North Balti Zen Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Hell, that didn't get it done when we saw those kinds of projected temp profiles through every week of winter save the one. Much less the end of the third week in March. Pretty cool to be tracking cool and rainy tho, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 2 hours ago, Ji said: im only looking at the March 18-21 window....after that---the pattern change to cold looks-----no so cold anymore lol Shocking development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 As a rule of thumb, if I don’t see cold/BN temperatures in all of the last 3 days within my apple weather app, we’re not seeing cold anytime soon. Following this ^^ rule would have been much more accurate than models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 6 Author Share Posted March 6 11 minutes ago, Terpeast said: As a rule of thumb, if I don’t see cold/BN temperatures in all of the last 3 days within my apple weather app, we’re not seeing cold anytime soon. Following this ^^ rule would have been much more accurate than models. That says a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 2 hours ago, stormtracker said: PSU, tell him "that just won't get it done" I'm sure he will listen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 41 minutes ago, Terpeast said: As a rule of thumb, if I don’t see cold/BN temperatures in all of the last 3 days within my apple weather app, we’re not seeing cold anytime soon. Following this ^^ rule would have been much more accurate than models. how far does it go out too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 WB 12Z control is still cold, but it is two weeks away. Still have to wait to see if a miracle will occur....I would not bet on it unless I was in Northern New England but not giving up yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 WB 12Z control is still cold, but it is two weeks away. Still have to wait to see if a miracle will occur....I would not bet on it unless I was in Northern New England but not giving up yet.Snowfall map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 7 minutes ago, Ji said: Snowfall map? WB EPS extended. Control is nada. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Look how warm the Great Lakes are, especially Lake Superior. Airmass modification for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 2 hours ago, Ji said: how far does it go out too? 10 days. Last 3 are warm, and that’s going to verify for sure. Maybe even warmer Crap, i was using metric (been overseas for too long) here’s the fahrenheit version lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 10 days. Last 3 are warm, and that’s going to verify for sure. Maybe even warmer Crap, i was using metric (been overseas for too long) here’s the fahrenheit version lol Thanks! I’ll keep my eye on that. I wonder if it uses the gfsCan’t wait to read your one paragraph winter preview next fall! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 44 minutes ago, Ji said: Thanks! I’ll keep my eye on that. I wonder if it uses the gfs Can’t wait to read your one paragraph winter preview next fall! I’m not sure if it will be even as long as one paragraph! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 10 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I’m not sure if it will be even as long as one paragraph! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 5 hours ago, Terpeast said: As a rule of thumb, if I don’t see cold/BN temperatures in all of the last 3 days within my apple weather app, we’re not seeing cold anytime soon. Following this ^^ rule would have been much more accurate than models. I've posted on here in previous years and people weenie me but....my Weatherbug app is consistently more accurate than whatever the models are showing for the 10-day forecast for my house when it comes to predicting (lack of) cold. .I know these apps just somehow automatically take in model data, but whatever they use and however they massage it is definitely more accurate than reading the GFS or Euro verbatim in the 10-day range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 2 hours ago, Terpeast said: I’m not sure if it will be even as long as one paragraph! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 At least it’s not March 6, 2013 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 8 hours ago, Terpeast said: As a rule of thumb, if I don’t see cold/BN temperatures in all of the last 3 days within my apple weather app, we’re not seeing cold anytime soon. Following this ^^ rule would have been much more accurate than models. showing 65-70 - soooo, not looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: So, you gonna bother with the essay analysis next winter if things suck as expected? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 3 hours ago, Terpeast said: I’m not sure if it will be even as long as one paragraph! IF (barring any major surprise) it turns out to be as bad as it appears to be, doesn't need but one word: BYE! followed by a George Jefferson-style door slam... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 MIRACLES can still happen. WB 0Z GFS in fantasy range. 4 1 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 MIRACLES can still happen. WB 0Z GFS in fantasy range.We need to get psu on board. It’s just you and me right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 12 minutes ago, Ji said: We need to get psu on board. It’s just you and me right now If we can get 2 consecutive runs with the gfs AND euro showing a significant snow then I’ll pay attention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 The euro ens have a good signal...I'm on board for a snowstorm in about 2 weeks. It will favor inland of course but I've done pretty well in late season events over the past decade or so. It's really no longer some far fetched rarity. I just got 4.5" on 3/21/18. No reason I can't do the same on 3/21/24. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 2 hours ago, Ji said: We need to get psu on board. It’s just you and me right now Best look all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 Watch us get blitzed next season in a twisted turn of expectations. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 6 hours ago, Ji said: We need to get psu on board. It’s just you and me right now I’m on board too, especially with these 5 day means on the 3 major ensembles for the period of the 18th to the 23rd. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 At least there was a run of digital snow, more than what we got from the pattern in February!!! Something to keep an eye on the next two weeks. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 16 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I’m on board too, especially with these 5 day means on the 3 major ensembles for the period of the 18th to the 23rd. That's a new England look mid season, let alone down here for us in late March of a waning Nino. I'm with PSU, show a couple GFS/Euro runs in a row of snow and I'll bite. This look won't do it for us. Adjust that trof about 250 miles further S. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I’m on board too, especially with these 5 day means on the 3 major ensembles for the period of the 18th to the 23rd. I love you enthusiasm! We really need the deepest anomalies south of us though. That's a good look for New England. I'm sure they will get a couple late season snows the back half of March. @psuhoffman WIll be skiing his ass off up in Vermont after Easter lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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