psuhoffman Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Let me add to the last point…the waves will eventually progress east. But it doesn’t matter if they keep amplifying too much in the west FIRST and pumping heat ridges in front of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 45 minutes ago, Ji said: Aifs obviously has a warm bias. It will “learn” We haven’t 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 30 minutes ago, BristowWx said: What level of this sucks are we at now? Is there a suckage scale? If not there should be Much like the size of space and the universe, we are at an unfathomable level of suckage. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Here it is illustrated a different way. @brooklynwx99 Look at X and Y… it doesn’t matter Z is the same if ridge X trough Y equals trough Z AND trough X ridge Y STILL equals trough Z What pac long wave config doesn’t end up with a wave amplifying there??? or as @Ji said “what are we even doing here?” 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 46 minutes ago, BristowWx said: What level of this sucks are we at now? Is there a suckage scale? If not there should be 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Winter uncancel next year. Cansips near normal temps for Dec and Jan next winter 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 The latest Euro Weeklies still offer hope for a potentially workable pattern for the last 2 weeks of March. Maybe there still will be time to track one more period of Winter storm chances between St. Patty’s Day & Easter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Temps look to possibly cooperate as well according to this Weeklies run for the last 2 weeks of March. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Temps look to possibly cooperate as well according to this Weeklies run for the last 2 weeks of March. Just not cold enough. In late march it gotta be dark blue or green. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 The latest GEFS extended also offers hope for a period of Winter weather potential over the last 2 weeks of March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Just not cold enough. In late march it gotta be dark blue or green.Blue might be good enough if there is a storm under us 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 9 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Just not cold enough. In late march it gotta be dark blue or green. Better than oranges & reds… Time will tell, if not Spring is coming soon one way or the other. I will track it until the bitter end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 47 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Better than oranges & reds… Time will tell, if not Spring is coming soon one way or the other. I will track it until the bitter end. So 34 and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 11 hours ago, stormtracker said: Much like the size of space and the universe, we are at an unfathomable level of suckage. Given our geographical location, we have always sucked at snow. There are a few anomalous patterns that can shift the thermal boundary far enough south/east for more than a minute to give us a reasonable shot, and lately they are harder to come by. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 GFS loses interest as the source of cold air erodes to the east instead of southwest : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 13 hours ago, psuhoffman said: We have definitely gone from 'suck' to 'blow'. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 you can clearly see the pattern change by 384 hours on GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 i think JB is ready to go cold next winter after a brief lapse in judgement https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1763572698871910638/photo/2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 24 minutes ago, Ji said: i think JB is ready to go cold next winter after a brief lapse in judgement https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1763572698871910638/photo/2 89-90, 95-96, 10-11 top analogs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 12 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 89-90, 95-96, 10-11 top analogs. I heard the winter of 1784BC was biblical and a strong analog 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1 Author Share Posted March 1 3 hours ago, stormy said: GFS loses interest as the source of cold air erodes to the east instead of southwest : In a list of truly shocking developments… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 44 minutes ago, Ji said: you can clearly see the pattern change by 384 hours on GFS The pattern is changing... but I see some of the same flaws in the "better" pattern that has plagued us for years now even when we get a better longwave configuration. Add in the fact we are talking about late March and we're at the edge of when snow is even reasonably possible and that was before the current torch we've been stuck in for 9 years...I dunno man I am not saying the chances are 0. I realize crazy shit happens. Yes the pattern looks better. But by far the most likely outcome even if we do get a perfect track wave is just another perfect track rainstorm. Snowshoe probably gets a big snowstorm late March or early April. This probably saves the spring ski season for New England...but I am skeptical this does much for us locally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: In a list of truly shocking developments… I don't think the Wizards are going to win the championship this year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Reading this thread over the last few weeks, I have come to the following conclusions: 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 1 hour ago, midatlanticweather said: Yea, VERILY...let it be so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Y'all could've trimmed this by 100 posts if you'd just listen to Phil and his predictor. He said early spring but NOOOO everyone tracks patterns, agonizes over climate changes and posts historical data and analysis. Tsk tsk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 56 minutes ago, Miss Pixee said: Y'all could've trimmed this by 100 posts if you'd just listen to Phil and his predictor. He said early spring but NOOOO everyone tracks patterns, agonizes over climate changes and posts historical data and analysis. Tsk tsk. But...but I was told it would snow, and there would be big... big storms in March... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 It is late, but the later part of March is still on the teetering table. WB latest weekly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Extended range models show a rug late March. I think I'll go stand on it, seems stable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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