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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024


wdrag
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11 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Philadelphia upgraded to WSW

If you believe some of the models today like the NAM just came out, they may be in a min between the northern fronto band and snow closer into the low. Hi-res models definitely emphasizing a rip off zone somewhere in S or C NJ between both. Anyway will be great to bump up the snowpack. Definitely some melt today especially where the sun hits. I’m thinking I-78 to 80, NYC and much of LI could be good for 3-5” based on trends today. 

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14 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

If you believe some of the models today like the NAM just came out, they may be in a min between the northern fronto band and snow closer into the low. Hi-res models definitely emphasizing a rip off zone somewhere in S or C NJ between both. Anyway will be great to bump up the snowpack. Definitely some melt today especially where the sun hits. I’m thinking I-78 to 80, NYC and much of LI could be good for 3-5” based on trends today. 

For sure there will be a band of subsidence with this setup

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7 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Ofc right in the middle of the screw zone. Can't make it up 

Who knows where that zone ends up, but there’ll definitely be a pretty narrow zone that does really well and just south gets ripped off in subsidence. This doesn’t have a ton of moisture with it and relies a lot on the mid level forcing to squeeze out juice. But all will get snow which in this winter is still a huge win. 

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