nj2va Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: You can see the line go to bed folks west of 95 it's over Phew, I’m just to the east. I’m saved! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Storm over AA County looks good. I’m going to get it soon. Hopefully decent rain with it. Radar is indicating a hail core, hopefully that misses me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 The Spotsy Storm looks rather nasty at the moment. NWS saying considerable threat with 70 mph winds and golf ball size hail possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Just came in from spending about 5 hours outside. (nasty dp) Got a few dozen drops a couple of times only to see the cells pop just a couple miles to the east. Ground is hard as rock - have only managed .64" for the entire month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Brief shower, complete steam bath now. 91, DP 84 after the shower, HI 114! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 17 minutes ago, RDM said: Just came in from spending about 5 hours outside. (nasty dp) Got a few dozen drops a couple of times only to see the cells pop just a couple miles to the east. Ground is hard as rock - have only managed .64" for the entire month. 10 minutes ago, GATECH said: Brief shower, complete steam bath now. 91, DP 84 after the shower, HI 114! Mrs. & I spent entire afternoon on the back patio, too. And yeah, super muggy and hot, but...not bad with a fan! I took a short 15 min nap starting around 5:15 when it was still sunny...and was jolted awake by my wife a half hour ago, who was trying to cover the patio furniture in a sudden shower. And now, post-shower, 88/74, and like @GATECH says, definite steam bath. But hey...we got to eke out a relaxing afternoon outside. And, we got up to 103 for our high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moosey2323 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 All eyes on this cumulus field -- entering the higher CAPE environment...Cell on the northeast corner seemed to fire off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSWired Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 This one had some solid lightning associated with it. Maybe 20 knot gusts when it passed over us, but apparently it was stronger just north in Severn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 More from that same post: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 12 minutes ago, Moosey2323 said: All eyes on this cumulus field -- entering the higher CAPE environment...Cell on the northeast corner seemed to fire off. That should be the front. You can kind of make it out on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Ramjet Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Yup, that's the front. Has already cleared extreme northwest corner of Loudoun. Humidity is already dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 New warned cell just popped out of nowhere near Lorton. Edit: EAST of 95, per @aldie 22’s call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 90, but dews dropped to 68. Drier air moving in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 These are some rather swift developing severe storms. Wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 Ended with 0.50" rain, don’t think I’ll get more. And a great sunset: 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 Disappointing way to end nasty heat though I did pick up nearly 3/4” last night. If I had gotten skunked for the weekend, I’d be pretty hard to tolerate right now. Sorry for those that got shut out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 Yeah sorry to the many who got nothing all weekend. I feel blessed to luck into 0.6 last night. This is going to be a rough summer with many 95-plus days and very little rainfall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 Getting a nice storm here now. Nothing severe, but some glorious heavy rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 1 hour ago, BlizzardNole said: Yeah sorry to the many who got nothing all weekend. I feel blessed to luck into 0.6 last night. This is going to be a rough summer with many 95-plus days and very little rainfall It does seem like that kind of summer. Hot and dry most of the time where we routinely blow past 95 like its nothing. Doesn’t seem like the pattern will change anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 MRGL for the 4th. There will be convection in the area later in the day, but shear is really meh. Still, with a hot, well-mixed boundary layer, a few stronger wind gusts can't be ruled out. What's interesting is that there is a a weak consensus for this being an event for DC and points south, but there are still a few CAM solutions that get points north of DC in on the action too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Feeling like another swing and miss day...July will be dryer than June unless things turn around. Severe drought here some of us come 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Since it’s quiet in here, thought you might like to see what my tree trunk looks like after my direct strike from June 29 with the tree removed yesterday. Pretty wild. 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Sneaky severe threat tomorrow? SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... The remnants of Beryl are expected to pass well to the north across the Great Lakes into New England. However, some of the enhanced synoptic flow may extend southward into the local area. This would be able to interact with the persistent hot, humid, and unstable thermodynamic environment. With that said, the atmosphere is certainly ripe for more widespread showers and thunderstorms. Along or just ahead of a cold front, the latest high-resolution guidance favors a later show than usual with a north/south band of convection pushing eastward to around I-95 by the early/mid evening. This should continue a slow but steady march eastward to the Chesapeake Bay before exiting after midnight. The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded most locations up to a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms. The current exceptions would be the Allegheny Mountains and far southern Maryland. Damaging wind gusts are the primary threat, but a brief isolated tornado cannot be ruled, especially for the more northern locations. Vertical shear is a bit stronger coupled with decent cyclonically curved low-level hodographs. Any threat for severe thunderstorms should halt by the overnight hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 1 hour ago, yoda said: Sneaky severe threat tomorrow? SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... The remnants of Beryl are expected to pass well to the north across the Great Lakes into New England. However, some of the enhanced synoptic flow may extend southward into the local area. This would be able to interact with the persistent hot, humid, and unstable thermodynamic environment. With that said, the atmosphere is certainly ripe for more widespread showers and thunderstorms. Along or just ahead of a cold front, the latest high-resolution guidance favors a later show than usual with a north/south band of convection pushing eastward to around I-95 by the early/mid evening. This should continue a slow but steady march eastward to the Chesapeake Bay before exiting after midnight. The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded most locations up to a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms. The current exceptions would be the Allegheny Mountains and far southern Maryland. Damaging wind gusts are the primary threat, but a brief isolated tornado cannot be ruled, especially for the more northern locations. Vertical shear is a bit stronger coupled with decent cyclonically curved low-level hodographs. Any threat for severe thunderstorms should halt by the overnight hours. Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 At this point, I am just going to ask my magic 8 ball. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 4 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: Yes. Mount Holly mentions a robust dry slot, but later in the evening and early night when storms might reach further East. Areas N and W could get severe storms earlier near the Fall Line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 3k NAM has a line of storms cutting across the whole area that pushes through later this evening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 22 minutes ago, nj2va said: 3k NAM has a line of storms cutting across the whole area that pushes through later this evening. I just want some thunderstorms please 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 Morning update from SPC now has SLGT risk from i66 corridor in N VA and north... MRGL down to Richmond 2/0/15 for the SLGT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Morning update from SPC now has SLGT risk from i66 corridor in N VA and north... MRGL down to Richmond 2% tor added Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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