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March 2024 disco/obs


Torch Tiger
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10 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Interesting article explaining AI forecasting for the layman.  Incidentally both GraphCast and EuroAI are going for an interesting period in the next 10-15 days or so.  I am intrigued....

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/ai-weather-forecasting-cant-replace-humans-yet/

 

Was talking to energy Mets about this. The new AI GEFS take 4 min to run and are available. It’s basically rendering the old GEFs useless already.

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

I hate the billion dollar disaster metric. No shit that will go up as real estate sky rockets. Has to be a better metric to gauge. 

Agreed.  Can't do much about current disaster cost estimates, but at least the older events' costs should be indexed to the present.  And maybe add 10% for each decade prior to, say, 1970, as the compilations are far more thorough nowadays.   (probably won't happen, though)

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SR hype train....

WINTER ISN'T OVER
The snow dances are finally paying off. Forecasts for this weekend's storm are starting to normalize, and depending on who your trusted source is, the mountains of Western Maine (that's us) could receive up to 2 FEET of snow when all is said and done on Monday. 
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1 minute ago, Lava Rock said:

SR hype train....

WINTER ISN'T OVER
The snow dances are finally paying off. Forecasts for this weekend's storm are starting to normalize, and depending on who your trusted source is, the mountains of Western Maine (that's us) could receive up to 2 FEET of snow when all is said and done on Monday. 

 

StormTotalSnowWeb1.jpg

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One map (GYX) has my locale sneaking into the 6-8 color while the next one we're 3-4".  Both are upped from the morning map from GYX, and having seen only 4.3" in the past 6 weeks (average for the period: 30"), it's optimistic.

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