2024 Severe Weather General Discussion

[Terpeast]

Think the cap is about to break. Just looked out the window and the clouds have that look. Also a bigger cumulonimbus budding way out to my north. 

[vastateofmind]

30 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Blue sky here and purely tropical. Temperature is 95 and the dewpoint is 78. If that isn't enough for storms I don’t know what is.  

19 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Classic day of decent lightning and probably some real nice downpours.

Yeah, honestly shocked it cleared out as much as it did. It's 98 right now. And I'm waiting (with somewhat bated breath) for the wx radio's klaxon to fire off any minute signaling a STW.

[SmokeEater]

Severe watch coming shortly east of the Blue Ridge.

Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk

[nj2va]

A few isolated cells starting to pop

[aldie 22]

Has all the feel of everything developing south and east of here....parched

[vastateofmind]

And....there it is. 99/72 IMBY. Can't imagine something won't happen later...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 491
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2024

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 491 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

VAC001-003-007-011-013-025-029-033-036-037-041-047-049-053-057-
059-061-065-073-075-079-081-083-085-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-
107-109-111-113-115-117-119-127-131-133-135-137-145-147-149-153-
157-159-175-177-179-181-183-193-199-510-540-550-570-595-600-610-
620-630-650-670-683-685-700-710-730-735-740-760-800-810-830-
010300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0491.240630T1920Z-240701T0300Z/

VA
.    VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ACCOMACK             ALBEMARLE           AMELIA
APPOMATTOX           ARLINGTON           BRUNSWICK
BUCKINGHAM           CAROLINE            CHARLES CITY
CHARLOTTE            CHESTERFIELD        CULPEPER
CUMBERLAND           DINWIDDIE           ESSEX
FAIRFAX              FAUQUIER            FLUVANNA
GLOUCESTER           GOOCHLAND           GREENE
GREENSVILLE          HALIFAX             HANOVER
HENRICO              ISLE OF WIGHT       JAMES CITY
KING AND QUEEN       KING GEORGE         KING WILLIAM
LANCASTER            LOUDOUN             LOUISA
LUNENBURG            MADISON             MATHEWS
MECKLENBURG          MIDDLESEX           NEW KENT
NORTHAMPTON          NORTHUMBERLAND      NOTTOWAY
ORANGE               POWHATAN            PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE        PRINCE WILLIAM      RAPPAHANNOCK
RICHMOND             SOUTHAMPTON         SPOTSYLVANIA
STAFFORD             SURRY               SUSSEX
WESTMORELAND         YORK


VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE

ALEXANDRIA           CHARLOTTESVILLE     CHESAPEAKE
COLONIAL HEIGHTS     EMPORIA             FAIRFAX
FALLS CHURCH         FRANKLIN            FREDERICKSBURG
HAMPTON              HOPEWELL            MANASSAS
MANASSAS PARK        NEWPORT NEWS        NORFOLK
PETERSBURG           POQUOSON            PORTSMOUTH
RICHMOND             SUFFOLK             VIRGINIA BEACH
WILLIAMSBURG
$$

[Terpeast]

Cell approaching me fizzled. Which is fine, keep the heating going to further stretch the rubber band until it snaps. Hard. 

This heat and muggy air isn’t going away quietly. 

[dailylurker]

Up to 98 here with windows dripping condensation on the outside. DP here in the forest is 79. 

[nj2va]

Outside shot at 100? 98/77

[frd]

21 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Up to 98 here with windows dripping condensation on the outside. DP here in the forest is 79. 

 

Dewpoint 79 here as well, incredible !!!! 

[dailylurker]

3 minutes ago, frd said:

 

Dewpoint 79 here as well, incredible !!!! 

I think that's the highest I've ever seen. Maybe cracked 80 once. The cap is definitely breaking. I'm seeing lots of lift in the clouds. 

[frd]

5 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I think that's the highest I've ever seen. Maybe cracked 80 once. The cap is definitely breaking. I'm seeing lots of lift in the clouds. 

79 dew point is like maybe once a summer ?  I hardly ever see that here as well. 

Tomato plants and eggplants are very happy in my garden. 

Be safe out there.  

[frd]

8 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I think that's the highest I've ever seen. Maybe cracked 80 once. The cap is definitely breaking. I'm seeing lots of lift in the clouds. 

Speaking of lift, complex in South Central PA is now warned and moving towards Cecil county MD. and Northern DE. including me. PWATs are over 2 inches. 

[WxUSAF]

And it seems I have a warning for that cell entering HoCo

[AmericanWxFreak]

9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

And it seems I have a warning for that cell entering HoCo

Not sure it looks too menacing but we’ll see 

[NorthArlington101]

Not sure it looks too menacing but we’ll see 

I am an LWX critic only for STWs.

Where are the 60mph winds that are “radar-indicated” to justify the warning? It looked a little better earlier but now I can’t find >20 and this was just reissued.

[Kmlwx]

4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I am an LWX critic only for STWs.

Where are the 60mph winds that are “radar-indicated” to justify the warning? It looked a little better earlier but now I can’t find >20 and this was just reissued.

Sometimes you have to look at higher levels or TDWRs but yes they do tend to warn at low thresholds 

[nj2va]

We got a mesoscale precipitation discussion too. The airmass feels like we’re going to get a lot of training storms later. 

[NorthArlington101]

Sometimes you have to look at higher levels or TDWRs but yes they do tend to warn at low thresholds 

Fair enough - TDWRs do make this one look a little better but they also dropped the warning so #vindicated

[Eskimo Joe]

Radar looks.....barren?

[scope1]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Radar looks.....barren?

Yep was wondering the same. 

[WxUSAF]

18 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said:

Not sure it looks too menacing but we’ll see 

Kinda feel apart with worst going towards laurel.

[MN Transplant]

5 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Radar looks.....barren?

Hoping maybe the outflow kicks off something.  That said, the HRRR has been insistent that storms don’t fire until 7/8pm.

[AmericanWxFreak]

12 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Kinda feel apart with worst going towards laurel.

Was a tame heavy shower until a crazy post storm CG hit just now lol 

Sun quickly back out in Columbia and back to steamy instantly. 

[Terpeast]

9 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Hoping maybe the outflow kicks off something.  That said, the HRRR has been insistent that storms don’t fire until 7/8pm.

Good to know. It’s not just the radar being lacking, but also when I look out west it’s almost full sun with minimal clouds… so that made me wonder 

[aldie 22]

Simulated radars all fire up things east of here...I'm not holding my breath if I can't even get fake rain

[WxUSAF]

24 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said:

Was a tame heavy shower until a crazy post storm CG hit just now lol 

Sun quickly back out in Columbia and back to steamy instantly. 

Didn’t add a ton of rain, bit over 0.1”, but I’ll take it.

[dailylurker]

It just seems like something is inhibiting anything from really taking off. Outflow boundaries are being lame, storms aren't growing in coverage, ect. I hear a few rumbles from a storm that's missing me to the NE. It just started making noise. The outflow is blowing through now cooling off temperatures. It's pretty crispy here.

[aldie 22]

You can see the line go to bed folks west of 95 it's over

[nj2va]

Pouring.  Looking to the west and east I see blue skies but I’ll take this little pop up.