JerseyWx Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 3 hours ago, bluewave said: Plenty of extra Atlantic warmth and moisture to fuel more heavy rains. Good data. Definitely not surprised to see we're in the wetter area. Really ever since June it's felt like we've been in an excessively grey and wet period. Almost never had to add water to the pool, and look how many weekends we lost in the Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 21 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Good data. Definitely not surprised to see we're in the wetter area. Really ever since June it's felt like we've been in an excessively grey and wet period. Almost never had to add water to the pool, and look how many weekends we lost in the Fall. Meanwhile, an hour south from most of you guys, June - October was very dry. Lots of wildfires in the Pines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 27 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Good data. Definitely not surprised to see we're in the wetter area. Really ever since June it's felt like we've been in an excessively grey and wet period. Almost never had to add water to the pool, and look how many weekends we lost in the Fall. Yeah, the extended Euro continues with the wet pattern until further notice. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 IF there were to be a weird late season event, this would be the pattern needed to get it done 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 Let’s see how long it takes the long range models to see the MJO this time and fold like an accordion lol We’ve seen this movie before and we know how it ends…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 32 minutes ago, snowman19 said: It's weird that people still think it's actually going to get cold for more than a couple of days...this is like the 4th or 5th time around on this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 45 here in NYC 75 in Pittsburgh 70s near the lakes LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: 45 here in NYC 75 in Pittsburgh 70s near the lakes LOL that's why there's no cold pattern coming there is zero cold or snowcover ANYWHERE. We're just unlucky to have a storm over us otherwise we'd be pushing 70 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: It's weird that people still think it's actually going to get cold for more than a couple of days...this is like the 4th or 5th time around on this The MJO is going to win, again. Hit the repeat button. It’s like the movie Groundhog Day. This has been happening with the long range models since November, phantom blocking mirages over and over again. “Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me” 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 Pain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 Now of course it will be right 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 18 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Now of course it will be right Extremely unlikely that it is. Like winning the lottery odds of it being correct. It’s a game of how many times are people going to fall for it now. Even if it was right, it’s late March at that point…..too little, too late 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 25 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Now of course it will be right It will be right on the -NAO for sure-expect a damp/wet April that part is tradition 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 44 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Now of course it will be right Yup. Just in time to delay nice weather and ext the miserable weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: IF there were to be a weird late season event, this would be the pattern needed to get it done Today was your March snowstorm. 10 degrees too warm for it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 20 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: Today was your March snowstorm. 10 degrees too warm for it. Today would’ve been rain any time of the year. This is a hugger that would’ve driven warm air in for the coast. Well inland might’ve stayed snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 4 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Today would’ve been rain any time of the year. This is a hugger that would’ve driven warm air in for the coast. Well inland might’ve stayed snow. it would’ve been a snow rain event with a good dump upfront. Long story short it’s just too warm to snow around here now and it’s been like that all winter. There’s no March snowstorm coming to save the day. You need absolutely perfect conditions at this point to get snow around here and that really only happens in the heart of winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 17 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: it would’ve been a snow rain event with a good dump upfront. Long story short it’s just too warm to snow around here now and it’s been like that all winter. There’s no March snowstorm coming to save the day. You need absolutely perfect conditions at this point to get snow around here and that really only happens in the heart of winter No more snow, but of course the misery's nowhere near done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 The temperature again soared to daily record highs in parts of Ontario, Quebec, and western New York State. However, a storm brought periods of rain and cooler onshore breezes to the northern Mid-Atlantic region today. Rain will end overnight, but the respite will be short. Another storm will drench the region with a general 1"-2" of rain later tomorrow into Thursday. Locally higher amounts are possible. Yet another storm could bring rain to the region during the weekend. An extended period of warmer than normal weather continues. March will likely see generally unseasonable warmth through the first 7-10 days of the month. The first week of March could see the temperature average near 10° above normal in New York City. The generally mild conditions could persist through mid-month. Afterward, there is emerging consensus on the guidance that a deep trough could develop. However, as has generally been the case this winter, no Arctic air masses are likely. As a result, any cold will likely not be severe for the season and the potential exists for it to be fairly short-lived, much as occurred in February. No significant snowfall appears likely in the northern Middle Atlantic region through at least March 10th. The probability of an unprecedented second consecutive winter with less than 10" seasonal snowfall in New York City's Central Park has increased. Records go back to 1869. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around February 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.93°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.58°C. A basinwide El Niño event is ongoing. The ongoing El Niño event will continue to fade during March. Neutral conditions could develop during the spring. The SOI was -2.87 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.507 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 No model agreement for tomorrow. Nam keeps going through Thursday and over 2". Euro and gfs are an inch and outta here by tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Nam cut way back 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 53 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam cut way back Good to see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Picked up 0.71" of rain for the day here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 5th warmest start to March around +10. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Mar 1 to Mar 5 Missing Count 1 1991-03-05 52.1 0 2 2004-03-05 51.5 0 3 1880-03-05 48.9 0 4 1964-03-05 48.8 0 5 2024-03-05 48.7 0 6 1974-03-05 47.4 0 7 1882-03-05 47.3 0 8 1973-03-05 46.8 0 - 1961-03-05 46.8 0 9 2020-03-05 46.6 0 - 1979-03-05 46.6 0 - 1919-03-05 46.6 0 10 1983-03-05 46.3 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 11 hours ago, Allsnow said: This winter gives 01-02 a run for it nationally-almost no snowcover anywhere outside of mountain areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 16 hours ago, MJO812 said: 45 here in NYC 75 in Pittsburgh 70s near the lakes LOL NE flow where water helps cool things. We are seattle, they are spokane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 You know things are bad (especially for the ski resorts) when these are the overnight obs from the top of Mt. Washington last night… NW 39 60.00 Mostly Cloudy and Windy BKN030 BKN100 37 36 38 36 93% 23 NA NA NA 06 05:53 NW 41 60.00 Mostly Cloudy and Windy FEW030 BKN100 37 36 93% 23 NA NA NA 06 04:55 NW 41 60.00 Partly Cloudy and Windy SCT120 37 36 93% 23 NA NA NA 06 03:58 N 44 0.06 Fog and Windy VV001 36 36 100% 21 NA NA NA 06 02:57 N 46 0.06 Fog and Windy VV001 37 37 100% 22 NA NA NA 06 01:57 N 46 0.06 Fog and Windy VV001 37 37 100% 22 NA NA NA 06 00:47 N 36 0.06 Fog and Windy VV002 37 37 39 37 100% 23 NA NA NA 0.40 05 23:56 NW 23 0.06 Light Rain Fog and Breezy VV002 37 37 100% 26 NA NA NA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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