40/70 Benchmark Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Do me a favor and pull up some hr 360 charts from early December....color me skeptical. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 Not sure how much of it is CC induced or just part of a normal cycle but historically, its been pretty rare to maintain 100% humidity and foggy conditions for an entire day. This isn't Seattle (yet anyways). At PVD we had five days that did that in 2023, plus another two days this past January, and March 5th had 99.9% rh. Not sure how accurate the data is, but prior to 2023, I could only find four other days since 1976 which had 100% rh, plus another four with 99.8% rh. So thats pretty crazy that in the past year we have had more days with 100% rh than we had in the previous 50 or so years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: It's March 7th Ave temp thru the 7th March 2012 was 33 and March 2024 at BDL is 45. Let's let the month run out and then compare I don't think this will be a March 2012 repeat for the record...I said +2 to +4, so yea, that implies a cool down in the second half given we are like +10 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Left footed? Yes indeed! It's an unfortunate situation for my team when I'm forced to shoot with my right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Canada is torched and there's zero snowcover anywhere. Good luck with anything less than average temps What lurks ... If and if LR models are correct we develop cross polar flow. But I am done talking about it. We shall see. Until then enjoy the clouds and rain. I am sure your solar panels are screaming for sun 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 1 minute ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Yes indeed! It's an unfortunate situation for my team when I'm forced to shoot with my right. You have good technical skill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We've had mild days, but overnight mins driving the departures for sure. Story since November. That's what i was going to mention is what drove up departures, We never had any night this winter season that we went below zero here, Lowest i had was 1.9°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't think this will be a March 2012 repeat for the record...I said +2 to +4, so yea, that implies a cool down in the second half given we are like +10 now. Agree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Do me a favor and pull up some hr 360 charts from early December....color me skeptical. Like I said before and you guys can go with persistence but I am forecasting a pattern change after Mid Month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Like I said before and you guys can go with persistence but I am forecasting a pattern change after Mid Month. A pattern change from a +10 first week, I agree with....will it be as amplified and favorable as that chart? Lets see....there is reason for doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: A pattern change from a +10 first week, I agree with....will it be as amplified and favorable as that chart? Lets see....there is reason for doubt. Inside 10 days now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: What lurks ... If and if LR models are correct we develop cross polar flow. But I am done talking about it. We shall see. Until then enjoy the clouds and rain. I am sure your solar panels are screaming for sun No solar panels here. But we have seen LR forecasts for cold consistently fail or come in shorter/more muted. Sell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: A pattern change from a +10 first week, I agree with....will it be as amplified and favorable as that chart? Lets see....there is reason for doubt. Whole sale teleconnections pattern change not some wimpy zonal flow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 Just now, Brian5671 said: No solar panels here. But we have seen LR forecasts for cold consistently fail or come in shorter/more muted. Sell. I thought you were the big solar guy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Do me a favor and pull up some hr 360 charts from early December....color me skeptical. Earthlight is on board 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Inside 10 days now Yea, like I said...I need a colder pattern to get down to +2 to +4, so on board with cooler...just hope it snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I thought you were the big solar guy? Me? Nope. My neighbors who have them tell me some horror stories-not getting what they were promised etc. Not to mention that they would have to be on the front of my house-not happenin' 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Earthlight is on board I can't believe you kept Bogaerts for a 1st round pick....I'd say stick to weather, but that may not be an improvement lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Earthlight is on board That settles it then! Snow for Brooklyn! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 Just now, Brian5671 said: That settles it then! Snow for Brooklyn! Earthlight knows his shit...great met, but his outlook was pretty similar to mine, which hasn't done so hot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Earthlight knows his shit...great met, but his outlook was pretty similar to mine, which hasn't done so hot. And it's been a torch all winter...all the sudden that's going to change? LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I thought you were the big solar guy? BrianW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: And it's been a torch all winter...all the sudden that's going to change? LOL Well, it can...2007 did...similar with respect to the forcing displaced into MC, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, it can...2007 did...similar with respect to the forcing displaced into MC, too. There are exceptions yes, maybe that happens this time but I doubt it. The lack of snow/ice cover has been understated all winter and a likely reason why cold shots have underperformed etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: Idk. It’s closer over the interior. BDL has a record high and a #2. CON a record high and near 60 yesterday. Yeah maybe closer interior, but just speaking overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 March 1973 also had a late cool down and a touch of snow, which is by far the best analog this month IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You have good technical skill Thanks, but I'd say that's a generous assessment, haha! The real skill was holding the damn phone steady and kicking at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 2 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Thanks, but I'd say that's a generous assessment, haha! The real skill was holding the damn phone steady and kicking at the same time. That was awesome. I coached soccer for my kids up to high school. Miss it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: And it's been a torch all winter...all the sudden that's going to change? LOL Historical records say why the hell not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2024 Share Posted March 7, 2024 Late season stronger Ninos have had a history of a period of BN and some snow. If there is a BN period, I do not think it lasts long. I mean in April 2016 I had two snow events with one of them struggling for 30F during the day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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