jaydreb Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, AmericanWxFreak said: These models are having quite a time these days. Feels like they are getting worse… Maybe. The NAM only lost .1” of QPF for DC since the last run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Lol. Bust!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 6 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Why did you cut off the key? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Mountains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 So RAP and HRRR bust way too high last storm and now they are gonna nail this one with very little. Go figure. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 WB 3K NAM 0Z compared to 18Z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Deck pic! Snow is coming y’all. 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 I had this last night for the first time. It was really good if you like sours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Deck pic! Snow is coming y’all. And that’s probably all that DC is going to get… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 7 minutes ago, Weather Will said: It is still a few inches not winter storm warning criteria if it is correct. What does the gfs say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: Deck pic! Snow is coming y’all. I'm waxing my skis and sharpening up my shovel! Maybe a jebwalk tonight! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 4 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Why did you cut off the key? mistake 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 This thread is a weenie nightmare 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: Deck pic! Snow is coming y’all. HELL YEEEEEAAAAHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! https://www.snowshoemtn.com/media-room/skidder-slope-live-cam 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 We were forecasted 1-3” in Columbus, OH. We are at 6” and counting. Banding made a huge difference. My point is you can’t trust the models completely. 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Jesus. Look at the radar and what’s in front of us. Obsessing over models right now is wild. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, Paleocene said: This thread is a weenie nightmare This busting will hurt because a) This is probably it for the metros b) The metros will fail to go above climo and c) Next year being a Nina will probably make it a wall to wall torch for the eastern US and very well a repeat of last year. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, JenkinsJinkies said: This busting will hurt because a) This is probably it for the metros b) The metros will fail to go above climo and c) Next year being a Nina will probably make it a wall to wall torch for the eastern US and very well a repeat of last year. You need to take a break. 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, mdhokie said: I'm waxing my skis and sharpening up my shovel! Maybe a jebwalk tonight! Absolutely! Best rates of the night right now, it’s starting to really come down. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3 minutes ago, Dabuckeyes said: We were forecasted 1-3” in Columbus, OH. We are at 6” and counting. Banding made a huge difference. My point is you can’t trust the models completely. We Have A Winnah. Better look out for that HoCo/MoCo Band. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said: This busting will hurt because a) This is probably it for the metros b) The metros will fail to go above climo and c) Next year being a Nina will probably make it a wall to wall torch for the eastern US and very well a repeat of last year. Look at the positive. You guys had two over performing storms. Us in the triangle of hell have under performed in both. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 4 minutes ago, Dabuckeyes said: We were forecasted 1-3” in Columbus, OH. We are at 6” and counting. Banding made a huge difference. My point is you can’t trust the models completely. That's so awesome to hear! Congrats! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, Interstate said: Look at the positive. You guys had two over performing storms. Us in the triangle of hell have under performed in both. I know but we’ll probably have to wait until 2026-2027 for another chance at an AN snow season. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianonymous Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 47 minutes ago, konksw said: Man can we quit it with the HRRR. This is the meme that pops into my head every time i see HRRR. With any luck, now you all will do it too. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 19 minutes ago, Silver Meteor said: https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Parr's_Ridge I live on Dug Hill! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said: I know but we’ll probably have to wait until 2026-2027 for another chance at an AN snow season. There’s like 15 threads where you can complain about how it’ll never snow, just take it there. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I live on Dug Hill! You are in a very very good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 15 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 3K NAM 0Z compared to 18Z. The storm has been over performing to our west. Makes no sense. I’m skeptical. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 LWX holds serve Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 911 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024 MDZ004>006-008-011-503>508-VAZ040-501-505>507-526-171000- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0007.240217T0400Z-240217T1000Z/ Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Rappahannock-Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Northwest Prince William- 911 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow, with total accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. * WHERE...In Maryland, Frederick MD County. In Virginia, Western Loudoun County, and Northern Virginia Blue Ridge. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 5 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are possible for a few hours under the heaviest snow bands. Visibility may be reduced to less than one half mile at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The storm has been over performing to our west. Makes no sense. I’m skeptical. It almost makes me wonder if some piece of "bad" data either from an aircraft or a 0z sounding did something odd. Though I think somebody else mentioned it's been a trend for a few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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