Terpeast Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Everyone would have taken this a few days ago, when it looked like an inch or 2 was the likely outcome. BUT NOW IT FUCKING SUCKS! Euro can do some wonky shit approaching game time. I would trust the 3km NAM/GFS combo over this. I do like this euro run, as well as the gfs. The CAMs are showing pretty different outcomes. It’ll all come down to banding, which I think is more likely to set up north near the m/d line 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I do like this euro run, as well as the gfs. The CAMs are showing pretty different outcomes. It’ll all come down to banding, which I think is more likely to set up north near the m/d line Love the GFS. Can't say the same for the Euro. In the context of maximizing the potential for this storm, they are pretty far apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 https://x.com/nwsstlouis/status/1758627226227277925?s=46 There’s still hope? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 17 minutes ago, Terpeast said: 39/18. If I get rug pulled (which is increasingly likely) it won’t be because of temps It might be time for you to go to bed and stop model watching. You're kinda depressing 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 38/22 in Havre de Grace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: It might be time for you to go to bed and stop model watching. You're kinda depressing Can’t deny the trends. I’m hoping for the best just as much as the next guy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Waiting on my snow. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Forecast for my backyard Midnight - 1:30 am Rain/Mix changing to all snow. Temps drop from upper 30s to mid 30s 1:30 am - 4 am Snow then tapering off. 33-34 degrees Total accumulation 1-2" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 The HRRR can’t get the one hour radar correct. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, Deck Pic said: Forecast for my backyard Midnight - 1:30 am Rain/Mix changing to all snow. Temps drop from upper 30s to mid 30s 1:30 am - 4 am Snow then tapering off. 33-34 degrees Total accumulation 1-2" Yeah, I've become increasingly pessimistic for us. I'll prob go to bed after I see where things are going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Blend everything and it’s an easy 2-4. Not sure what the handwringing is about here, this was never supposed to last more than a few hours. Hard to get 4-6 inches that quick with a clipper type system in dc but still it’s not out the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: It might be time for you to go to bed and stop model watching. You're kinda depressing One thing I won't be doing is radar watching. No hallucinations or panicking about the back edge in sight as the first flakes fall. I'll start looking out the window a little after midnight. I might look out a few more times before going to bed and then again when I have to get up to take a piss. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, snowfan said: Waiting on my snow. Me too! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 jesus i go out to dinner and get back and the storm is canceled. That's the last time i eat 2 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Wait, have we killed the original thread and made a resurrection one yet? Might be time! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 First flakes (flurries)! 30.0/18 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 40/25 sippin’ Maker’s 46 and going to enjoy every rain drop and snowflake that falls. Life is good! 2-4” and thinking 3” is very likely Cheers! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: The HRRR can’t get the one hour radar correct. The HRRR is the spice of life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 hours ago, Miss Pixee said: For all the DC yappin' gone off the rails...just thought I'd post up this ditty. Bears reminding based on where you are. "The highest natural elevation in the District is 409 feet (125 m) above sea level at Fort Reno Park in upper northwest Washington. The lowest point is sea level at the Potomac River. The geographic center of Washington is near the intersection of 4th and L Streets NW." Topographic map below. DC is a combo of appalachian ridge and plains. Like a bowl, edges are high, middle part low. Mt parents and grandparents said the mall was swampy at one time. I saw an old pic of cows grazing on the WH lawn! Crazy stuff. NW is large areas of high elevation. SE is a staircase that keeps going up and most of the streets are hills in all directions. My neighbors can sit on their front porch and see the Cathedral in NW clear as a bell. On Howard road SE you have a clear site line to the monument like its a mile away. Wild. We now return to your regularly scheduled snow channel... If you’re not familiar with Maryland’s lidar map, it includes DC and is awesome: https://geodata.md.gov/topoviewer/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 19 minutes ago, CAPE said: Love the GFS. Can't say the same for the Euro. In the context of maximizing the potential for this storm, they are pretty far apart. Yeah, weird the drastic differences in qpf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 36/23 Not worried about the airmass. Just bring the fucking juice. Christ I sound like @WinterWxLuvr 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Yeah, weird the drastic differences in qpf We go down with the GFS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 26 minutes ago, CAPE said: Love the GFS. Can't say the same for the Euro. In the context of maximizing the potential for this storm, they are pretty far apart. Lol. If the Euro is right that's going to be a pretty big bust up around the M/D line. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, jayyy said: We go down with the GFS! Yeah that's usually how it goes 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ka60 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Clarksburg, MD @ 7:45 PM 36/17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 17 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: jesus i go out to dinner and get back and the storm is canceled. That's the last time i eat Nah, it's not canceled. Some of us are just being realist for the city. Folks will do well in the favored areas still. Storm is def not cancelled. I'm speaking for MBY. And 2 would work for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Starting to juice up. Dew point is up 3 degrees in the last hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 8 pm update my backyard: 44/20 DCA: 44/23 IAD: 41/17 BWI: 40/19 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 hour ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: 2 things. 1) They aren't really drying up right now. Yes they are. Gfs euro not worth discussing the rest when you’re not starting in reality. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Now is the time to kill the thread and start a new one. We are on life support here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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