BristowWx Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 48 minutes ago, Weather Will said: GFS has abandoned the idea of any snow this upcoming weekend. Will see if the weeklies/ GEFS extended hold for a Hail Mary chance later in March. November not that far away….hopefully it’s a better path. Just gotta get through the next 8 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 55 minutes ago, Weather Will said: GFS has abandoned the idea of any snow this upcoming weekend. Will see if the weeklies/ GEFS extended hold for a Hail Mary chance later in March. Shocking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 WB 12Z EPS....looks pretty good to me going into the Hail Mary period toward the end of March. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EPS....looks pretty good to me going into the Hail Mary period toward the end of March. That isn’t even close to cold enough. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 That isn’t even close to cold enough. lol. There is the anti christ and then there is the anti weenie(you). You will destroy anyone with winter hope swiftly 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 1 minute ago, Ji said: lol. There is the anti christ and then there is the anti weenie(you). You will destroy anyone with winter hope swiftly I was just horribly wrong just a few weeks ago when I was full weenie mode. But that just isn’t cold enough. The last week of March we need those anomaly maps to show Barnie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 I was just horribly wrong just a few weeks ago when I was full weenie mode. But that just isn’t cold enough. The last week of March we need those anomaly maps to show Barnie. You mean February? Even those epic runs never showed really cold weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 I was just horribly wrong just a few weeks ago when I was full weenie mode. But that just isn’t cold enough. The last week of March we need those anomaly maps to show Barnie. As long as it’s blue that far out we have a chance. A storm may pop up and those blues maybe darker 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 5 minutes ago, Ji said: You mean February? Even those epic runs never showed really cold weather Yes and I said that bothered me remember. But in February slightly below normal can work. Not in late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 5 minutes ago, Ji said: As long as it’s blue that far out we have a chance. A storm may pop up and those blues maybe darker A chance sure. But that isn’t what we want it to look like to feel confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 @Jilook at the euro control for example. It develops a low around the 18th, perfect track, but it’s in the 40s under the CCB! Only place that gets any snow is above 3000 feet and that’s iffy. That’s what those anomalies translate to in late March. We need arctic air. Absent that it would take some truly crazy event like a stalled 970 low that goes nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 The 12z Euro Control on day 14 actually tracks a low to Buffalo that torches everyone up to Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 The 12z Control then rides another low up the coast on day 15, but colder air doesn’t move in until after the storm departs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 19 hours ago, CAPE said: It really is time to find something else to do. Taking up drinking for lent. On a tequila kick lately. Sipping on the Casamigos attm...not horrible, but there are better if you are willing to spend the $ 2 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Taking up drinking for lent. On a tequila kick lately. Sipping on the Casamigos attm...not horrible, but there are better if you are willing to spend the $ Have you tried some higher end mezcal? I love good tequilas, but man that smoke component in mezcal makes me a fan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 12z Control then rides another low up the coast on day 15, but colder air doesn’t move in until after the storm departs. Look at the temps under those coldest anomalies at our latitude... this is what's incoming on that control run, and it matches the anomalies on the ensembles also...and is colder than the GEFS and GEPS frankly... This is JUST NOT COLD ENOUGH... I wish it was. This isn't what I want. You know I get excited when I think its going to snow...I was giving this period a chance, at least some chance...until maybe 3 days ago when it got into range to start seeing what the temp anomalies realistically looked like and its just not good enough. Not shocking given its been the warmest winter ever across the continent. Actually was silly to think there was much chance suddenly real legit cold was going to show up in late March. The only chance for significant snow I can see now would be some crazy once a century type event, some phased bomb that stalls and destroys us, and even then I don't know if it would be cold enough in that airmass...it's just very unlikely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Look at the temps under those coldest anomalies at our latitude... this is what's incoming on that control run, and it matches the anomalies on the ensembles also...and is colder than the GEFS and GEPS frankly... This is JUST NOT COLD ENOUGH... I wish it was. This isn't what I want. You know I get excited when I think its going to snow...I was giving this period a chance, at least some chance...until maybe 3 days ago when it got into range to start seeing what the temp anomalies realistically looked like and its just not good enough. Not shocking given its been the warmest winter ever across the continent. Actually was silly to think there was much chance suddenly real legit cold was going to show up in late March. The only chance for significant snow I can see now would be some crazy once a century type event, some phased bomb that stalls and destroys us, and even then I don't know if it would be cold enough in that airmass...it's just very unlikely. I see your point & I know that you want it snow as much, if not more, than most of us. We would need to get lucky & time something right during the last 2 weeks of March, but that is the case in just about every year. The end of the Control run incoming temperatures at hour 360 could give a well timed & near perfect track storm a chance, especially for the north & west crew in both of our forums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 55 minutes ago, Scraff said: Have you tried some higher end mezcal? I love good tequilas, but man that smoke component in mezcal makes me a fan. Mezcal was my poison back in my 20s. I always fought for the worm in the bottle. Always seemed to contain a hallucinogenic component to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 18 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I see your point & I know that you want it snow as much, if not more, than most of us. We would need to get lucky & time something right during the last 2 weeks of March, but that is the case in just about every year. The end of the Control run incoming temperatures at hour 360 could give a well timed & near perfect track storm a chance, especially for the north & west crew in both of our forums. You mean something like this, and I'm not being snarky....WB Extended control. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 Another one though not as strong on the 29th....at least there are fantasy lows during this time frame. Maybe it won't be cold enough but someone may get slammed. WB extended control. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 The heavy snow is not that far away....WB extended control.....Now, will it happen, probably 1 in 150 chance but better than the way shutout February looked. I see this as something to do with the season winding down....better than looking at H5 maps for next winter already. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 28 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I see your point & I know that you want it snow as much, if not more, than most of us. We would need to get lucky & time something right during the last 2 weeks of March, but that is the case in just about every year. The end of the Control run incoming temperatures at hour 360 could give a well timed & near perfect track storm a chance, especially for the north & west crew in both of our forums. I wouldn't use the temps at 8am after a night of radiational cooling to judge the quality of the airmass. The reason I pulled the plot I did was there is actually precip going on behind the wave across much of that area during the time I circled it. Yes it's not heavy precip but it gives a clear idea of what we're working with. Even under some precip its in the upper 40's and near 50 in most places. It would take a really anomalous event to cool that airmass enough to support a snowstorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 20 minutes ago, Weather Will said: You mean something like this, and I'm not being snarky....WB Extended control. even that doesn't get it done, its just a perfect track rainstorm, which is my point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Taking up drinking for lent. On a tequila kick lately. Sipping on the Casamigos attm...not horrible, but there are better if you are willing to spend the $ Wait...I thought one is supposed to sacrifice and give something up for Lent. Not engage in further "sin"!!! As for tequila, not normally a fan of it straight-up, generally prefer it in something like a margarita. Though I've had a couple several years ago that were remarkably smooth. Personally, I prefer a fine single malt Scotch. Straight-up, not on the rocks. <ScottishBastardVoice>Aye, Laddie! Get yerself a REAL drink, a nice dram, will ya!</ScottishBastardVoice> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 This place is more depressing than a masturbators anonymous meeting with no porn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 On 3/1/2024 at 1:27 PM, MDstorm said: Reading this thread over the last few weeks, I have come to the following conclusions: that beaten horse has rot... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 1 hour ago, ravensrule said: This place is more depressing than a masturbators anonymous meeting with no porn. Depression over cold water? Nah...I can get a glass of that in my kitchen with some ice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 Long shot, but I'll keep watching the period just after St. Paddy's Day. After that, bring on mid 60's and sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Long shot, but I'll keep watching the period just after St. Paddy's Day. After that, bring on mid 60's and sun. For those of you still in the snow hunt, I wish you luck. After several days' taste of what we had yesterday, doesn't take long to throw in the towel at this point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 I’m out of the loop, does the OP euro not exist anymore? Pivotal only has this new version, check this H5 look it has for 6z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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