Typhoon Tip Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 Significant changes on the 12z runs so far across the board... ICON, GGEM ...GFS all show less QPF and or differences in the handling of the total weekend scenario. Maybe the Euro wasn't so wrong originally? Either way, this continuity change isn't exactly confidence inspiring - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 Basin wide 3-6” rain coming just this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 4:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Basin wide 3-6” rain coming just this weekend Expand maybe not ... models may be in the midst of collapsing in favor of those prior Euro runs. have to see - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 4:32 PM, Typhoon Tip said: maybe not ... models may be in the midst of collapsing in favor of those prior Euro runs. have to see - Expand Rest assured .. this whole week sunny and beautiful like today and it’ll rain the entire weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 Wild swings in the globals at this range, sheesh. 12z Canadian swinging for the fences. Has an even nuttier solution for southern Minnesota - tries to spit out more snow in one storm than they get in a season. Edit* I should point out that most of that QPF is actually falling early Monday. Low actually backs up a little west as it slowly gains latitude. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 39F, cloudy and breezy. Yea, beauty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 4:46 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 39F, cloudy and breezy. Yea, beauty. Expand 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 4:39 PM, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Wild swings in the globals at this range, sheesh. 12z Canadian swinging for the fences. Has an even nuttier solution for southern Minnesota - tries to spit out more snow in one storm than they get in a season. Edit* I should point out that most of that QPF is actually falling early Monday. Low actually backs up a little west as it slowly gains latitude. Expand Such vast, putrid continuity demonstrations ... can't rule out or in any solution, really. With that, the probability of this (abv) being more right than wrong is very low for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 Too cold today ... but the sun is fierce. Happy Julian calendar spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 4:49 PM, kdxken said: 2012 Expand A very mini version. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 11:52 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is true, but to be fair, so isn't this.... Expand On 3/19/2024 at 4:49 PM, kdxken said: 2012 Expand Congrats on the 3 hour variation- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 37.8° and breezy, but the sun and the blue skies make up for it. Last snow patches in the yard are hanging on for just a bit longer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 4:53 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: A very mini version. Expand It will be one million degrees. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 4:46 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 39F, cloudy and breezy. Yea, beauty. Expand Ya, I was gonna say, ain’t so beautiful out there. Very chilly for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 4:53 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: A very mini version. Expand Micro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 4:36 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Rest assured .. this whole week sunny and beautiful like today and it’ll rain the entire weekend. Expand Of course. If I could somehow get the rain jackpot for CT, it would just make this month complete for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 4:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Congrats on the 3 hour variation- Expand People still dont get that the heater in March 2012 averaged 20 AN for 8 days starting the 3rd week of March. Some days were 35 plus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 2:44 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Great question....because regardless of ENSO state, or what the arctic is doing, the forcing has remained predominately pinned over the MC and that has been informative. But you are right....its not just one thing and eventually it will be something else....but for now, that is the driver. Expand Fair enough..agreed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 5:03 PM, Ginx snewx said: People still dont get that the heater in March 2012 averaged 20 AN for 8 days starting the 3rd week of March. Some days were 35 plus. Expand What is there not to get? The departures are what they are...I didn't manipulate the data. So we have gotten there through warmer nights...its still a huge anomaly. The second half will be colder, yes....agreed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 44 and partly sunny. I hope they open up heating stations for the homeless. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 5:06 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What is there not to get? The departures are what they are...I didn't manipulate the data. So we have gotten there through warmer nights...its still a huge anomaly. The second half will be colder, yes....agreed. Expand It was 12 days of extreme warmth that made March 12 stand out. This is child's play. March 12 started chilly ended chilly but the blow out for 12 days is what stands out. No normal human cares about temp depar because of warmer nights. They remember being on Salisbury beach with 80 degree temps for 4 days and 70s for 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 5:09 PM, CoastalWx said: 44 and partly sunny. I hope they open up heating stations for the homeless. Expand Not bad in the sun but the wind is not warm . Well maybe in your normal tropical location in Souuth Weymouth. Can you imagine sleeping outside tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 5:10 PM, Ginx snewx said: It was 12 days of extreme warmth that made March 12 stand out. This is child's play. March 12 started chilly ended chilly but the blow out for 12 days is what stands out. No normal human cares about temp depar because of warmer nights. They remember being on Salisbury beach with 80 degree temps for 4 days and 70s for 7 Expand Sure, but utlimately departures are how we measure monthly outcomes. We are all in agreement this has been a more unsavory warmth than 2012. Yep. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 5:12 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sure, but isn't the issue. We are all in agreement this has been a more unsaory warmth than 2012. Yep. Expand Un what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 5:12 PM, Ginx snewx said: Not bad in the sun but the wind is not warm . Well maybe in your normal tropical location in Souuth Weymouth Expand It's literally 44 region wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 Sunny day in the 6 state region .. with a few puffiies . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 5:12 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sure, but isn't the issue. We are all in agreement this has been a more unsaory warmth than 2012. Yep. Expand It's sure is the issue. Ask anyone alive if they think this month compares to March 12 warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 5:14 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Sunny day in the 6 state region .. with a few puffiies . Expand Brief mild down and then AN tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 5:13 PM, Ginx snewx said: Un what Expand Unsavory. Typo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 5:13 PM, CoastalWx said: It's literally 44 region wide. Expand 45 here cold wind. Temp dropping soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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