winterwx21 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 6:09 PM, Stormlover74 said: Yeah beefier Expand That's what we needed to see to increase confidence a little bit. Still too early to know if we're gonna get a solid 2 to 3 inch event or just get brushed with a coating to inch type of event, but this Euro run at least makes me feel better that we're not seeing a significant south trend. Hopefully NAM will come back north this afternoon or tonight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 The gfs and euro are now the 2 extremes. Naturally And it's not like we can split the difference since one is literally nothing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 6:19 PM, Stormlover74 said: The gfs and euro are now the 2 extremes. Naturally And it's not like we can split the difference since one is literally nothing Expand areas south of I-78 - 3-5 inches north of their 1 -3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 6:27 PM, NEG NAO said: areas south of I-78 - 3-5 inches north of their 1 -3 Expand I live on the northside of the median on 78, so 3" I guess... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 6:33 PM, NEG NAO said: as of now closer to NYC southern Staten Island could get closer to 5 and the Bronx closer to 1 Expand I think closer to 4 would do it for Southern SI. 5 would be a difficult reach IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Euro is nice but it being alone gives me lots of caution flags 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 6:47 PM, Allsnow said: Euro is nice but it being alone gives me lots of caution flags Expand Yep just like when it was alone on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 6:49 PM, Stormlover74 said: Yep just like when it was alone on Monday Expand My guess is it goes south at 18z on Friday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 6:47 PM, Allsnow said: Euro is nice but it being alone gives me lots of caution flags Expand rgem is not that far off though. euro is not completely on its own. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 6:47 PM, Allsnow said: Euro is nice but it being alone gives me lots of caution flags Expand Why? Euro and CMC are consistently a nice little hit with this. 2-4" even possible and no precip type issues. Euro suggests that this is not the last. WX/PT 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 6:55 PM, Wxoutlooksblog said: Why? Euro and CMC are consistently a nice little hit with this. 2-4" even possible and no precip type issues. Euro suggests that this is not the last. WX/PT Expand Pete do you mind saying more about what the Euro shows after? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 6:50 PM, Allsnow said: My guess is it goes south at 18z on Friday Expand It's not alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 6:58 PM, mahk_webstah said: Pete do you mind saying more about what the Euro shows after? Expand Rain 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 7:00 PM, Allsnow said: Rain Expand Not that far off . I think that storm has a shot. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Early call is 1-2" for me. Going to Stadium Series NJD vs. PHL Saturday. Drive up and tailgating at Metlife will be fun 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Nice little event (hopefully). Should get me into double digits on the season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 7:28 PM, TJW014 said: Early call is 1-2" for me. Going to Stadium Series NJD vs. PHL Saturday. Drive up and tailgating at Metlife will be fun Expand I think you'll do better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 7:34 PM, Volcanic Winter said: Nice little event (hopefully). Should get me into double digits on the season. Expand You’re in a great spot for this one 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 FWIW, still a ways out of range, 18z HRRR looks like it moved north a bit (25 mi). Tad deeper from 1005 to 1003 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 6:47 PM, Allsnow said: Euro is nice but it being alone gives me lots of caution flags Expand look what just happened in minneapolis 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 More moisture more chance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 7:46 PM, forkyfork said: look what just happened in minneapolis Expand what happenened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 7:46 PM, forkyfork said: look what just happened in minneapolis Expand On 2/15/2024 at 7:49 PM, SBUWX23 said: what happenened? Expand 6-7 inches for a wide area. Originally best was supposed to be south of that area 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 7:49 PM, SBUWX23 said: what happenened? Expand weak system came north at the last minute 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Nam will be further north this run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 8:06 PM, Allsnow said: Nam will be further north this run Expand Might look close to the euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 8:08 PM, Allsnow said: Might look close to the euro Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 3k looks like euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Very similar to the euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 On 2/15/2024 at 8:19 PM, Allsnow said: 3k looks like euro Expand slight tick in the NS buckled the entire trough. these do indeed like to amp up as you head towards game time when there isn't ample confluence 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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