Wednesday, February 28, 2024 Mild temperatures ahead of a Strong Arctic Cold Front with a Line of Rain and Thunderstorms Associated by Big Bad Wolf howling winds knocking down forests followed by Brief, but chilly Arctic Cold

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

.71 on the way to 2+ it appears 

 

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

.71 on the way to 2+ it appears 

Won’t be much more until this evening. Maybe a batch late morning.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Zzzzz

[Brian5671]

37 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Zzzzz

yeah, yippee some winds to 45 or 50 which this time of year is no big deal

[Torch Tiger]

Waste management with a preemptive takedown in Belmont!

 

20240228_083452.heic

[Damage In Tolland]

Big rips tonight 50-60+ . Wild one ahead 

[weatherwiz]

2-6km lapse rates are pretty steep across the region and ahead of the front. That is a good proxy for mixing down wind. 

NY/PA could get hit pretty good with convective wind gusts. Forecast models showing upwards of 500 J of SBCAPE and even upwards of 250 J of MLCAPE under steep lapse rates. Unfortunately, we lose the instability here but lapse rates remain steep. 

We should easily see widespread 40-50 mph gusts later on with some pockets of 55-65 mph...though obviously difficult to verify if that doesn't happen at any stations. 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

2-6km lapse rates are pretty steep across the region and ahead of the front. That is a good proxy for mixing down wind. 

NY/PA could get hit pretty good with convective wind gusts. Forecast models showing upwards of 500 J of SBCAPE and even upwards of 250 J of MLCAPE under steep lapse rates. Unfortunately, we lose the instability here but lapse rates remain steep. 

We should easily see widespread 40-50 mph gusts later on with some pockets of 55-65 mph...though obviously difficult to verify if that doesn't happen at any stations. 

We wild 

[weatherwiz]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We wild 

The CAA winds tonight are going to crank. 

6z bufkit still showing 50-60 mph across many stations. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Been a while since there was much wind around here, so any dead/weakened branches might come down

[tamarack]

GYX has an hour-by-hour chart of winds for many sites in its CWA, and for our area the strongest winds come with CAA and continue into tomorrow evening.  Only ~40 gusts compared to the 50+ in Dec, but they're from the NW and may pick out some trees partially tipped by the stronger SE winds back then.  Bad winter for the woodlot. 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

 

Won’t be much more until this evening. Maybe a batch late morning.

We pour . Up to .94

[weatherwiz]

I'm kind of hoping a brief EF-0 tornado touches down in my backyard within the line and sucks up all the dog poop and takes it to the nearby woods. It's like walking through a landmine. Need warm weather so I can clean it. 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

50.0° and 0.08" rain total so far. Wind is starting to pick up.

[weatherwiz]

6 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

50.0° and 0.08" rain total so far. Wind is starting to pick up.

Starting to gust a bit more here too.

[crownweather]

22 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I'm kind of hoping a brief EF-0 tornado touches down in my backyard within the line and sucks up all the dog poop and takes it to the nearby woods. It's like walking through a landmine. Need warm weather so I can clean it. 

Well, there was at least one reported tornado late last night in lower Michigan.  So..........

[SJonesWX]

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Been a while since there was much wind around here, so any dead/weakened branches might come down

you didn't get the wind 3-4 weeks ago? it was pretty windy here, plenty of small branches (and a metric shit ton of pine cones) down around the yard

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

I'm still hoping that one day we get another November 1950 screamer. King of all screamers. I cannot even fathom 80 mph sustained from a non-hurricane. Plus the worst of it happened during the evening hours rather than overnight like October 2017, so it was all visible. March 2, 2018 is still king for me personally.

[WinterWolf]

2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

I'm kind of hoping a brief EF-0 tornado touches down in my backyard within the line and sucks up all the dog poop and takes it to the nearby woods. It's like walking through a landmine. Need warm weather so I can clean it. 

It was beautiful yesterday and Monday too…you should have cleaned the dog shit then Wiz. C’mon . 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

It was beautiful yesterday and Monday too…you should have cleaned the dig shit then Wiz. C’mon . 

By the time I finished work it started clouding up and cooling off. But yeah I wish I did. 

[NoCORH4L]

24 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

I'm still hoping that one day we get another November 1950 screamer. King of all screamers. I cannot even fathom 80 mph sustained from a non-hurricane. Plus the worst of it happened during the evening hours rather than overnight like October 2017, so it was all visible. March 2, 2018 is still king for me personally.

The 50s seem like the best years for weather, for exciting damage and heat anyway

[Damage In Tolland]

1.05” Back to wet pattern 

[CoastalWx]

Glimpse of sun and stein as we warm up. Need Stein to help with winds later hopefully.

[dendrite]

26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

1.05” Back to wet pattern 

GWDLT

0.09” of

[Modfan2]

.31, we stein compared to elevations 

[weatherwiz]

I would guess we start cranking down some higher and more frequent gusts in the next few hours. should see strengthening 925mb winds over this time frame. 

[dryslot]

46.8°F, .14" qpf, Pretty meh so far.

[amc]

4 hours ago, tamarack said:

GYX has an hour-by-hour chart of winds for many sites in its CWA, and for our area the strongest winds come with CAA and continue into tomorrow evening.  Only ~40 gusts compared to the 50+ in Dec, but they're from the NW and may pick out some trees partially tipped by the stronger SE winds back then.  Bad winter for the woodlot. 

CMPCO is all over it.... I'm not expecting much, just some breeze pushing the car around on the way to work.

[Torch Tiger]

Converted the remaining
High Wind Watch to a Wind Advisory for tonight across central
and western MA.

back 'em down.  looks like a fairly light event

 

[Sn0waddict]

The area is inverted with strong low level jet through the
afternoon. Winds have been running weaker than forecast so far
despite the strong winds aloft. Think winds will reach advisory
criteria everywhere with the cold front passage as strong cold
advection and mixing takes place. This is when 45 to 50 mph
gusts are likely around 7pm to around midnight. The low level
winds decrease thereafter as the pressure gradient relaxes.

[Damage In Tolland]

Gonna be a wild period tonight . Many will be woken up to rips and power flashes and outages