NorEastermass128 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Methinks if we get a low dew day under in that torched airmass…we 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 30 minutes ago, dendrite said: In like a dragon? I kinda wanna start a thread for what could be a historic heat burst - conjectural +15+ diurnal means for 3 days ? ... We don't get ours in July's like they do in Eurasia, probably do to converging continental with subtropical meridian flows. It's hard to extend BL when the DPs 78 degrees when there's whole country's aerosol anus pointing right at us, while we're so close to sea level/air density. I suspect that's why we've been getting so many 92/77 days under 590 hgts. They're doing 104 in Iowa with that where their sigma starts at 700 feet. Anyway, we get our synergy heat in springs it seems. Can't wait until BTV is 100 on May 8th while HFD is 82 with a S wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 34 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Methinks if we get a low dew day under in that torched airmass…we 70s. Those ensembles signal days of 70’s. Near 80 in usual zones . AC’s will need to go in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 58 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Methinks if we get a low dew day under in that torched airmass…we 70s. We'll see how things materialize in the runs going forward but I'd remind that we are tracking the 80+ phenomenon as a new spring "threat"... It is a harmful influence too. Orchard crops will respond and that's a problem for obvious reasons, when onward in time the warm troposphere migrates into a -NAO phase and we risk freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 24 Author Share Posted February 24 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Will be break 2012?! Hopefully late mid-Morch they start budding 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Those ensembles signal days of 70’s. Near 80 in usual zones . AC’s will need to go in. Red Flag warnings all around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 4 hours ago, snowman19 said: For some reason, I don’t think that fantasy GFS anafront is going to verify. Call me crazy….. You're nuts, anafront is one of the favored five. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Those ensembles signal days of 70’s. Near 80 in usual zones . AC’s will need to go in. Time to install? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 18 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: You're nuts, anafront is one of the favored five. Maybe we get some though Depending on the timing of the front, may see some snow behind the frontal passage as temperatures take a nosedive on strong NNW flow. We`ll need to closely monitor changes in the front`s timing over the next few days to evaluate how much anafrontal snow is possible, but given how progressive the front looks to be, it likely won`t be a considerable amount given warm antecedent conditions. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: We'll see how things materialize in the runs going forward but I'd remind that we are tracking the 80+ phenomenon as a new spring "threat"... It is a harmful influence too. Orchard crops will respond and that's a problem for obvious reasons, when onward in time the warm troposphere migrates into a -NAO phase and we risk freezing I’m all for extremes. Stuff is just starting to get weird though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 45 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: I’m all for extremes. Stuff is just starting to get weird though. Happens every year. Just ask Wolfie. Says so in is snowmobile diaries. Relax... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Those ensembles signal days of 70’s. Near 80 in usual zones . AC’s will need to go in. So when should we expect the '80s? "Sunday night into early Monday, possibly accompanied by a few snow and/or rain showers.Warming trend as temperatures make a run into the 50s mid week. Greater chances for rain and snow Wednesday/Thursday as a strong cold front moves throught The region. Dry and much cooler to round out the workweek and start the weekend". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 24 minutes ago, kdxken said: So when should we expect the '80s? "Sunday night into early Monday, possibly accompanied by a few snow and/or rain showers.Warming trend as temperatures make a run into the 50s mid week. Greater chances for rain and snow Wednesday/Thursday as a strong cold front moves throught The region. Dry and much cooler to round out the workweek and start the weekend". The real warmth is progged for after next weekend. Early this week is just the tip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lexclone Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 15 minutes ago, dendrite said: The real warmth is progged for after next weekend. Early this week is just the tip. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 50 minutes ago, dendrite said: The real warmth is progged for after next weekend. Early this week is just the tip. It always starts with the Tip ( oh man... I sound like Kev now ). Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 57 minutes ago, dendrite said: The real warmth is progged for after next weekend. Early this week is just the tip. The dude is lost in woodpiles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The dude is lost in woodpiles Well I don’t think 80s are happening, but I wouldn’t rule out a couple days of 70s if everything comes together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Nobody in SNE is seeing 80's in March this year. Low 70's? Sure, especially in a down slope dandy location. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 16 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Nobody in SNE is seeing 80's in March this year. Low 70's? Sure, especially in a down slope dandy location. Probably not, but I wouldn’t 100% rule it out. And I bet we do better than low 70s on at least one day as well. Heck BDL did 72 in Jan 07, 77 in Feb 18, and 81 on 3/9/16. So with an exotic ridge and regionwide dry soils it’s potentially on the table. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 6 hours ago, MJO812 said: So is this a final gasp of ole man Winter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 7 hours ago, MJO812 said: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 After a decent attempt yesterday ...the operational runs regressed to finding any plausible physics they can find to abase their own ensemble means. All of which actually are either the same or even more so amplified with the ridging we've been tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: After a decent attempt yesterday ...the operational runs regressed to finding any plausible physics they can find to abase their own ensemble means. All of which actually are either the same or even more so amplified with the ridging we've been tracking. Signs of a front trying to ruin some of the fun. No chance of snow of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 1 hour ago, Snowcrazed71 said: So is this a final gasp of ole man Winter? Ole man winter has broken both his hips and was punched in the face several times. I think it’s time for a nap. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 3 minutes ago, GCWarrior said: Ole man winter has broken both his hips and was punched in the face several times. I think it’s time for a nap. It’s been nothing but last gasps since December as winter has barely registered a pulse. Time to move on to months of warmth and sweat. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Signs of a front trying to ruin some of the fun. No chance of snow of course. Yes, anything to mess up something nice. That’s been my fear with this idea. If we’re gonna get warm…I hope we do it right, and not muck that up too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 https://x.com/jasonnappiwx/status/1761503777960391075?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 25 Author Share Posted February 25 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 16 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: Hopefully late mid-Morch they start budding Hopefully not. The frost / freeze we had last May, severely Damaged the budding apple trees. My local orchard had no apples last Fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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