TriPol Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Could hit 70 on March 1 next week in NYC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 5 hours ago, TriPol said: Could hit 70 on March 1 next week in NYC. Really? I thought it was supposed to cool down into the 40s by March 1 after being in the 60s at the end of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Larry Cosgrove has finally given up in his new blog. He was going for a big cold/snowy winter in the east. Said he thinks it’s over https://clearskyweather.com/2024/02/23/the-weather-pattern-is-looking-distinctly-springlike-except-if-you-live-in-the-west-or-in-canada/ 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 29 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Larry Cosgrove has finally given up in his new blog. He was going for a big cold/snowy winter in the east. Said he thinks it’s over https://clearskyweather.com/2024/02/23/the-weather-pattern-is-looking-distinctly-springlike-except-if-you-live-in-the-west-or-in-canada/ Ya think! Some real diehards this season. Some are STILL hanging on for dear life thinking their forecasts will be vindicated with a cold and snowy March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 47 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Larry Cosgrove has finally given up in his new blog. He was going for a big cold/snowy winter in the east. Said he thinks it’s over https://clearskyweather.com/2024/02/23/the-weather-pattern-is-looking-distinctly-springlike-except-if-you-live-in-the-west-or-in-canada/ A few were going big cold and snow but that failed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 1 hour ago, MANDA said: Ya think! Some real diehards this season. Some are STILL hanging on for dear life thinking their forecasts will be vindicated with a cold and snowy March. Maybe they'll start to catch on and stop assuming every winter has to be a snowy one. The year they finally go below we'll get blasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 I’m sure no one is going to believe this, but the new EPS and GEFS folded on the “better” PAC and Atlantic in the long range. The GEPS never really bought into it and the weeklies kicked the can down the road to late March for the fantasy “good” look the other day. The SSW is falling by the way side too. This one is destined to be a ratter right to the bitter end…. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 5 hours ago, snowman19 said: Larry Cosgrove has finally given up in his new blog. He was going for a big cold/snowy winter in the east. Said he thinks it’s over https://clearskyweather.com/2024/02/23/the-weather-pattern-is-looking-distinctly-springlike-except-if-you-live-in-the-west-or-in-canada/ From what I remember he predicted a backloaded winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 59 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I’m sure no one is going to believe this, but the new EPS and GEFS folded on the “better” PAC and Atlantic in the long range. The GEPS never really bought into it and the weeklies kicked the can down the road to late March for the fantasy “good” look the other day. The SSW is falling by the way side too. This one is destined to be a ratter right to the bitter end…. It's probably not too surprising. The weeklies have little or no skill beyond two weeks. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: I’m sure no one is going to believe this, but the new EPS and GEFS folded on the “better” PAC and Atlantic in the long range. The GEPS never really bought into it and the weeklies kicked the can down the road to late March for the fantasy “good” look the other day. The SSW is falling by the way side too. This one is destined to be a ratter right to the bitter end…. Gonna stop at an organic stuff nursery on Monday and grab some soil. Time to start making food 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 47 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: It's probably not too surprising. The weeklies have little or no skill beyond two weeks. Now all that's left is to determine when we'll have our last freeze. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: It's probably not too surprising. The weeklies have little or no skill beyond two weeks. Yep especially the weeklies are daily now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 I'm guessing degree days, or the amount of home heating oil and the like, for March will be below normal. Money in the pocket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 4 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: I'm guessing degree days, or the amount of home heating oil and the like, for March will be below normal. Money in the pocket. I dont think it works that way. I notice the companies adjust their costs so if the winter is warmer they charge more per unit to make up the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Even JB threw in the towel 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 I don’t think people realize how bad fire season will be in Canada this year with the lack of snow cover and very little precipitation. I know some love the warmth but you won’t when we start to face crop shortages etc. This is actually a very alarming trajectory we are on. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 7 hours ago, gravitylover said: Gonna stop at an organic stuff nursery on Monday and grab some soil. Time to start making food The ensembles are a full on torch now for March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 5 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The ensembles are a full on torch now for March Gfs brings the colder pattern back which is possible given the NAO and PNA along with the MJO. Ensembles are useless given that they showed a big change to colder weather at this point which never verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 5 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Even JB threw in the towel So now we can expect at least a few more opportunities for frozen precip here March and April........looking at the 0Z GFS - it is possible IMO 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 16 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs brings the colder pattern back which is possible given the NAO and PNA along with the MJO. Ensembles are useless given that they showed a big change to colder weather at this point which never verified. Op GFS lol It’s over dude. JB just called it quits. It’s warm as far as the eye can see 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 2 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Op GFS lol It’s over dude. JB just called it quits. It’s warm as far as the eye can see lol - no real warm weather is in site yet............ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 8 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: lol - no real warm weather is in site yet............ Right, it’s not going to get warm ROTFLMFAOOO. March looks arctic cold and snowy. And the 300+ hour op GFS?! Lol! Let it go. It’s over Johnny. The fat lady has sung, stick a fork in it, say goodnight and goodbye. Done. Bring down the curtain. Adios. A former winter. It’s dead Jim. In the cemetery. RIP Winter 23-24 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: lol - no real warm weather is in site yet............ there will be 1 -2 day windows for frozen in March and early April just like many winters . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: there will be 1 -2 day windows for frozen in March and early April just like many winters . Agree No point throwing in the towel this early 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 4 hours ago, JustinRP37 said: I don’t think people realize how bad fire season will be in Canada this year with the lack of snow cover and very little precipitation. I know some love the warmth but you won’t when we start to face crop shortages etc. This is actually a very alarming trajectory we are on. I think at some point people will start removing these trees that cause the fires, I've already seen talk of it on various forums "the only way to prevent the fires is to remove the fuel which causes them" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: I think at some point people will start removing these trees that cause the fires, I've already seen talk of it on various forums "the only way to prevent the fires is to remove the fuel which causes them" Which is impossible over thousands of miles of boreal forests in northern Canada. Just like the fires last summer couldn’t be put out. There is zero infrastructure, no roads, thousands of lakes and bogs not to mention mosquitoes swarms that block out the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Which is impossible over thousands of miles of boreal forests in northern Canada. Just like the fires last summer couldn’t be put out. There is zero infrastructure, no roads, thousands of lakes and bogs not to mention mosquitoes swarms that block out the sun. We're in for some bad times if what happened last June repeats itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 11 hours ago, LibertyBell said: We're in for some bad times if what happened last June repeats itself. if we experience mainly south - southwest flow and primarily winds from that direction at various levels of the atmosphere or an onshore flow the same smoky sky conditions if the fires develop in Canada will not reach our area as much as last years flow allowed it too...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 22 hours ago, LibertyBell said: I dont think it works that way. I notice the companies adjust their costs so if the winter is warmer they charge more per unit to make up the difference. Yeah, they are guaranteed to cover their base costs... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 what we've learned so far this winter: we can't look at longe range models and really BELIEVE that we are in for something good lets be honest with ourselves, this winter trumped 22-23, and thats saying something. up here in wp it snowed 5? times. It was distinctly beautiful each and every time. collectively, we should put this winter in the rearview and look forward to spring. time to rejuvenate and get outdoors, we'll all be here doing the same ol' thing again this upcoming november. @snowman19 im with you on this one. stick a fork in it, this winter is done. my next concern is the pac needs to chill so california gets some dry and above normal temps for april, got a week long skate trip out there, and after trudging through this winter, my seasonal depression needs to see the sun out there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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