MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 hour ago, nycwinter said: the start of many beautiful winter days coats hoodie winter hat and even gloves on some mornings i could not as k for anything more.. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Hat and gloves for 45-50? LOL this morning was 45 and i wore a coat and hat and hoodie and so were the majority of nyc folks.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 17 minutes ago, nycwinter said: this morning was 45 and i wore a coat and hat and hoodie and so were the majority of nyc folks.. Soft. It's gotten so warm 45 feels like an ice age now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 5 hours ago, Allsnow said: This weather stinks Too bad the idea of Tuesday being just a brief cool shot and then a quick warmup failed. Now it looks cool through the weekend, but thankfully next week looks warmer. Not a huge warmup like we had last week, but a decent one. We'll probably get back to 60s. I'm starting the garden with the cool season vegetables next week, so the warmer temps will be nice for the spring planting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nice for ski country but too late as some are already closed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: 10:1 ratios lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 hour ago, winterwx21 said: Too bad the idea of Tuesday being just a brief cool shot and then a quick warmup failed. Now it looks cool through the weekend, but thankfully next week looks warmer. Not a huge warmup like we had last week, but a decent one. We'll probably get back to 60s. I'm starting the garden with the cool season vegetables next week, so the warmer temps will be nice for the spring planting. 60's is fine if it's sunny-sun angle is strong now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 59 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Nice for ski country but too late as some are already closed They did much better last March with the -NAO and record MJO 8. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Yeah I skiied western MA after that storm-it was great-no one was there (probably b/c there was no snow at the coast-back yard effect) and once clocks go ahead people lose interest in winter activities... Condition are horrid now except well north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 25 minutes ago, bluewave said: They did much better last March with the -NAO and record MJO 8. Looks like MSP might make up for the snowless winter this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 13 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Looks like MSP might make up for the snowless winter this week Too bad we can't also cash in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Too bad we can't also cash in We don’t cash in when they do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 12 minutes ago, Allsnow said: We don’t cash in anymore True 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 A cooler air mass now covers the region. Although it is not exceptionally cold, it is noticeably colder than the warmth that preceded it. A somewhat stronger shot of colder air will arrive Wednesday or Wednesday night. The low temperature could approach or reach freezing on Thursday morning or Friday morning in New York City. A potential storm will need to be monitored for the weekend. However, details remain uncertain. If the storm tracks close to the coast, it could bring a high-impact heavy windswept rain to the region. If it passes farther offshore, it could produce a gusty breeze and some showers. Coastal flooding at high tide is likely under either scenario, but the former scenario could be a damaging one. Currently, there is large disagreement among the guidance. Milder air will also begin to return during the weekend. The closing days of March could turn warm. No significant snowfall appears likely in the northern Middle Atlantic region through at least March 20th. It is very likely that New York City's Central Park will finish the 2023-2024 snow season with less than 10" of seasonal snowfall for a record second consecutive season. Records go back to 1869. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.1°C for the week centered around March 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.88°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.42°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is now fading. Neutral conditions could develop during the spring. The SOI was +4.21 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.897 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 99% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 48.0° (5.3° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 A pleasant 52 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Snow flurries here, 30. Evidence of sleet on the porch roof. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 5 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Snow flurries here, 30. Evidence of sleet on the porch roof. I thought I heard something very faint landing on the roof earlier this morning... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Euro and CMC are very wet just off the coast-with the usual correction N and W we could get a ton of rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 26 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Euro and CMC are very wet just off the coast-with the usual correction N and W we could get a ton of rain Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Low of 32 and now to 38. Mid / upper 40s today and touching 50 tomorrow before reinforcing shot of cold air comes in Wed - Thu. Upper or mid 20s overnight Wed into Thu and Thu into Fri. Moderates by the weekend but turning wetter with several systems being shown on the latest guidance 3/24-25 and again next week 3/28 - 3/29. Ridging pushing east to open next month. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Records: Highs: EWR : 77 (2012) NYC: 76 (1918) LGA: 72 (2012) Lows: EWR: 8 (1967) NYC: 8 (1967) LGA: 10 (1967) Historical: 1907: The highest March temperature in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, was set when the temperature soared to 97 degrees. Dodge City, Kansas, also set a March record with 98 degrees. Denver, Colorado, set a daily record high of 81 degrees. 1935 - Suffocating dust storms occurred frequently in southeastern Colorado between the 12th and the 25th of the month. Six people died, and many livestock starved or suffocated. Up to six feet of dust covered the ground. Schools were closed, and many rural homes were deserted by tenants. (The Weather Channel) 1948: An estimated F4 tornado moved through Fosterburg, Bunker Hill, and Gillespie, Illinois, killing 33 people and injuring 449 others. 2,000 buildings in Bunker Hill were damaged or destroyed. The total damage was $3.6 million. 1950 - Timberline Lodge reported 246 inches of snow on the ground, a record for the state of Oregon. (The Weather Channel) 1956 - The second heavy snowstorm in just three days hit Boston. Nearby Blue Hill received 19.5 inches contributing to their snowiest March of record. (David Ludlum) 1987 - A storm in the western U.S. produced rain and snow from the northern and central Pacific coast to the northern and central Rockies. Heavier snowfall totals included 13 inches at Clear Creek UT, 12 inches at Snow Camp CA and Glacier Park MT, and 10 inches at Kayenta AZ. Wind gusts reached 54 mph at Winslow AZ. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Seven cities in California and Nevada reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the 80s and lower 90s. Los Angeles CA reported a record high of 89 degrees. Five cities in south central Texas reported record lows, including El Paso, with a reading of 22 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Six cities reported new record low temperatures for the date as cold arctic air settled into the Upper Midwest for Palm Sunday, including Marquette MI with a reading of 11 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Rather wintry weather in the eastern U.S. replaced the 80 degree weather of the previous week. Freezing temperatures were reported in northern sections of the Gulf Coast States, and snow began to whiten the Northern and Central Appalachians. Up to eight inches of snow was reported in western Virginia. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2003 - Denver digs out from the second-biggest snowstorm in the city's history. Almost two and a half feet of wet snow over 36 hours shuts down the city. The month ends as Denver's snowiest March on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Euro and CMC are very wet just off the coast-with the usual correction N and W we could get a ton of rain Much more model spread than we typically see around 5 days out. The potential for heavy rains is there if everything gels. But this is a lower confidence forecast than usual since cutoffs in spring are the hardest for models to resolve. Each model has a different low position at 120 hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Euro and CMC are very wet just off the coast-with the usual correction N and W we could get a ton of rain Shocking. Another weekend washout 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 enjoying this winter morning in the city coat hoodie hat and gloves... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 40 minutes ago, bluewave said: Much more model spread than we typically see around 5 days out. The potential for heavy rains is there if everything gels. But this is a lower confidence forecast than usual since cutoffs in spring are the hardest for models to resolve. Each model has a different low position at 120 hrs. Who needs south shore beaches anymore anyways? This one if it sits for a couple days might be a TKO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 24 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Who needs south shore beaches anymore anyways? This one if it sits for a couple days might be a TKO. Yeah, beach erosion and coastal flooding have become the new normal with the more extreme storms and rising sea levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Bottomed out at 32 last night, yesterday high was 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, nycwinter said: enjoying this winter morning in the city coat hoodie hat and gloves... Happy Spring!! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Much more model spread than we typically see around 5 days out. The potential for heavy rains is there if everything gels. But this is a lower confidence forecast than usual since cutoffs in spring are the hardest for models to resolve. Each model has a different low position at 120 hrs. So much for the weekend snowstorm fantasies lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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