dailylurker Posted May 26 Share Posted May 26 29 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Completely unscientific reasoning - but if that line can deliver some good storms/gusts (even if sub-severe) to the area...this has the feeling of a mini-heater combining today and tomorrow. We are due...that's my only reasoning really. Works for me lol. Do you think this line out west will make it through tonight with some action? It feels like there's plenty enough moisture in the air to fuel it. Hopefully it gets out of here and we wake up to clear sky and we bake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 26 Author Share Posted May 26 7 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Works for me lol. Do you think this line out west will make it through tonight with some action? It feels like there's plenty enough moisture in the air to fuel it. Hopefully it gets out of here and we wake up to clear sky and we bake. Well it has poor timing working against it (not during peak heating). But we've seen many times when lines that are supposed to fizzle completely do make it across the higher terrain. I don't think it'll be an area-wide line though. If it gets to "us" it'll probably fizzle somewhere between the Blue Ridge and the beltway. Game of miles as weather always is! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 26 Share Posted May 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 26 Share Posted May 26 Mesoscale for far western areas: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0993.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 26 Share Posted May 26 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 731 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Garrett County in western Maryland... Northern Augusta County in western Virginia... Eastern Pendleton County in eastern West Virginia... Grant County in eastern West Virginia... Southwestern Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 830 PM EDT. * At 730 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Fairmont to 6 miles northwest of Parsons to 13 miles northeast of Greenbank, moving northeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 That line near Charlottesville/Lynchburg looks like it’s bowing out. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 About to get real at Deep Creek 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Somewhat interested in tomorrow. The system coming across Missouri, Illinois, and Missouri seems energetic and is producing a decent number of tornadoes. We'll see what the visible satellite imagery tomorrow looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Getting dunked on in Hooville. Very ominous looking sky Gust to 51 at CHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 31 minutes ago, RIC_WX said: About to get real at Deep Creek Gusted into the 50s, lots of T&L, and heavy wind swept rain during the height. A fun summer thunderstorm! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 27 Author Share Posted May 27 24 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Somewhat interested in tomorrow. The system coming across Missouri, Illinois, and Missouri seems energetic and is producing a decent number of tornadoes. We'll see what the visible satellite imagery tomorrow looks like. Spoiler: Early showers/storms that keep popping like popcorn to keep us stable. That, or just socked in overcast until a brief clearing that happens too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 new severe thunderstorm watch for much of our western and central counties, guess they think the line to the west will hold together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 13 minutes ago, nj2va said: Gusted into the 50s, lots of T&L, and heavy wind swept rain during the height. A fun summer thunderstorm! A quick.35”, a little more than last night and not at grilling time today. We’ll take it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Some impressive wind damage reports coming out of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Considerable just issued! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 SPC just bumped us into a slight for the incoming line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 SPC just bumped us into a slight for the incoming line. Seems justified with the wind damage reports coming in… the segment running up 29 looks particularly nasty. We’ll see if it makes it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 A huge polygon for the entire line is now issued. BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 905 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Washington County in north central Maryland... Northeastern Allegany County in western Maryland... Southwestern Stafford County in northern Virginia... Southwestern Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Northeastern Shenandoah County in northwestern Virginia... Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Orange County in central Virginia... The City of Fredericksburg in central Virginia... Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia... Central Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Culpeper County in northern Virginia... Central Madison County in northwestern Virginia... Warren County in northwestern Virginia... Western Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Northeastern Page County in northwestern Virginia... The City of Winchester in northwestern Virginia... Spotsylvania County in central Virginia... West central Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Northeastern Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... Northeastern Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... Western Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 1000 PM EDT. * At 905 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near La Vale to 6 miles south of Romney to 6 miles north of Basye-Bryce Mountain to near Mount Jackson to 6 miles north of Boswells Tavern, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Winchester, Fredericksburg, Cumberland, Culpeper, Front Royal, Warrenton, Strasburg, Woodstock, Orange, Hancock, Paw Paw, Madison, Millwood Pike, Luray, Bealeton, Inwood, Stephens City, Fort Ashby, Berkeley Springs, and Sperryville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Very impressive wind reports coming out with this line! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Seeing up to 70mph winds above the surface on radarscope over the Madison part of the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Wonder if this line overturns all the instability tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 The HRRR keeps wanting to kill it just before it reaches the Potomac. That said, while I think that there is a limited life for this thing, the HRRR is slow with the movement, so I could see it making it a bit further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Culpepper storm getting a TOR. Quote BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 914 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Madison County in northwestern Virginia... Southeastern Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... * Until 945 PM EDT. * At 913 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 7 miles northeast of Madison, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Culpepper storm getting a TOR.If I squint my eyes I can see it… but whatever, better safe than sorry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 If I squint my eyes I can see it… but whatever, better safe than sorry. There was one frame that had a distinct comma but it quickly disappeared. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Just now, WeatherShak said: There was one frame that had a distinct comma but it quickly disappeared. CC was interesting for a moment, but I think that was a false signal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 27 Author Share Posted May 27 Tons of lightning showing up on that part of the line NNW of Culpeper. Good sign that it's going to town in terms of intensity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 00z RAOB for IAD coming in: 2200 CAPE and LL lapse rates of -8 c/km. That Culpepper storm is going to sustain for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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