2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season

[Shenanagins1091]

On 10/12/2024 at 12:59 AM, Jebman said:

Really need to keep a serious eye on these storms, because this year they really seem to be exploding into majors in literally hours. Climate change is getting REAL. It lends significant meaning to 'never turn your back on that ocean'.

Hurricane and typhoon numbers are decreasing, study finds, even as they become more destructive | CNN

A very interesting read here

[purduewx80]

Most of the MJO plots are putting the Atlantic back in play around the first of November. Not sure about CONUS threats, but the Caribbean sure could get busy for a couple of weeks. 

[hawkeye_wx]

The GFS is popping a brief TD or low-end TS in the nw Caribbean Saturday morning before it moves into Belize.  The NHC has raised it to 40%.

[GaWx]

 Euro Weeklies today upped 11/4-11/10 to 3.7 of climo:

 

 

 

[StantonParkHoya]

Probably a little scrap ACE left in the open ocean but I think CONUS impacts may be closed for the year 

[WxWatcher007]

2 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:

The GFS is popping a brief TD or low-end TS in the nw Caribbean Saturday morning before it moves into Belize.  The NHC has raised it to 40%.

That would be a genesis win for the model, considering how everyone wrote off the signal it’s had for quite a while now.