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March 2024 General Discussion


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Lake county added to the WWA. Calling for 1 to 5 inches with the caveat:

...A heavy snow band is expected near, or
  just north of, the Wisconsin state line. If this band shifts
  south, more significant impacts would result.

 

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1 hour ago, mississaugasnow said:

If it can get to 6” or more it hasn’t happened in 20+ years this late in the season 

currently looking at about 3-6” on most models 

4” or more starts to become a once every 5 years or so after March 15th

So this storm if it can deliver is pretty rare for GTA 

Certainly El Niño style end of winter 

Wow weve has several in the last 20+ years. Good luck!

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1 hour ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

P&C was bumped up to 4.1” imby for tonight’s event. NWS must think the heavier band will setup over the twin cities. We shall see. 
 

P&C is at 17” for the Sunday/Monday storm. Shocked it’s that high tbh. Models have been trending more frozen precip today but given the complexity of the setup I think it’ll be a nowcast type of storm. 

I've heard NWS mets frequently say not to add up the point and click, which I never understood lol

 

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50 minutes ago, mnchaserguy said:

I saw that. I’m really surprised none of the WFOs have issued a watch yet.

My guess is they are waiting until after tonight’s snowfall to avoid confusing the public.

37 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

I've heard NWS mets frequently say not to add up the point and click, which I never understood lol

 

Doesn’t make sense to me. My grid forecast for tonight says 3-7” so 4.1” fits nicely in that range.

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37 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Wow weve has several in the last 20+ years. Good luck!

Thanks! Do you have some dates by chance. I enjoy looking to see what could have happened. Most are just bad luck. Buffalo and Detroit get 6.5” Toronto 4.9” 

To the general public that’s not that big of a difference but to us it is haha 

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1 hour ago, mississaugasnow said:

Thanks! Do you have some dates by chance. I enjoy looking to see what could have happened. Most are just bad luck. Buffalo and Detroit get 6.5” Toronto 4.9” 

To the general public that’s not that big of a difference but to us it is haha 

So not as many as I recalled. Quite a few in the 3-5" range but only 2 officially 6+ post Mar 15th since 2000.

7.2"- Apr 5/6, 2009

7.3"- Mar 21/22, 2008

 

I had an 8" storm Mar 25/26, 2002 where DTW only had 4.7" (huge cutoff).

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3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

So not as many as I recalled. Quite a few in the 3-5" range but only 2 officially 6+ post Mar 15th since 2000.

7.2"- Apr 5/6, 2009

7.3"- Mar 21/22, 2008

 

I had an 8" storm Mar 25/26, 2002 where DTW only had 4.7" (huge cutoff).

Looks like you guys are starting to be due as well. That’s 15 years since you’ve seen one. 

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