stormy Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 This looks fine for Friday night in Augusta County. Track of lp is encouraging. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 Oh great. Mid 30s and rain..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdood Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 On 3/15/2024 at 3:56 PM, Terpeast said: Repeat of last years canada wildfires? Expand Only if someone starts them like last year. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/16/canada-wildfires-conspiracy-man-pleads-guilty-arson 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 On 3/18/2024 at 2:04 PM, Wxdood said: Only if someone starts them like last year. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/16/canada-wildfires-conspiracy-man-pleads-guilty-arson Expand For anyone that doesn’t read the article, he started 13 of the 700 fires. Quote from the article below… “Despite a string of conspiratorial theories over the summer, amplified by Alberta’s premier, nearly all of Canada’s fires were caused by lightning striking the tinder-like condition of forests.” 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 Next weekend quietly trending toward some VERY cold rain for the city 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 12z GFS still likes accumulating snow for the Valley Friday night. Quebec high, ENC low, timing could work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 Anyone that wants to chase, feel free to join me at Jay Peak this coming Sunday . Its the red dot in the 36"+ blob in Vermont. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 On 3/17/2024 at 3:03 AM, Maestrobjwa said: When people say "Google is your friend" I find it to be a bit condescending, like somebody saying you were too dumb to look into something. But maybe I'm making too much of it (probably, lol) In this hobby/obsession, I find that sometimes I'm not even sure exactly what TO Google to find something. If it were a general guide that said "For this, try these sites. For that, try those sites", it may help. Finding a temperature for a particular day, or what the snow totals were for a particular year is easy enough...but beyond that it's less clear where to go for stuff. For example, where do I find charts that are easy to see the trend of temperatures for a particular month? A specific thing that I wouldn't know where to start. Expand Maybe start here- https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/national/202213 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 The 12z GFS and GEM runs are becoming a little more bullish on the WOTBR snow threat for Friday night, both op and ens. GFS op - 3- 5" both 10:1 and Kuchera qp 1.38" previous .65"......... GEFS 1 - 2 " previous .3" ......qp .55" previous .30" GEM op - 0 ................ CMC ens .8" previous .4", qp 1.05" previous .60" ECM 0 ECM ens 0 A long shot but the trend is my friend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 On 3/18/2024 at 7:40 PM, stormy said: The 12z GFS and GEM runs are becoming a little more bullish on the WOTBR snow threat for Friday night, both op and ens. GFS op - 3- 5" both 10:1 and Kuchera qp 1.38" previous .65"......... GEFS 1 - 2 " previous .3" ......qp .55" previous .30" GEM op - 0 ................ CMC ens .8" previous .4", qp 1.05" previous .60" ECM 0 ECM ens 0 A long shot but the trend is my friend. Expand Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 On 3/18/2024 at 9:04 PM, CAPE said: Good luck. Expand Gfs has been really bad this year imo. Had mby snowing in about 96 hours where no other model is even close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 On 3/18/2024 at 10:04 PM, Chris78 said: Gfs has been really bad this year imo. Had mby snowing in about 96 hours where no other model is even close Expand It isn't going to snow anywhere near Staunton. He can drive NW towards Canaan if he wants to see snow. NW and 3000+ ft is where accumulating snow will be. This isn't difficult lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 On 3/18/2024 at 9:04 PM, CAPE said: Good luck. Expand Thanks Cape. We both know this is not likely to happen. The 18z GFS has dropped from 5.0 to 2.9" for Augusta. But, during a slow week, it gives us something to chat about. Wow! the GFS increased from 1.38" to 2.04" qp for Augusta!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted March 18, 2024 Share Posted March 18, 2024 On 3/18/2024 at 10:10 PM, CAPE said: It isn't going to snow anywhere near Staunton. He can drive NW towards Canaan if he wants to see snow. NW and 3000+ ft is where accumulating snow will be. This isn't difficult lol. Expand On Sat. morning I can drive to 4400 ft. withing 20 miles of my place. A lot better than 95 miles to Cannan for 3400 ft.. , 1000 ft. lower. Of course that would be 70 miles n.w.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/18/2024 at 11:44 PM, stormy said: On Sat. morning I can drive to 4400 ft. withing 20 miles of my place. A lot better than 95 miles to Cannan for 3400 ft.. , 1000 ft. lower. Of course that would be 70 miles n.w.. Where is this at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 12:01 AM, Ji said: Where is this at? Expand Augusta / Highland Co line has some ridges over 4000ft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 On 3/19/2024 at 12:01 AM, Ji said: Where is this at? Expand Elliot Knob 20 miles west of Staunton is 4463 ft. and expecting 4.4 inches of snow Friday night. Hike to the summit. Reddish Knob about 20 miles north on the Augusta/Pendleton county line at 4398 ft., has a narrow paved road to the summit with large potholes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 Some flurries blowing around here this morning. 34°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2024 Share Posted March 19, 2024 Looks like a pretty potent rainstorm this weekend. Might as well hope its a soaker since we can't snow anymore. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 20, 2024 Share Posted March 20, 2024 On 3/18/2024 at 4:20 PM, stormy said: 12z GFS still likes accumulating snow for the Valley Friday night. Quebec high, ENC low, timing could work. Expand GFS was like, just kiddingggggg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 20, 2024 Share Posted March 20, 2024 Shocked the gfs was too cold and caved to the euro. Just a crazy development 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 20, 2024 Author Share Posted March 20, 2024 How many inches is Augusta County getting Friday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 20, 2024 Share Posted March 20, 2024 On 3/20/2024 at 4:40 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: How many inches is Augusta County getting Friday night Expand Watch out he’ll gladly tell you about the latest rainfall forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted March 20, 2024 Share Posted March 20, 2024 On 3/20/2024 at 4:41 PM, SnowenOutThere said: Watch out he’ll gladly tell you about the latest rainfall forecasts Expand Can't speak for him, but we kinda need Friday night to come to fruition out here for rainfall.... Right at 2.71 total precip since January 28th.... With another day here with winds gusting in the 40s and the growing season starting - Its drying out pretty fast.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 20, 2024 Share Posted March 20, 2024 god bless the AIs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 20, 2024 Share Posted March 20, 2024 On 3/20/2024 at 4:57 PM, Jrlg1181 said: Can't speak for him, but we kinda need Friday night to come to fruition out here for rainfall.... Right at 2.71 total precip since January 28th.... With another day here with winds gusting in the 40s and the growing season starting - Its drying out pretty fast.... Expand We are smoked out again here. There is a fire burning somewhere upwind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted March 20, 2024 Share Posted March 20, 2024 On 3/20/2024 at 8:34 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: We are smoked out again here. There is a fire burning somewhere upwind. Expand On 3/20/2024 at 8:34 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: We are smoked out again here. There is a fire burning somewhere upwind. Expand Same, just drove to Cville for work on I64 through constant smoke...Highly dislike this, last year with all the smoke was hard to deal with bc of personal reasons - lost something 4 years ago because of a home fire that can never be replaced... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted March 20, 2024 Share Posted March 20, 2024 On 3/20/2024 at 2:10 PM, snowfan said: GFS was like, just kiddingggggg. Expand Oh well, I'm more interested in a soaking rain. Waynesboro has declared an outside burning ban because of how dry we're getting. My latest 4 model blend gives Waynesboro .89" Friday night/Saturday. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted March 20, 2024 Share Posted March 20, 2024 On 3/20/2024 at 4:57 PM, Jrlg1181 said: Can't speak for him, but we kinda need Friday night to come to fruition out here for rainfall.... Right at 2.71 total precip since January 28th.... With another day here with winds gusting in the 40s and the growing season starting - Its drying out pretty fast.... Expand Your intelligence is bold face. The other Clowns are to be discounted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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