Damage In Tolland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s rain fropa on GFS. Tippy’s talking a heat burst in 5-10 in New England in the other thread. Might be first time in history , anyone’s ever installed with deep snow over OTG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Tippy’s talking a heat burst in 5-10 in New England in the other thread. Might be first time in history , anyone’s ever installed with deep snow over OTG. Slow death this week with 30s and 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Slow death this week with 30s and 40s. If there is any doubt Nov/ Dec snow >> than mid Feb and beyond.. please see below https://x.com/brian_opdyke/status/1759002178797043820?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: If there is any doubt Nov/ Dec snow >> than mid Feb and beyond.. please see below https://x.com/brian_opdyke/status/1759002178797043820?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Agree 100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s an improvement on the GFS. I have a sneaking suspicion we see this go back to a good wintry threat . Watch the ensembles 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: It’s rain fropa on GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: On the GEFS Sucks too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sucks too It’s probably over . We had a good week . I have 3 stumps that need grinding after the trees came down and they’re buried in snow . And a lawn to redo . It’s ok 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Strong ninos always fail . This winter was easy to call 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 I can't believe this is my worst winter since 2012...I need 10.5" to catch last year and I am doubting it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I can't believe this is my worst winter since 2012...I need 10.5" to catch last year and I am doubting it. How much you have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s probably over . We had a good week . I have 3 stumps that need grinding after the trees came down and they’re buried in snow . And a lawn to redo . It’s ok I'll be shocked if we don't have anymore snow threats 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 33 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I can't believe this is my worst winter since 2012...I need 10.5" to catch last year and I am doubting it. Need 0.6” to tie last season. Not sure we do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 27 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I'll be shocked if we don't have anymore snow threats I had more snow last year than this year. You see a strong Nino setting up in the fall.. you run away fast from a snowy winter in the NE.. which we correctly forecast I had 32” last year and 30.5” this year 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 32 minutes ago, MJO812 said: How much you have? I think Ray was at 30"+/- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I had more snow last year than this year. You see a strong Nino setting up in the fall.. you run away fast from a snowy winter in the NE.. which we correctly forecast I had 32” last year and 30.5” this year Strong El ninos favor the Mid Atlantic . It's warm everywhere this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I had more snow last year than this year. You see a strong Nino setting up in the fall.. you run away fast from a snowy winter in the NE.. which we correctly forecast I had 32” last year and 30.5” this year I had more than twice as much last year as so far this year. It has been pretty poor hear other than a few weeks in January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: How much you have? 30" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 50 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Strong El ninos favor the Mid Atlantic . It's warm everywhere this year. Plenty of strong El Ninos were decent, but unfortunately this wasn't one of them. Over the past several years it really hasn't mattered what ENSO has done because the extra tropical Pacific has sucked. Anyone who has a clue knows this wasn't a prototypical super El Nino with a huge GOA low...its sucked because we can't shake the west PAC warm pool that continues to favor Maritime forcing, regardless of ENSO. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Plenty of strong El Ninos were decent, but unfortunately this wasn't one of them. Over the past several years it really hasn't mattered what ENSO has done because the extra tropical Pacific has sucked. Anyone who has a clue knows this wasn't a prototypical super El Nino with a huge GOA low...its sucked because we can't shake the west PAC warm pool that continues to favor Maritime forcing, regardless of ENSO. At least CA keeps getting the "atmospheric rivers"........I swear growing up in the Bay Area I never heard it called that and I wonder if you guys here ever heard "bomb cyclone" or "polar vortex" after every noreaster or cold snap.......anyway.....heres to Sping 2024!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 8 minutes ago, ice1972 said: At least CA keeps getting the "atmospheric rivers"........I swear growing up in the Bay Area I never heard it called that and I wonder if you guys here ever heard "bomb cyclone" or "polar vortex" after every noreaster or cold snap.......anyway.....heres to Sping 2024!!!! It's just a shit Pacific period...shame on me for misinterpreting that (again) and thinking we could still have a decent winter. I was wrong. But it's not because of the El Nino...people saying that are also wrong. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Plenty of strong El Ninos were decent, but unfortunately this wasn't one of them. Over the past several years it really hasn't mattered what ENSO has done because the extra tropical Pacific has sucked. Anyone who has a clue knows this wasn't a prototypical super El Nino with a huge GOA low...its sucked because we can't shake the west PAC warm pool that continues to favor Maritime forcing, regardless of ENSO. That WPAC warm pool only became an issue after the 2015-16 super nino. We saw several cold winters between 2000-2015. Perhaps a strong Nina may help to cool it. We just came out of a multi-year Nina but they were all weak except 2020-21 which was moderate. I'm just grasping at straws. I'm tired of these warm winters myself. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 53 minutes ago, ice1972 said: At least CA keeps getting the "atmospheric rivers"........I swear growing up in the Bay Area I never heard it called that and I wonder if you guys here ever heard "bomb cyclone" or "polar vortex" after every noreaster or cold snap.......anyway.....heres to Sping 2024!!!! Agree with you about the term atmospheric river. I find it extremely irritating for some reason lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Agree with you about the term atmospheric river. I find it extremely irritating for some reason lol. Yaaassssss!!!!!......that term is a recent thing.......they called it El Nino properly back then.......idk...now its a convoluted mess........ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Plenty of strong El Ninos were decent, but unfortunately this wasn't one of them. Over the past several years it really hasn't mattered what ENSO has done because the extra tropical Pacific has sucked. Anyone who has a clue knows this wasn't a prototypical super El Nino with a huge GOA low...its sucked because we can't shake the west PAC warm pool that continues to favor Maritime forcing, regardless of ENSO. Does that mean the MJO isn't just "all the rage" the last 7 years or so like Will said? It's been driving the bus lately? I still don't understand the MJO I need to read a lot about it. And I sure as hell can never understand the plots of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Does that mean the MJO isn't just "all the rage" the last 7 years or so like Will said? It's been driving the bus lately? I still don't understand the MJO I need to read a lot about it. And I sure as hell can never understand the plots of it. It means despite all the great info we can develop with such limited experience we don't know poop...... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 29 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Does that mean the MJO isn't just "all the rage" the last 7 years or so like Will said? It's been driving the bus lately? I still don't understand the MJO I need to read a lot about it. And I sure as hell can never understand the plots of it. Not so much the MJO, but more what is biasing it west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 51 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Yaaassssss!!!!!......that term is a recent thing.......they called it El Nino properly back then.......idk...now its a convoluted mess........ Pretty sure it was called Pineapple Express back in the day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: Pretty sure it was called Pineapple Express back in the day. That too…… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: Pretty sure it was called Pineapple Express back in the day. Definitely remember that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 5 hours ago, dendrite said: Pretty sure it was called Pineapple Express back in the day. Yes, that was their term back then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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