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1 hour ago, FPizz said:

Yup, heard all the basement  cleanup and remediation companies went out of business since everyone did their repairs. 

Outside of living near a body of water or a flood prone area you should have already figured out your water issue 

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After a brisk day, another cold night lies ahead. The low temperature will again fall below freezing tomorrow morning in New York City. Readings in the 20s are very likely outside New York City, Newark, and Philadelphia. There is even a chance that the temperature could dip just below 30° in New York City.

A storm will likely bring a windswept 1.50"-3.00" of rain with locally higher amounts during the weekend. Significant coastal flooding at high tide, along with beach erosion is likely.

Milder air will also begin to return during the weekend. The closing days of March could turn warmer. However, the kind of warmth that occurred earlier in March is unlikely.

It is very likely that New York City's Central Park will finish the 2023-2024 snow season with less than 10" of seasonal snowfall for a record second consecutive season. Records go back to 1869.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.1°C for the week centered around March 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.88°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.42°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is now fading. Neutral conditions could develop during the spring.

The SOI was +6.89 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.526 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 48.0° (5.3° above normal).

 

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Heading up to Belleayre tomorrow to play on the 4-5 inches they received yesterday and last night. Was going to go today but the potential for wind holds kept us away. Like our last time out this year. Overall it wasn’t a horrible season but definitely not the best. Had some big ups and some major downs but hopefully next season will be less torrential rains throughout the season at random intervals. Looks like Killington will be able to make it to mid May or later this year at least. 

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26 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

Heading up to Belleayre tomorrow to play on the 4-5 inches they received yesterday and last night. Was going to go today but the potential for wind holds kept us away. Like our last time out this year. Overall it wasn’t a horrible season but definitely not the best. Had some big ups and some major downs but hopefully next season will be less torrential rains throughout the season at random intervals. Looks like Killington will be able to make it to mid May or later this year at least. 

They almost always go to May

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1 hour ago, psv88 said:

They almost always go to May

That’s my point. Was an okay year with lots of downturns. Their good years they usually get to the first of June. But usually you gotta really be dedicated and okay with mud. I’m just shocked Catamount was blowing snow for the weekend even though Saturday looks like a wash out even there. 

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1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

HRRR is a drencher so far. 0z has 4" on the NJ shore and NYC, 3" just about everywhere else.

The potential for 4" amounts is there. Other models are further NW. 

If those amounts verify then there would definitely be some flooding 

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Rainfall record for 23rd is 1.60" (1929), one of lower ones (Friday's record 3.44" in 1977, Sunday's 2.05" in 1989). 

The monthly record of 4.25" precip (incl 0.5" snow) was on 25th in 1876. 3.86" on 13th of 2010 is second highest daily value of this month. The 22nd 1977 value is third, and 3.10" on 19th (1983) is fourth. 

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Looks like NYC only got down to 29°so it avoided the hard freeze some of the colder guidance was calling for. The GFS actually did better again that some of the other guidance which had mid 20s. So hopefully there won’t be much damage to the early blooms. 

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