Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

March 2024 disco/obs


Torch Tiger
 Share

Recommended Posts

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Although synoptically that’s a nice look lol:

Lol…maybe if it’s still showing big snow on Saturday or easter we can take it seriously. 
 

 

IMG_0448.png

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Remember summer of 2022 when folks were so stressed about the drought…

Remember when the west was nothing but drought and mild for years?  Last two years house burying snow out there.  It’ll even out. Bet on it. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Lol…maybe if it’s still showing big snow on Saturday or easter we can take it seriously. 
 

 

IMG_0448.png

It'll be interesting to see how fast 15-20" of blue bomb high h20 content snow disappears.   As persistent as this signal has become in recent days ... so too is the handsome mild to warm signal for the 7-10th of the month.  But obviously ... long range blah blah not withstanding.

The Euro and GFS both implicate a middling to major snow potential, followed by a real shot at 70 F by the afternoon of the Eclipse.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

AI is a repeat of the last few.....NNE.

Fwiw - the CCB has been trending S though the last three cycles. 

It's hard to quantitatively assess that because the system is really sort of two events in a 'contact binary'   The other models show a lead wave triggering steady cat paw if not wet snows for 9 or so hour prior to the hog balls mid level amplitude then spinning up a main low.

That lead 9 or so hours is a coin toss because of a marginal thermal layout. The GGEM and operational Euro (standard) are cold enough at 850 mb through the lead, and the 2nd more potent near bombogen deepening rates underneath is no question we all flash to snow.  The AI version is sort of blurring the distinction of the two pulse scenario by just having a weird CCB that presses S with limited associated 2nd cyclone depth associated, underneath.

Busted ravioli low with CCB over top is a red flag for piece of shit model handling - something more significant is liable to be there

ec-aifs_mslp_pcpn_us_31.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Fwiw - the CCB has been trending S though the last three cycles. 

It's hard to quantitatively assess that because the system is really sort of two that are in a 'contact binary' 

The least is a coin toss because of a marginal thermal layout out. The GGEM and operational Euro (standard) are cold enough at 850 mb through the lead and the 2nd more potent near bombogen deepening rates.  The AI version is sort o attempting lower the distinction of the two pulse scenario by just having a weird CCB that presses S with limited associated 2nd cyclone depth.

Busted ravioli low with CCB over top is a red flag of piece of shit model handling - something more significant is liable to be there

ec-aifs_mslp_pcpn_us_31.png

Yea, I'll defer to you on that.....I didn't analyze anything. Just took a quick peakabo at the Dopamine supply on that run. 06z GFS has that same general idea judging by the clown...familiar cut-off right around the NH border.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Lol well to be fair like 90% of News Englands population is in SNE. Edit just checked 79% of New Englands population is in SNE. 

And 72% of the area is in NNE.  SNE's population density is about 10X that of NNE.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, kdxken said:

Stumbled across these photos of the 1936 Hartford flood while looking for something else.

High quality photos.

https://credo.library.umass.edu/search?q=*&fq=FacetCollectionID:mums830

 

That was the 2nd greatest peak flow on the Sandy River until December 18 kicked it into 3rd.  April 1987 still #1 by a large margin.

Measured exactly 1.00" for the 24 hr ending at 7 this morning.  Both December and March are the wettest since we moved here 26 years ago, with the driest February in between.  24.40" since December 1, can't keep up with SNE however.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It'll be interesting to see how fast 15-20" of blue bomb high h20 content snow disappears.   As persistent as this signal has become in recent days ... so too is the handsome mild to warm signal for the 7-10th of the month.  But obviously ... long range blah blah not withstanding.

The Euro and GFS both implicate a middling to major snow potential, followed by a real shot at 70 F by the afternoon of the Eclipse.

There is still solid snowcover from our last storm plus almost 1" liquid from this storm.  Add a blue bomb next week and sunny and 70F on eclipse day, people coming to NNE and pulling off any side road will be deep in mud.  The ground is mush at the moment and with a big storm of snow or rain next week it can only get worse.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...