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March 2024 disco/obs


Torch Tiger
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  On 3/8/2024 at 6:21 PM, Go Kart Mozart said:

Interesting article explaining AI forecasting for the layman.  Incidentally both GraphCast and EuroAI are going for an interesting period in the next 10-15 days or so.  I am intrigued....

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/ai-weather-forecasting-cant-replace-humans-yet/

 

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Was talking to energy Mets about this. The new AI GEFS take 4 min to run and are available. It’s basically rendering the old GEFs useless already.

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  On 3/8/2024 at 5:05 PM, CoastalWx said:

I hate the billion dollar disaster metric. No shit that will go up as real estate sky rockets. Has to be a better metric to gauge. 

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Agreed.  Can't do much about current disaster cost estimates, but at least the older events' costs should be indexed to the present.  And maybe add 10% for each decade prior to, say, 1970, as the compilations are far more thorough nowadays.   (probably won't happen, though)

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  On 3/8/2024 at 8:20 PM, Lava Rock said:

SR hype train....

WINTER ISN'T OVER
The snow dances are finally paying off. Forecasts for this weekend's storm are starting to normalize, and depending on who your trusted source is, the mountains of Western Maine (that's us) could receive up to 2 FEET of snow when all is said and done on Monday. 
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StormTotalSnowWeb1.jpg

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