Superstorm93 Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 Some thundah reports out in PA with this slug of cold rain. These dreary days are the absolute worst. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 Wonder if upton issues flood watches-ground is saturated... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 congrats delaware river, pouring over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 Rain has begun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 18z NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 Next week looks horrible with a system stuck underneath the block 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Next week looks horrible with a system stuck underneath the block Could be another nice event for the ski resorts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 58 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: 18z NAM Imagine April snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Could be another nice event for the ski resorts. Better next week than on the day of the eclipse. I've been thinking for awhile now if next week is very rainy, it will increase the odds of better weather for the eclipse. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 26 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Better next week than on the day of the eclipse. I've been thinking for awhile now if next week is very rainy, it will increase the odds of better weather for the eclipse. Hopefully, the EPS high pressure forecast works out for the 8th. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 Showers early this evening will precede another bout of steady rain for tomorrow into early Friday. A general 0.50" - 1.50" appears likely. the heaviest amounts will likely occur on Long Island. The closing days of March could turn warmer with widespread readings in the upper 50s. It is very likely that New York City's Central Park will finish the 2023-2024 snow season with less than 10" of seasonal snowfall for a record second consecutive season. Records go back to 1869. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around March 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.67°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.35°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is continuing to fade with the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly going negative for the first time since the week centered around January 25, 2023. Neutral conditions could develop later in the spring. The SOI was -6.85 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.542 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 47.9° (5.2° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 3 hours ago, Superstorm93 said: Some thundah reports out in PA with this slug of cold rain. These dreary days are the absolute worst. Yeah I was outside planting lettuce and broccoli this afternoon, and it got nasty with the light rain and temp drop to 47 degrees. I wish we could go back to the 70s that we had earlier in the month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 26 minutes ago, bluewave said: Hopefully, the EPS high pressure forecast works out for the 8th. wow even today the sun came out unexpectedly in the middle of the rain. Imagine if something like this happened on the 8th during the middle of totality lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 21 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Showers early this evening will precede another bout of steady rain for tomorrow into early Friday. A general 0.50" - 1.50" appears likely. the heaviest amounts will likely occur on Long Island. The closing days of March could turn warmer with widespread readings in the upper 50s. It is very likely that New York City's Central Park will finish the 2023-2024 snow season with less than 10" of seasonal snowfall for a record second consecutive season. Records go back to 1869. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around March 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.67°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.35°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is continuing to fade with the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly going negative for the first time since the week centered around January 25, 2023. Neutral conditions could develop later in the spring. The SOI was -6.85 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.542 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 47.9° (5.2° above normal). Don I noticed you said that the average last freezing day is March 29th. When did this move from April to March? For the longest time I remember that the average last freezing day was around April 10th. Our first freezing day has not moved that much from November 10th. I wonder why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Could be another nice event for the ski resorts. Not much still open unfortunately. Killington always goes super late though and would benefit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 47 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Don I noticed you said that the average last freezing day is March 29th. When did this move from April to March? For the longest time I remember that the average last freezing day was around April 10th. Our first freezing day has not moved that much from November 10th. I wonder why? The last time NYC had an average last freeze in April was 1961-1990. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 Hrrr's been shifting east Looks like there will be a break before round 2 later in the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 heavy rain moving upwards into nyc/northeast nj. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 Looks like all the rain is sliding east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 Interesting storm on some of the models for next week especially for New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 4 hours ago, Snowlover11 said: heavy rain moving upwards into nyc/northeast nj. Yep raining here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 The easterly solutions look to verify based on radar and the latest HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 12 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Not much still open unfortunately. Killington always goes super late though and would benefit I started the general April thread to discuss that storm potential for the first week of April. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 .60 should finish close to a inch after todays rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: The easterly solutions look to verify based on radar and the latest HRRR Yup. West trend stopped after 06z yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 13 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: The easterly solutions look to verify based on radar and the latest HRRR West of I-95 the rain looks mostly done. Unfortunately probably plenty more east of there, looks like the batch currently over DE will reach Queens on East anyway. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 44 minutes ago, bluewave said: I started the general April thread to discuss that storm potential for the first week of April. the question is if the block is so strong, why dont we see snow all the way down here? whats the difference between this and say, April 1996, 2003, 2018.... other than the obvious fact that the winters preceding them were much colder lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 “.75 already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 11 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: the question is if the block is so strong, why dont we see snow all the way down here? whats the difference between this and say, April 1996, 2003, 2018.... other than the obvious fact that the winters preceding them were much colder lol you answered your own question....There's a general lack of deep cold airmasses this year 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 Just .41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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