2024 Severe Weather General Discussion

[nj2va]

13 minutes ago, WeatherShak said:

Gonna fill in


.

You called it. Filled in nicely 

[Random Chaos]

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Swear I’m seeing some gentle rotation IRL looking towards College Park

Radar scope pro picked something up there:

[Kmlwx]

Enjoy the storms - it's possible we go on a run of not much excitement. 

[WEATHER53]

10 thunder reports and two close.  38 mph  gust, 0.80” so far 

[WeatherShak]

You called it. Filled in nicely 

Outside radar watching and eating some fresh smoked brisket!




.

[MN Transplant]

Quarter inch of rain and no wind, but good T&L makes it a nice stormy evening.

[yoda]

Verified for a severe thunderstorm watch if there had been one with 6 damage reports so far... naso much the tornado watch 

[Random Chaos]

Great clouds passing over the bay:

 

[birdsofprey02]

Tornado warning around Odenton has expired. Passing thru north side of Crofton Gambrills now with heavy rain, some winds, and a decent amount of lightening and thunder. 

[dailylurker]

Lovely stormy evening. Classic nighttime thunderstorm vibe. 

[dailylurker]

Looks like some suss around Glenn Dale. This thing is winding up to slap my area. Big gust coming through the forest. 

[Kmlwx]

Dewpoint behind the storms is down by around 7-8 degrees. Temp down to 66 degrees (off the high of 78.9). 

Can't wait for the 50s dewpoints (40s even!). 

[WxUSAF]

about 0.5”

[vastateofmind]

This is what it looked like about 5 minutes after the latest STW was issued, and about 2 minutes before the "really good" rain hit...   

[weatherCCB]

0.79” here

gusty garden variety storm here

Much needed the rain though

[Herb@MAWS]

0.45” IMBY. Most fell in a 20-min period 8:00-8:20. Still a light rain and some L&T but clearing to the west/NW. 

[freestater]

1 hour ago, Kmlwx said:

MoCo cell N of Wolf Trap has had some occasional interesting velocity but it keeps going away. Showing up on the TBWI scans a bit. 

Timelapse from directly below.

[Terpeast]

Second round was windier than the first, heavier rain. 

Last year I didn’t get trained on like this. Nice event today

[high risk]

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

about 0.5”

     Jealous.    Not too far south of you, I only got 0.10"

[WEATHER53]

1 hour ago, vastateofmind said:

This is what it looked like about 5 minutes after the latest STW was issued, and about 2 minutes before the "really good" rain hit...   

One hell of a picture looking down the squall line it appears?

[SnowenOutThere]

1 hour ago, WeatherShak said:

Gonna fill in.

Was too late for me…

[high risk]

10 hours ago, high risk said:

I'm going to toss the HiResWs (which don't assimilate ongoing rain) and focus on the NAM Nest and HRRR.    Both show some limited airmass recovery this afternoon generally north of DC and generate at least a few storms across northern and central MD towards dinner time.      Surface winds are veered, so unless a storm finds an outflow boundary, the tornado threat is likely lower, but IF we can get heating, the shear would support at least isolated instances of damaging wind.

      The HRRR and NAM Nest overall handled this pretty well.    The storms ended up extending a bit south of DC, but the overall idea of the best coverage and intensity north of DC, along with the show not occurring until late, was spot on.    And while there were a few wind reports (and 1 hail report?) the TOR threat was overall low;  maybe I'll be shocked, and they'll find something near Laurel, but the signature that prompted the warning was modest at best and did not last long at all.

[Random Chaos]

I picked up 0.71" of rain.

[vastateofmind]

1 hour ago, WEATHER53 said:

One hell of a picture looking down the squall line it appears?

I believe so, and thank you!

[WxUSAF]

8 hours ago, high risk said:

     Jealous.    Not too far south of you, I only got 0.10"

Ava Marie just showed the rainfall map on WBAL and there was a crazy gradient along 95 between laurel and Elkridge into Baltimore. You were the anti-bullseye with 1”+ just to my N/E.

[The Dude]

Fun storm last night.  3 bolts within a 1/4 mile, 1.45" of rain, and pea size hail.  Decent wind gusts, probably in the 40-45 mph range.

[midatlanticweather]

In all the excitement yesterday, I am not certain this was shared. If so, I can delete.

 

922 
NOUS41 KLWX 272245
PNSLWX
DCZ001-MDZ001-003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-501>508-VAZ025>031-
036>040-050-051-053>057-501>508-526-527-WVZ050>053-055-501>506-
281045-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
645 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...NWS Damage Survey for 5/26/24 Rixeyville Virginia Tornado...

.Rixeyville Tornado...

Rating:                 	   EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind:    	   95 mph
Path Length /statute/:  	   4.8 miles
Path Width /maximum/:          100 yards
Fatalities:                    0
Injuries:                      5

Start Date:             	   05/26/2024
Start Time:             	   09:27 PM EDT
Start Location:         	   5 WSW Rixeyville / Culpeper County / VA
Start Lat/Lon:          	   38.5593 / -78.0636

End Date:                      05/26/2024
End Time:               	   09:35 PM EDT
End Location:          		   Rixeyville / Culpeper County / VA
End Lat/Lon:           		   38.5807 / -77.9800

Survey Summary:
The National Weather Service conducted a ground survey of storm
damage in the Rixeyville area that occurred on Sunday night,May
26, 2024. NWS Doppler Weather Radar in Sterling, Virginia showed a
rotating severe thunderstorm that developed a tornado. The
National Weather Service issued a Tornado Warning for the affected
area at 9:15 PM EDT, in advance of the tornado. Radar also showed
a tornado damage signature due to lofted debris from the tornado
as it was occurring. The tornado touched down along Dunkard 
Church Road, a third of a mile west of Eggbornsville Road in 
rural, northwest Culpeper County. Several trees were snapped and 
uprooted in multiple directions. The tornado proceeded east-
northeast and crossed Eggbornsville Road. In this area two dozen 
trees were noted to be snapped and uprooted in multiple 
directions. The tornado passed over several homes and a church, 
but no structural damage was noted to these. The winds picked up 
and overturned a large shed with five occupants; these people were
injured when the shed overturned due to the strong winds. Another
smaller shed was also overturned. A resident reported seeing the 
funnel touch down to the west of the road. Another resident 
reported receiving the Tornado Warning in advance over the cell 
phone Wireless Emergency Alerts. A drone video showed a path of 
damage that was approximately 100 yards wide.

The tornado continued east-northeast, snapping and uprooting at
least a dozen large trees along Settle School Road as it 
traversed a stretch of that road between Tolivers Forest Lane and 
Spring Hollow Lane. Several trees were snapped down as it crossed 
Dutch Hollow Road. Tree damage continued to be in multiple 
directions, including opposite the storm motion. The tornado 
proceeded another two miles, but did not cross another road until 
the final property where damage was noted. In the 9000 block of 
Monumental Mills Road, a two foot diameter branch of a large beech
tree was snapped off, along with smaller tree damage from a 
southeast wind. That was the last damage noted, and there was no 
damage seen just east along Rixeyville Road.

The National Weather Service would like to thank Culpeper County
Department of Emergency Services for their support in conducting 
this survey, and providing storm damage reports to the National 
Weather Service the night of the tornado.

&&

EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the
following categories:

EF0.....65 to 85 mph
EF1.....86 to 110 mph
EF2.....111 to 135 mph
EF3.....136 to 165 mph
EF4.....166 to 200 mph
EF5.....>200 mph

NOTE:
The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
change pending final review of the event and publication in
NWS Storm Data.


$$

[Kmlwx]

In typical Kmlwx fashion...I'm already hunting our next window. 

CIPS has a bit of a signal at the 240hr frame (day 10). That's probably the next chance for anything. For now it seems we'll be lower humidity and a lot more stable for the time being. Not complaining as long as we can keep the 68-70+ dewpoints away. It can get humid...but only if we cash in with woo storms. 

[WEATHER53]

12 hours ago, vastateofmind said:

I believe so, and thank you!

I mean it looks like for example that it’s moving west to east and somehow you got on the north end of it and took the shot facing south 

I think that quite a Wow!!

[vastateofmind]

2 hours ago, WEATHER53 said:

I mean it looks like for example that it’s moving west to east and somehow you got on the north end of it and took the shot facing south 

I think that quite a Wow!!

Again, I appreciate the "wow" -- I'm not nearly as talented as most other photographers sharing their work here. And you're spot-on, I was shooting in the direction of SSW when I took that...