutes ago, 87storms said:


Meandering GL/NE upper level lows are the worst.

Initially the precip will be from disturbances riding along a west to east stalled boundary. By mid week a coastal low will develop. The result will be multiple rounds of rain and  likely 2-3"+ across much of the region. Even the local desert climo areas should do pretty well. Hoping for an underperformer here.

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Initially the precip will be from disturbances riding along a west to east stalled boundary. By mid week a coastal low will develop. The result will be multiple rounds of rain and  likely 2-3"+ across much of the region. Even the local desert climo areas should do pretty well. Hoping for an underperformer here.

Yea I’m ok with the first part of the storm…I just despise the cloudy/breezy/meh weather that those systems can bring as they hang around until the traffic clears.
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