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March 2024 disco/obs


Torch Tiger
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2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Amen.  Already have a lot of plants coming up. Just ready to get out of this hell.

 

2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

We're getting there.   You can already see no one is posting LR fantasy snowmaps anymore...:arrowhead:

Heard the spring peepers for the 1st time last night.  Then we got 3/4" of snow.  Get this crappy useless day out of the way and then we'll really start to 'spring'.

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no ...characterizing the MJO isn't supported with behavior observation -

We've seen the phases robust in both 8-1-2 and 3-4-5 ... and the pattern hasn't been very well representative of its forcing during either era.  

Chaotic N/stream is passing in and out of states that "look" quasi coupled but it's really just because the peregrinations of said variability happens to be transiently passing through (circumstantially in the moment).  There hemisphere is split above mid latitudes.

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58 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Winds starting to come in rips now . Every few minutes a big gust

Sounds wild! Lots of trees down? Hopefully they'll restore power before the heat comes in at the end of the week.

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10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

no ...characterizing the MJO isn't supported with behavior observation -

We've seen the phases robust in both 8-1-2 and 3-4-5 ... and the pattern hasn't been very well representative of its forcing during either era.  

Chaotic N/stream is passing in and out of states that "look" quasi coupled but it's really just because the peregrinations of said variability happens to be transiently passing through (circumstantially in the moment).  There hemisphere is split above mid latitudes.

Even now why is the GEFS so much more troffy out west near 3/20 vs the GEPS/EPS?  Even with the two ensembles close to the same on MJO amplitude in 7?  Would see again GEFS just more thinks the PAC jet is gonna blast the PAC NW blocking ridge that forms away while the other 2 suites do not see it being as easy to knock it down 

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8 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

He barely posted this year, sad. Hate to see it. 

He posted quite a bit when threats were around. Not even sure why I've posted as much as I have since mid Feb. Should just take a break.

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4 hours ago, Modfan2 said:

We are long over due for a 2-3 week stretch of dry weather; who knows when that will come?!?

Last month, only 0.95" total, driest of 26 Februarys here.

Typical upslope conditions this morning - zero flakes, 50% cloud cover, biting wind.  I guess we can't have both big CAD and upslope.

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