winterwx21 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Yeah beefier That's what we needed to see to increase confidence a little bit. Still too early to know if we're gonna get a solid 2 to 3 inch event or just get brushed with a coating to inch type of event, but this Euro run at least makes me feel better that we're not seeing a significant south trend. Hopefully NAM will come back north this afternoon or tonight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The gfs and euro are now the 2 extremes. Naturally And it's not like we can split the difference since one is literally nothing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: The gfs and euro are now the 2 extremes. Naturally And it's not like we can split the difference since one is literally nothing areas south of I-78 - 3-5 inches north of their 1 -3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: areas south of I-78 - 3-5 inches north of their 1 -3 I live on the northside of the median on 78, so 3" I guess... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 9 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: as of now closer to NYC southern Staten Island could get closer to 5 and the Bronx closer to 1 I think closer to 4 would do it for Southern SI. 5 would be a difficult reach IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Euro is nice but it being alone gives me lots of caution flags 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Euro is nice but it being alone gives me lots of caution flags Yep just like when it was alone on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Yep just like when it was alone on Monday My guess is it goes south at 18z on Friday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Euro is nice but it being alone gives me lots of caution flags rgem is not that far off though. euro is not completely on its own. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Euro is nice but it being alone gives me lots of caution flags Why? Euro and CMC are consistently a nice little hit with this. 2-4" even possible and no precip type issues. Euro suggests that this is not the last. WX/PT 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: Why? Euro and CMC are consistently a nice little hit with this. 2-4" even possible and no precip type issues. Euro suggests that this is not the last. WX/PT Pete do you mind saying more about what the Euro shows after? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 10 minutes ago, Allsnow said: My guess is it goes south at 18z on Friday It's not alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Pete do you mind saying more about what the Euro shows after? Rain 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Rain Not that far off . I think that storm has a shot. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Early call is 1-2" for me. Going to Stadium Series NJD vs. PHL Saturday. Drive up and tailgating at Metlife will be fun 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Nice little event (hopefully). Should get me into double digits on the season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 7 minutes ago, TJW014 said: Early call is 1-2" for me. Going to Stadium Series NJD vs. PHL Saturday. Drive up and tailgating at Metlife will be fun I think you'll do better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: Nice little event (hopefully). Should get me into double digits on the season. You’re in a great spot for this one 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 FWIW, still a ways out of range, 18z HRRR looks like it moved north a bit (25 mi). Tad deeper from 1005 to 1003 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 59 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Euro is nice but it being alone gives me lots of caution flags look what just happened in minneapolis 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 More moisture more chance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: look what just happened in minneapolis what happenened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, forkyfork said: look what just happened in minneapolis 1 minute ago, SBUWX23 said: what happenened? 6-7 inches for a wide area. Originally best was supposed to be south of that area 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, SBUWX23 said: what happenened? weak system came north at the last minute 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Nam will be further north this run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Nam will be further north this run Might look close to the euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Might look close to the euro 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3k looks like euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Very similar to the euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Allsnow said: 3k looks like euro slight tick in the NS buckled the entire trough. these do indeed like to amp up as you head towards game time when there isn't ample confluence 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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