AtlanticWx Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 37.2° right now, definitely running a bit cold. NAM 3K had us hitting 37-38° at 12 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 41/16. dark and cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 39/18. If I get rug pulled (which is increasingly likely) it won’t be because of temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 41/16. dark and cloudy.Nam nailed the dark 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 19 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Why not just a total precip map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 Why not just a total precip map?I don’t know, but I checked after and I swear it’s all of it. Storm runs through in like 3 hours. No narrative to push - I actually thought that was a good run all things considered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 16 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Everyone would have taken this a few days ago, when it looked like an inch or 2 was the likely outcome. BUT NOW IT FUCKING SUCKS! Euro can do some wonky shit approaching game time. I would trust the 3km NAM/GFS combo over this. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Why not just a total precip map? NA101 screwed me out of .05 of QPF with his shenanigans. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 42/22D currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Everyone would have taken this a few days ago, when it looked like an inch or 2 was the likely outcome. BUT NOW IT FUCKING SUCKS! Euro can do some wonky shit approaching game time. I would trust the 3km NAM/GFS combo over this. I do like this euro run, as well as the gfs. The CAMs are showing pretty different outcomes. It’ll all come down to banding, which I think is more likely to set up north near the m/d line 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I do like this euro run, as well as the gfs. The CAMs are showing pretty different outcomes. It’ll all come down to banding, which I think is more likely to set up north near the m/d line Love the GFS. Can't say the same for the Euro. In the context of maximizing the potential for this storm, they are pretty far apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 https://x.com/nwsstlouis/status/1758627226227277925?s=46 There’s still hope? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 17 minutes ago, Terpeast said: 39/18. If I get rug pulled (which is increasingly likely) it won’t be because of temps It might be time for you to go to bed and stop model watching. You're kinda depressing 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 38/22 in Havre de Grace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: It might be time for you to go to bed and stop model watching. You're kinda depressing Can’t deny the trends. I’m hoping for the best just as much as the next guy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 Waiting on my snow. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 The HRRR can’t get the one hour radar correct. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 Just now, Deck Pic said: Forecast for my backyard Midnight - 1:30 am Rain/Mix changing to all snow. Temps drop from upper 30s to mid 30s 1:30 am - 4 am Snow then tapering off. 33-34 degrees Total accumulation 1-2" Yeah, I've become increasingly pessimistic for us. I'll prob go to bed after I see where things are going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 Blend everything and it’s an easy 2-4. Not sure what the handwringing is about here, this was never supposed to last more than a few hours. Hard to get 4-6 inches that quick with a clipper type system in dc but still it’s not out the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: It might be time for you to go to bed and stop model watching. You're kinda depressing One thing I won't be doing is radar watching. No hallucinations or panicking about the back edge in sight as the first flakes fall. I'll start looking out the window a little after midnight. I might look out a few more times before going to bed and then again when I have to get up to take a piss. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 Just now, snowfan said: Waiting on my snow. Me too! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 jesus i go out to dinner and get back and the storm is canceled. That's the last time i eat 2 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 Wait, have we killed the original thread and made a resurrection one yet? Might be time! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 First flakes (flurries)! 30.0/18 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 40/25 sippin’ Maker’s 46 and going to enjoy every rain drop and snowflake that falls. Life is good! 2-4” and thinking 3” is very likely Cheers! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: The HRRR can’t get the one hour radar correct. The HRRR is the spice of life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 2 hours ago, Miss Pixee said: For all the DC yappin' gone off the rails...just thought I'd post up this ditty. Bears reminding based on where you are. "The highest natural elevation in the District is 409 feet (125 m) above sea level at Fort Reno Park in upper northwest Washington. The lowest point is sea level at the Potomac River. The geographic center of Washington is near the intersection of 4th and L Streets NW." Topographic map below. DC is a combo of appalachian ridge and plains. Like a bowl, edges are high, middle part low. Mt parents and grandparents said the mall was swampy at one time. I saw an old pic of cows grazing on the WH lawn! Crazy stuff. NW is large areas of high elevation. SE is a staircase that keeps going up and most of the streets are hills in all directions. My neighbors can sit on their front porch and see the Cathedral in NW clear as a bell. On Howard road SE you have a clear site line to the monument like its a mile away. Wild. We now return to your regularly scheduled snow channel... If you’re not familiar with Maryland’s lidar map, it includes DC and is awesome: https://geodata.md.gov/topoviewer/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 19 minutes ago, CAPE said: Love the GFS. Can't say the same for the Euro. In the context of maximizing the potential for this storm, they are pretty far apart. Yeah, weird the drastic differences in qpf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 36/23 Not worried about the airmass. Just bring the fucking juice. Christ I sound like @WinterWxLuvr 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 17, 2024 Share Posted February 17, 2024 Yeah, weird the drastic differences in qpf We go down with the GFS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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