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2024 Severe Weather General Discussion


Kmlwx
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
147 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  North central Montgomery County in central Maryland...
  Southeastern Frederick County in north central Maryland...

* Until 215 PM EDT.

* At 147 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Ballenger Creek, or near Harry Grove Stadium,
  moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown,
           flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur.
           Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is
           likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Damascus and Green Valley around 155 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Monrovia and Ijamsville.
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Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming soon per MCD - https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1181.html

 

Mesoscale Discussion 1181
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1245 PM CDT Thu Jun 06 2024

   Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Virginia into
   eastern Maryland...far southern New Jersey...Delaware

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 061745Z - 061915Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...The severe threat should gradually increase through the
   afternoon, as thunderstorms become more widespread. 50-65 mph gusts
   are the main threat, and are expected to become abundant enough to
   warrant a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance within the next few
   hours.

   DISCUSSION...A small mid-level impulse embedded within modest
   westerlies aloft is traversing the central Appalachians, and is
   poised to approach the Atlantic Coastline this afternoon. As this
   occurs, thunderstorms should continue to increase in both coverage
   and intensity through the afternoon. Strong surface heating has
   supported low-level lapse rates to reach 7 C/km (per 17Z
   mesoanalysis), and additional heating should further boost these
   lapse rates in excess of 8 C/km. This will promote efficient
   evaporative cooling and subsequent 50-65 mph gust potential with any
   strong storm that can become sustained. A WW issuance may be needed
   in the next few hours to address the damaging gust threat.

   ..Squitieri/Smith.. 06/06/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...
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6 minutes ago, yoda said:

Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming soon per MCD - https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1181.html

 

Mesoscale Discussion 1181
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1245 PM CDT Thu Jun 06 2024

   Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Virginia into
   eastern Maryland...far southern New Jersey...Delaware

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 061745Z - 061915Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...The severe threat should gradually increase through the
   afternoon, as thunderstorms become more widespread. 50-65 mph gusts
   are the main threat, and are expected to become abundant enough to
   warrant a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance within the next few
   hours.

   DISCUSSION...A small mid-level impulse embedded within modest
   westerlies aloft is traversing the central Appalachians, and is
   poised to approach the Atlantic Coastline this afternoon. As this
   occurs, thunderstorms should continue to increase in both coverage
   and intensity through the afternoon. Strong surface heating has
   supported low-level lapse rates to reach 7 C/km (per 17Z
   mesoanalysis), and additional heating should further boost these
   lapse rates in excess of 8 C/km. This will promote efficient
   evaporative cooling and subsequent 50-65 mph gust potential with any
   strong storm that can become sustained. A WW issuance may be needed
   in the next few hours to address the damaging gust threat.

   ..Squitieri/Smith.. 06/06/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...

mcd1181.png

 

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Well crap! Sitting down in VA at the horse show and the Emergency Alert tune comes over WAMU for that tornado warning. Freaked me out as they have the incorrect information of location. Said North of Ballenger Creek near Harry Grove Stadium. My house is just south of that and reception has been spotty all day down here. So radar would not load up. Called kid at home to see if she got an alert. She said no. Told her about the warning and she looked at radar to see that the warning is down near Urbana. Way to give a mama an anxiety incident only to find out she is fine. 
 

Although looking West over the mountains down here it could get interesting. 

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2 minutes ago, Mrs.J said:

Well crap! Sitting down in VA at the horse show and the Emergency Alert tune comes over WAMU for that tornado warning. Freaked me out as they have the incorrect information of location. Said North of Ballenger Creek near Harry Grove Stadium. My house is just south of that and reception has been spotty all day down here. So radar would not load up. Called kid at home to see if she got an alert. She said no. Told her about the warning and she looked at radar to see that the warning is down near Urbana. Way to give a mama an anxiety incident only to find out she is fine. 
 

Although looking West over the mountains down here it could get interesting. 

I was out mowing (Buckeystown) in it. Torrential rain but no idea a tornado was just down the street. 

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 394
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   220 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     District Of Columbia
     Delaware
     Central and Eastern Maryland
     Southern half of New Jersey
     Southeast Pennsylvania
     Eastern and Southern Virginia
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until
     900 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible

   SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will likely continue to develop
   through the afternoon into several broken bands of strong to severe
   thunderstorms.  The stronger thunderstorms will be capable of strong
   to severe gusts (50-65 mph) capable of wind damage.  This activity
   will likely push east of the Atlantic Seaboard by mid to late
   evening with the severe risk diminishing from west to east across
   the Watch area.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
   statute miles east and west of a line from 5 miles northeast of
   Trenton NJ to 35 miles east southeast of South Hill VA. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.
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18 minutes ago, yoda said:

I'm not seeing development behind what's in central Maryland right now

Dews are crashing behind this line. Frostburg and Keedysville mesonet sites showing wind shift to NW and Td racing to the low 60s.

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