40/70 Benchmark Posted Wednesday at 10:42 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:42 AM 15 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: If you remember, we had record warm SSTs across the Atlantic early last Hurricane season. I made that chart in February 2024 I think, and it was smoothed out, so the cutoff had to be 2023. But if you include last year, it would look like this: Ok, gotcha. In that case, I agree that we haven't began to see the transition, but it should be fairly imminent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago -NAO on models from the Stratosphere warming.. +15 days is about perfect time lag for this time of year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 2 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: -NAO on models from the Stratosphere warming.. +15 days is about perfect time lag for this time of year As a result of this strengthening -NAO, today’s Euro Weeklies have cooled a lot just since yesterday’s run for 4/7-13 (Masters Week): Yesterday’s run for 4/7-13 Today run for 4/7-13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 2 minutes ago, GaWx said: As a result of this strengthening -NAO, today’s Euro Weeklies have cooled a lot just since yesterday’s run for 4/7-13 (Masters Week): Yesterday’s run for 4/7-13 Today run for 4/7-13 Thanks.. it's fitting the average time lag about perfectly this time (+15 days in April vs +45-60 days in Oct/Nov!) I wonder if models have a bias at all regarding SSW's and following -NAO's.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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