CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 Just now, Floydbuster said: Could this be the July major hurricane we surmised this spring was possible due to the warm sea surface temperatures? Perhaps The models are suggesting Beryl might unironically mog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 https://x.com/jackrevnew/status/1805689280981074351?s=46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 I am sorry what is mog? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 14 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: I am sorry what is mog? Mog = to outclass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 45 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: Mog = to outclass Yep this hurricane season may mog all the others for the past 100 years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 2 hours ago, Tezeta said: these gen z hurricane kids are going to make me have to bust out the urban dictionary Yeah I am 60, I got left behind a LOOOOOOOOOONG time ago lmao. But, its really fun learning new expressions. For example, the 2024 Hurricane Season may very well mog out all the others going back to the 1920s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 5 minutes ago, Jebman said: Yep this hurricane season may mog all the others for the past 100 years. Even 2005 and 2020? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 6 minutes ago, Jebman said: Yeah I am 60, I got left behind a LOOOOOOOOOONG time ago lmao. But, its really fun learning new expressions. For example, the 2024 Hurricane Season may very well mog out all the others going back to the 1920s. Would it be over for 1933? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 10 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: Would it be over for 1933? It could turn out more mog than 1933, if that was a bad season for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic/Caribbean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 17 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: Even 2005 and 2020? It is possible this could be worse than the 2005 season. Ocean temps are way up and we have a developing Nina. However, I am hoping we will luck out and only see a few hurricanes, most of which recurve out to sea and hit no one else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 I am only 35 but my old school millennial self had no idea what mog meant. I thought maybe Major - something - something, like a weather acronym. My teenage nephew taught me what the word rizz means though, so at least there is that. Looking at that image below, that is a remarkably favorable looking Atlantic for June 25th. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 20 minutes ago, Jebman said: It could turn out more mog than 1933, That would be "it would mog harder than 1933" 20 minutes ago, Jebman said: if that was a bad season for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic/Caribbean. Yeah 1933 was a turbomogger season. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1933_Atlantic_hurricane_season 259 ACE, 20-11-6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tezeta Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 1 hour ago, Floydbuster said: I am sorry what is mog? ok, so you know how prime jennifer grey just absolutely crushes today's stars like sydney sweeney? IOW, she mogs them. turbomogs, actually. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 1 hour ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: Mog = to outclass As the only gen z here i think they might need some help understanding any brainrot terms. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 20 minutes ago, Jebman said: It is possible this could be worse than the 2005 season. Ocean temps are way up and we have a developing Nina. Oof, it's over. And god forbid what might happen in August and beyond, I don't wanna think about it. How many named storms do you think we'll get and our first mogger (Cat 3+) storm/name? 20 minutes ago, Jebman said: However, I am hoping we will luck out and only see a few hurricanes, most of which recurve out to sea and hit no one else. Hopefully they'll 2023maxx (recurve out to sea). 17 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: I am only 35 but my old school millennial self I'm 28, so that young anymore, RIP 17 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: had no idea what mog meant. Mog = to outclass -maxx = to keep going at something and to max it out, e.g.: Idaliamaxx = to explode and hit the Gulf Coast, Otismaxx = to explosively intensify to a Category 5, Marcomaxx= to be be as tiny as possible, Olgamaxx = to be as short-lasting as possible, Freddymaxx = to get as much ACE as possible, Dorianmaxx = to stall/to rack up as high wind speeds as possible, Humbertomaxx = to try and reach peak intensity at the high latitudes as much as possible/to grow a long "tail" as much as possible -cel = something really bad (e.g. tropicalstormcel = a weak tropical storm) 17 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: I thought maybe Major - something - something, like a weather acronym. Nope, not at all 17 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: My teenage nephew taught me what the word rizz means though, so at least there is that. Oh yes. Like Idalia rizzing up the Gulf Coast as an example. 17 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: Looking at that image below, that is a remarkably favorable looking Atlantic for June 25th. Looking more like August, maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 5 minutes ago, Tezeta said: ok, so you know how prime jennifer grey just absolutely crushes today's stars like sydney sweeney? She indeed mogs. 5 minutes ago, Tezeta said: IOW, she mogs them. turbomogs, actually. To utter oblivion, to the depths of the Hollywood slums and back. 3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: As the only gen z here i think they might need some help understanding any brainrot terms. Please see here: 1 minute ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: Oof, it's over. And god forbid what might happen in August and beyond, I don't wanna think about it. How many named storms do you think we'll get and our first mogger (Cat 3+) storm/name? Hopefully they'll 2023maxx (recurve out to sea). I'm 28, so that young anymore, RIP Mog = to outclass -maxx = to keep going at something and to max it out, e.g.: Idaliamaxx = to explode and hit the Gulf Coast, Otismaxx = to explosively intensify to a Category 5, Marcomaxx= to be be as tiny as possible, Olgamaxx = to be as short-lasting as possible, Freddymaxx = to get as much ACE as possible, Dorianmaxx = to stall/to rack up as high wind speeds as possible, Humbertomaxx = to try and reach peak intensity at the high latitudes as much as possible/to grow a long "tail" as much as possible -cel = something really bad (e.g. tropicalstormcel = a weak tropical storm) Nope, not at all Oh yes. Like Idalia rizzing up the Gulf Coast as an example. Looking more like August, maybe? I'm 28, so not Gen Z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 6 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: Please see here: This is amazing thank you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 6 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: As the only gen z here i think they might need some help understanding any brainrot terms. I'll try and format them more nicely. Mog = to outclass, e.g.: "2024 is definitely going to mog 2005" "The only season that 2025 is gonna mog is 2013" "Wow, Jova is such a mogger hurricane!" "Ian mogs Idalia to the utter depths of the Gulf of Mexico and back" -maxx = to keep going at something and to max it out, e.g.: Idaliamaxx = to explode and hit the Gulf Coast, Otismaxx = to explosively intensify to a Category 5, Marcomaxx= to be be as tiny as possible, Olgamaxx = to be as short-lasting as possible, Freddymaxx = to get as much ACE as possible, Dorianmaxx = to stall/to rack up as high wind speeds as possible, Humbertomaxx = to try and reach peak intensity at the high latitudes as much as possible/to grow a long "tail" as much as possible -cel = something really bad, e.g.: tropicalstormcel = a weak or ugly-looking tropical storm, hurricanecel = an ugly-looking hurricane, category2cel = a 110mph-peak hurricane that just failed to become a major hurricane (Sally is a PEAK example of a category2cel), rizz = charisma e.g.: Idalia rizzing up the Gulf Coast 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: This is amazing thank you. Please see above for an updated glossary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 JFL, called it boyos Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94): A tropical wave located over the southeastern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves quickly westward at around 25 mph. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for some gradual development late this week over the western Caribbean Sea or over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave centered a couple of hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible this weekend and into early next week while it moves generally westward across the central and western tropical Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Bucci Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxwell03 Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 I’m pushing 29 and this is making me feel thoroughly millennial. I don’t mind mog but not so sure how I feel about those others lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 Just now, Maxwell03 said: I’m pushing 29 I'm also 28 pushing 29. Just now, Maxwell03 said: and this is making me feel thoroughly millennial. I don’t mind mog but not so sure how I feel about those others lol. Do you know what mog means? And here are the others: 12 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: I'll try and format them more nicely. Mog = to outclass, e.g.: "2024 is definitely going to mog 2005" "The only season that 2025 is gonna mog is 2013" "Wow, Jova is such a mogger hurricane!" "Ian mogs Idalia to the utter depths of the Gulf of Mexico and back" -maxx = to keep going at something and to max it out, e.g.: Idaliamaxx = to explode and hit the Gulf Coast, Otismaxx = to explosively intensify to a Category 5, Marcomaxx= to be be as tiny as possible, Olgamaxx = to be as short-lasting as possible, Freddymaxx = to get as much ACE as possible, Dorianmaxx = to stall/to rack up as high wind speeds as possible, Humbertomaxx = to try and reach peak intensity at the high latitudes as much as possible/to grow a long "tail" as much as possible -cel = something really bad, e.g.: tropicalstormcel = a weak or ugly-looking tropical storm, hurricanecel = an ugly-looking hurricane, category2cel = a 110mph-peak hurricane that just failed to become a major hurricane (Sally is a PEAK example of a category2cel), rizz = charisma e.g.: Idalia rizzing up the Gulf Coast How do you feel about these? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 Buckle up buddy boyos https://x.com/webberweather/status/1805757386172645664 By late June-early July standards, the overall environment looks unusually conducive for tropical development over the east-central MDR next week. A few easterly waves will get tangled up with a pair of Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves (CCKWs), favoring much lower than average wind shear, a generally divergent upper-level environment, & high deep-layer moisture, all superposed onto an exceptionally warm tropical Atlantic. Recent bullish trends in NWP models are likely real & a response to the leading/ascending phase of the CCKW approaching the tropical Atlantic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 1 hour ago, SnowenOutThere said: As the only gen z here i think they might need some help understanding any brainrot terms. Sorry, one of two Gen Z Anyway it’s looking more and more likely that we will get some June/July MDR action. Major SAL outbreak is going to dampen activity some, but conditions will be quite favorable otherwise. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 30 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: Sorry, one of two Gen Z Thoughts on the slang glossary (I'm a millennial) I wrote up? 30 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: Anyway it’s looking more and more likely that we will get some June/July MDR action. Major SAL outbreak is going to dampen activity some, but conditions will be quite favorable otherwise. How many NS do you think we'd get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 I am a bit concerned at the strong intensities of the ensemble models as the system banks westward whether towards the SE U.S. or the Gulf of Mexico. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 50 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: Thoughts on the slang glossary (I'm a millennial) I wrote up? How many NS do you think we'd get? That’s tough. I personally think this year might have quality over quantity (unlike say 2020). I wouldn’t be surprised if we busted under in terms of ACE, but I think it’s likely we will be tracking some formidable systems. For being so concise your slang list is no cap, fr man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 For wave in E Atlantic, main 0Z Models: -GFS is by far its strongest run yet as it has a 975-7 mb H hitting the Windward Islands on July 1st, which then weakens and later dissipates in the Caribbean -CMC just has a weak low vs 12Z’s TS -ICON just has a weak low similar to 12Z -UKMET doesn’t have a TC just like the 12Z -GEFS is about as active as the 18Z. These last two runs are the strongest runs yet at the Lesser Antilles July 1-2 -0Z Euro is a bit more active than prior run with a defined LLC E of the Lesser Antilles though it is still a weak low (doesn’t look strong enough for TD imo) and then it dissipates as it enters the Caribbean TWO upped from 20% to 30% thru day 7: 2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave centered a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible late this week into early next week while it moves generally westward across the central and western tropical Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 Jesus we got a youngin here talking all crazy. Talking slang and shit. This season is about to slang out a bunch of storms towards land this year. You can already tell how west based all the development is so far. Climate models thus far are nailing it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 Hurricane Ian sure rizzed things up! I absolutely love all the new terms! Please get us all up to speed! Old dogs can learn new tricks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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