WxWatcher007 Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Obviously am curious what the rating will end up being. Can’t find damage photos that look significantly worse than the EF-1 damage I saw in Arlington a few years ago… or that looks too much stronger than the microburst. But very tough to tell and #notaprofessional FWIW 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 39 minutes ago, George BM said: The environment that this evenings storms had. I do wonder if that dewpoint is a bit high though. That dew point is high, but the LCLs were clearly very low, and the low-level shear was quite respectable. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
freestater Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 More drone footage.https://x.com/briankel22/status/1798533278640857093 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 Main story here: rain. A LOT of rain. Water laying everywhere. Nearly 5" in the gauge no lie 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 4 minutes ago, Kay said: Main story here: rain. A LOT of rain. Water laying everywhere. Nearly 5" in the gauge no lie Some really big time rain totals today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RandyHolt Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 1 hour ago, Mrs.J said: Why did we not have a watch? +1 also I didnt get any alerts here in Rockville nor when driving in Gburg around that time - hell let me know after the fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 I think that tomorrow will be a SLGT for most of the area except western and far northern counties. Good agreement now among the CAMs that storms will erupt along the front early tomorrow afternoon in an environment with decent shear and instability. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 20 minutes ago, Kay said: Main story here: rain. A LOT of rain. Water laying everywhere. Nearly 5" in the gauge no lie Sounds bad up that way. Anne Arundel Fire Swiftwater Teams are responding to assist. Edit: Anne Arundel, Baltimore County, Baltimore City, Lancaster County, & York County all have resources on scene/responding. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
freestater Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 https://x.com/Gio_wx/status/1795246368715596105/photo/1 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
freestater Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 Strongest around here since College Park? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 Tornado warning here. Crazy weather . In basement currently 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdatcher Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 17 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Strongest around here since College Park? La Plata in 2002, Remington in 2004 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
freestater Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 https://x.com/JayOBrien83/status/1798554793197318586/video/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 37 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Strongest around here since College Park? Can’t forget about the June 13, 2013 outbreak. https://www.weather.gov/lwx/20130613SevereWx And attached is that 2013 radar as it passed over Rockville. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 Wow y'all, the tornado touched down within 1 mile of me in Gaithersburg, I saw the meso and the rotation! 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 6 hours ago, high risk said: I think that tomorrow will be a SLGT for most of the area except western and far northern counties. Good agreement now among the CAMs that storms will erupt along the front early tomorrow afternoon in an environment with decent shear and instability. Its MRGL on the early new day 1 (0600z) but LWX seems to agree with you in their morning disco .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... A cold front currently over the OH valley will move across our area today, bringing another round of showers and thunderstorms. The early morning showers and few embedded storms in WV and western PA will move into the Alleghenies by sunrise. Not expecting any strong storms, though some locally heavy rainfall is possible. The potential for strong to severe thunderstorms is going to focus along and east of the Blue Ridge this afternoon, though a few strong storms could also develop in the Central Shenandoah Valley. Morning cloud cover is expected to quickly dissipate, allowing for good diurnal heating and destabilization to take place. Temps this afternoon reach the mid to upper 80s, with dew points still in the lower 70s. The atmosphere remains very moist as PWATs hover around 2.0" through the afternoon. Most of the high res models indicate a broken line of thunderstorms developing along the front as it reaches I-81, but especially as it moves east of the Blue Ridge where the better instability will be. Deep layer shear around 20-30 knots should be enough to allow some organized strong to severe convection to get going. SPC currently has a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for severe storms, though that could be upgraded to a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for areas east of the Blue Ridge later this morning. Damaging wind gusts will be the main threat from storms. Faster storm motion should prevent any significant flooding issues from occurring, though there will be quick downpours in the stronger storms. The front and line of storms push east of I-95 by sunset, then any lingering showers behind the front dissipate by late evening. Dry conditions overnight as lows settle in the mid to upper 50s along/west of I-81 and low to mid 60s to the east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 Its rain contaminated, but 06z NAM has a TOR sounding near KDCA at 00z from what looks like a single supercell moving through DC metro on sim radar. Not much else going on across the region besides some showers/storms south and east of DC metro by 21z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 06z NAM Nest and 07z HRRR are kind of boring for most of the region except maybe south and east of DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 7 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: Some really big time rain totals today. Tamar and High Tor Hill is VERY close to me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 3 hours ago, yoda said: 06z NAM Nest and 07z HRRR are kind of boring for most of the region except maybe south and east of DC Things definitely trended faster with the boundary overnight. Recent HRRR runs look slightly slower again - we'll see if the storms fire just west of I-95 or just east of it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 Currently sitting down at Upperville Horse Show in VA and we have a decent shower going on. What does it look like for down here this afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 3 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Crazy to see that it barely missed me to the north. It was pretty quiet down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 Wow "Stoddard said according to early estimates, 15 tornadoes touched down across the state of Maryland causing several million dollars in damage. He said authorities would have a more complete estimate later Thursday. " https://www.wusa9.com/article/weather/severe-weather/tornado-warnings-issued-in-multiple-counties-across-maryland-montgomery-frederick-loudon/65-47ffde20-f23b-433e-b539-556a12e76eb6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 12 hours ago, high risk said: I think that tomorrow will be a SLGT for most of the area except western and far northern counties. Good agreement now among the CAMs that storms will erupt along the front early tomorrow afternoon in an environment with decent shear and instability. 6 hours ago, yoda said: Its MRGL on the early new day 1 (0600z) but LWX seems to agree with you in their morning disco more on that in the 9:59 a.m. update .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... No major changes to the previous forecast. Have worked with SPC to see if a Slight Risk is warranted for portions of the area east of I-95. Will continue to evaluate the 12Z guidance to collaborate any risk updates with the 1630Z outlook. Previous discussion follows... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 932 NOUS41 KLWX 061148 PNSLWX DCZ001-MDZ001-003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-501>508-VAZ025>031- 036>040-050-051-053>057-501>508-526-527-WVZ050>053-055-501>506- 070000- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 748 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024 ...Several Damage Surveys Planned for Today... In response to the thunderstorms yesterday evening, several surveys are planned for today to assess storm damage. Teams are being sent out the following counties...In Virginia...Loudoun ...In Maryland...Frederick, Montgomery, Howard, Baltimore and Baltimore City and Carroll...In West Virginia...Berkeley and Jefferson. $$ CJL 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 Where can I get the GIS data for the warning polygons from 6/5? Anybody got a link? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 Obviously am curious what the rating will end up being. Can’t find damage photos that look significantly worse than the EF-1 damage I saw in Arlington a few years ago… or that looks too much stronger than the microburst. But very tough to tell and #notaprofessionalhttps://x.com/kaitlynmcgrath/status/1798749953038115229?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktgHigh-end EF1 looks about right so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 13 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Where can I get the GIS data for the warning polygons from 6/5? Anybody got a link? Maybe here? I don’t know what type of file it would be, but it looks right, and you can sort by WFO. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cow/sbwsum.phtml 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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