mreaves Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There's 3 summits above 3K that are having a decent March. Everyone else is skiing on granite. This. It's a pretty narrow area that is getting snow. Though I will say that it has impacted travel some. I'm at an in-person meeting today and people from west of the spine said conditions were slick. The flow must be blocked because there wasn't much where I live east of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: You are totally clueless. 1500 ft SR and nobody there good lord 119 trails open and tons of snow Well people work. Looks like I see some rocks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 minute ago, mreaves said: This. It's a pretty narrow area that is getting snow. Though I will say that it has impacted travel some. I'm at an in-person meeting today and people from west of the spine said conditions were slick. The flow must be blocked because there wasn't much where I live east of the mountains. Nah deep as can be all over NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 27 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: 100 percent agree...It's expensive for the family that goes once a year on MLK day or Christmas week who rents skis, pays for a lesson, buys a window ticket, eats breakfast and lunch in the lodge, rents a locker, pays for parking etc. It always will be. For the regular skier who knows how plan, and skis more than 4 times a year, it's one of the few activities that is cheaper than it was 15 years ago. Like Hunchie said per hour it's still a deal especially when you plan it right. Mid week non vacation in March April can be very very cheap. Some know some don't have a clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well people work. Looks like I see some rocks. They don't work all winter? Slopes are empty in March as the lowlands have moved on Like September on the beach. The skynet programming is real to a lot of people 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It did suck. lol The thing is that it isn't diffiuclt to see what has been hurting us....regardless of what the polar domain has done, the last several winters have sucked. Its because of the west PAC warmth stagnating the forcing in the MC, regardless of ENSO. If that changes, then sure...time to reconsider. But if that does not change and we have a robust Modoki La Nina upon us, then its not as ambiguous as you imply. Your use of the term "nonsense" is what is nonsensical, since there is pretty iron clad science behind how the impact that MC forcing has on our region and the relationship between the polar domain and the descending phase of the solar cycle, which is where we are headed. The Pacific may change, but the solar cycle will not. However though Ray, if it was so easy to see what has been hurting us, then why did so many fail in their predictions the last two years? That’s what doesn’t make sense, or is “Nonsensical.” And it’s never just one thing…we all know this. It’s always a combination of things. So, I’ll wait to see what happens again. Before I believe that it will be bad again? Or good? I always appreciate your efforts on your forecasts. And will never down anybody’s attempts. I don’t know enough to take a stab at something like that. But I do know it’s never just one thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It did suck. lol The thing is that it isn't diffiuclt to see what has been hurting us....regardless of what the polar domain has done, the last several winters have sucked. Its because of the west PAC warmth stagnating the forcing in the MC, regardless of ENSO. If that changes, then sure...time to reconsider. But if that does not change and we have a robust Modoki La Nina upon us, then its not as ambiguous as you imply. Your use of the term "nonsense" is what is nonsensical, since there is pretty iron clad science behind how the impact that MC forcing has on our region and the relationship between the polar domain and the descending phase of the solar cycle, which is where we are headed. The Pacific may change, but the solar cycle will not. I think the changes in the weather patterns go far beyond just something in the PAC... Or El Niño or La Nina. Our atmosphere and overall global patterns are a mess. I don't think there's any one thing ( even the best of meteorologists or scientists looking at patterns aren't getting it right ). It's the definition of chaos in our world weather pattern. I think you did an awesome job, it's just the way of the world at this point. And next year probably will be the same. No way to know if it's going to be a shitty winter or not next year. I definitely wouldn't give it any direction at this point. Your weather outlook and highlights are appreciated by many on this site! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 39 minutes ago, dryslot said: I will never live in Florida but have multiple relatives/friends and invites to visit and stay anytime, I have no reason too though. SIL lives in central FL, a dozen miles north from Ocala. No beaches close at hand but quite pretty - horse country. My wife has been down there twice but I've no real reason either. However, the family reunion last May in Lancaster PA was great fun. Many clouds, fairly brisk wind, cool temps. Radar showed precip overhead but none reaching the ground here. Somehow, March temps have run about +10 while never getting milder than 51. Much meh. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 46 minutes ago, dryslot said: I will never live in Florida but have multiple relatives/friends and invites to visit and stay anytime, I have no reason too though. I have a friend that lets us use her condo in Sarasota when we want. Just pay for air fare, which is cheap and rent a car. Going down in two weeks. Would like a snow storm before I leave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: They don't work all winter? Slopes are empty in March as the lowlands have moved on Like September on the beach. The skynet programming is real to a lot of people Well your snapshot at 10:35a on a Tuesday says yes people work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Just now, WinterWolf said: However though Ray, if it was so easy to see what has been hurting us, then why did so many fail in their predictions the last two years? That’s what doesn’t make sense, or is “Nonsensical.” And it’s never just one thing…we all know this. It’s always a combination of things. So, I’ll wait to see what happens again. Before I believe that it will be bad again? Or good? I always appreciate your efforts on your forecasts. And will never down anybody’s attempts. I don’t know enough to take a stab at something like that. But I do know it’s never just one thing. Great question....because regardless of ENSO state, or what the arctic is doing, the forcing has remained predominately pinned over the MC and that has been informative. But you are right....its not just one thing and eventually it will be something else....but for now, that is the driver. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well people work. Looks like I see some rocks. Only rocks are in your head 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I think the changes in the weather patterns go far beyond just something in the PAC... Or El Niño or La Nina. Our atmosphere and overall global patterns are a mess. I don't think there's any one thing ( even the best of meteorologists or scientists looking at patterns aren't getting it right ). It's the definition of chaos in our world weather pattern. I think you did an awesome job, it's just the way of the world at this point. And next year probably will be the same. No way to know if it's going to be a shitty winter or not next year. I definitely wouldn't give it any direction at this point. Your weather outlook and highlights are appreciated by many on this site! Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Great question....because regardless of ENSO state, or what the arctic is doing, the forcing has remained predominately pinned over the MC and that has been informative. But you are right....its not just one thing and eventually it will be something else....but for now, that is the driver. Yea, I agree.....but I just don't see it changing until that PAC configuration shakes up. Some feel as though it won't...I am not in the camp. TBH, it isn't shtting on my personal outlook results that irritates me so much as being resigned to the fact that long range efforts in general will always be futile. I don't believe that to be the case....will it be within our lifetime that its gets figured out? Probably not.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I agree.....but I just don't see it changing until that PAC configuration shakes up. Some feel as though it won't...I am not in the camp. TBH, it isn't shtting on my personal outlook results that irritates me so much as being resigned to the fact that long range efforts in general will always be futile. I don't believe that to be the case....will it be within our lifetime that its gets figured out? Probably not.... AI will figure it out once humans are eliminated 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 7 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: I have a friend that lets us use her condo in Sarasota when we want. Just pay for air fare, which is cheap and rent a car. Going down in two weeks. Would like a snow storm before I leave. My SIL is over in Largo, So we can stay anytime there, Just pay the airfare too, They leave a car down there when they come back to ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Just now, dryslot said: My SIL is over in Largo, So we can stay anytime there, Just pay the airfare too, They leave a car down there when they come back to ME. Our friend does too but we don't ask her if we can use it, don't want to push a good thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Yeah SW FL is my thing. Just so relaxing. Not a fan of the east coast overall....I know there are some real nice areas though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Tomorrow looks interesting with some convective snow squalls and showers with graupel. I could see a quick 2'' in the Berks and southern Greens. Agreed! TTs spike to 55-60 right around 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 19 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: They don't work all winter? Slopes are empty in March as the lowlands have moved on Like September on the beach. The skynet programming is real to a lot of people Spot on. Best month of summer in Maine is September; best of winter is March. "Flatlanders" have moved on and moved out of the state. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 minute ago, ma blizzard said: Agreed! TTs spike to 55-60 right around 0z Yeah don't see TT values spike that high around these parts very often. Once you start approaching 60 that's a pretty strong signal for thunder/lightning. Generally, we're lucky to see TT's get into the 52-55 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Awesome dude. What part of the west coast? Last time I was in the Tampa Port Richey area and it's wall to wall peeps. Far from Tampa. Naples is our base. Even the beaches on a warm day are not crowded. The only traffic I’ve been in was when I drove up to RSW to pick up our daughter and bf who came down for the weekend of 3/8. And it was minimal by Boston standards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, dryslot said: I will never live in Florida but have multiple relatives/friends and invites to visit and stay anytime, I have no reason too though. That was exactly my thinking when I was your age. Three years ago I came down kicking and screaming. This year is so different for me. I think if I rode like you do it might be different but that also gets tougher with advancing age. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Local lawn services out in FULL force the last few days in my area. Even my lawn has grown to the point of needing a first cut in a few areas. Need to tune up the tractor this weekend to be ready... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Friday night thru Sunday lol. That makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 There's some plausibility to that, Ray - just observational/anecdotally I mean, I saw 3 different -EPO episodes this year ( and have in recent winters, too - ) where the subsequent cold loading appeared to be 'sheared off' before it could really penetrate deeper into latitude. The total hemispheric mode of circulation having the speed saturation is hugely problematic to that - more theoretically... Because, when the flow is fast, there are less residence and/or standing wave phenomenon... That's physically provable/ mathematical. Anyway, in practical terms ... that means the teleconnector modes are not in situ long enough before they are being forced to change. It takes time for the lower troposphere to change ... but if a -EPO is blowing up before it has time to deliver ...that's that shearing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 37 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Local lawn services out in FULL force the last few days in my area. Even my lawn has grown to the point of needing a first cut in a few areas. Need to tune up the tractor this weekend to be ready... Backyard neighbor was out mowing his lawn the other day. I've noticed patches of newer grass popping up as well. Tree in the front yard and neighbors house next door also have buds. In fact, I noticed buds on one of the trees like 2-3 weeks ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 What’s up with the Euro and that icestorm Sunday , crazy model 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 2 hours ago, greenmtnwx said: Why not just buy a pass for those who want to enjoy it. People buy gym memberships and pay ridiculous amounts of money, you can buy an ikon pass at their discount rate and you get a renewal discount every year and generally can get it for under $1000 a year. I ski 20 to 30 days a year cost me maybe $30-$40 per day of skiing. i’m not trying to poo, poo it for the average middle-class family on a budget, but the idea that skiing is too expensive of a recreational sport I just don’t buy. You can generally get equipment for almost nothing or even for free. People give it away all the time on Facebook marketplace or you can go to local ski swaps and buy pretty decent equipment, plenty good enough to enjoy the sport for nearly nothing. And you can look for discounts on lift tickets, season passes, or some of the Indy type passes that give you plenty of mountains and it’s a very reasonable cost for the whole season. And mind this is coming from somebody who has four kids and we ski a lot. Most ski rental shops will rent you a decent pair of equipment for the season for pretty cheap and they come along with deep discounts on Lyft tickets, or even a free ticket here or there to many local mountains. My gym membership costs $10/mo but no way we would get more than 5 days of skiing to justify any kind of pass. My kids are into too many other sports/activities during the week and weekends to make skiing more viable. We would need to at least ski the berks as well, would not do ski sundown in CT lol. The cost and time to ski is no longer a top of mind activity for me and the family, at least not regularly. Once a season Vacation/trip, sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: What’s up with the Euro and that icestorm Sunday , crazy model To the glue factory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: To the glue factory. Hydro risk far higher around here, especially if we can get a cutoff close enough next week after the weekend rainer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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