Eskimo Joe Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 2 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said: Jeez. CMC still basically 50% drier than most of the rest it seems. Use the Canadian as the "bust" scenario and you won't be dissapointed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 Doug K going with 2-4” for basically everyone but said latest guidance could support 3-5”, up to 8” in the mountains. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 5 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Not sure if anyone posted 0z ICON Best yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 41 minutes ago, Interstate said: I thought you were joking as I was giving my obs. That is crazy the temp jump Johnstown PA had back to back hourlies of gusts to 51 several hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 Didn't realize the ICON looked that good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 HRDPS is not happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 Some pretty crazy wind gusts through frederick right now. The cold front has arrived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 Frederick spiked from 39 to 50, sumtim spooky goin on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 10 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Frederick spiked from 39 to 50, sumtim spooky goin on I jumped to 37.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 DCA jumped up to 50 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 Winds picked up with the FROPA and we're mixing out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 7 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: DCA jumped up to 50 The rain earlier that washed the brine away must have been a warm front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 yeah the wind is getting gusty here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 00z UKIE FWIW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 00Z Euro, 10-1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 @Deck Pic slightly drier 00z Euro QPF looks like? Noise I assume Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 3 minutes ago, WxMan1 said: 00Z Euro, 10-1 Zoomed in close up 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 Gefs eps 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 Looking good! Time for the sub 24 hour QPF juice up to commence 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 47 minutes ago, jayyy said: Looking good! Time for the sub 24 hour QPF juice up to commence I don’t know how much it will juice up but I think for places where the surface temps are below freezing the kuchera is under doing the ratios. The DGZ is plenty cold and saturated. Good lift. That matters more. Yea the surface temps might cut it down from 18-1 to 15-1 but somewhere that gets a combo of both cold enough and best lift will get ~15-1 to 18-1 with .3-.45 qpf that’s my 4-8” max band call right there. Where exactly that ends up is hard to say. But it’s likely near the northern periphery of the higher qpf zone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 Qpf going wrong way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 15 minutes ago, Ji said: Qpf going wrong way You just got NAMd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 Lol Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 3k is nice too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 3k is nice too Wow 3k is usually super drySent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 Do you have 12k weenie map?Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 1 minute ago, Ji said: Do you have 12k weenie map? Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 3k and 12k kuchera. But the ratios are being limited by the boundary temps. I think whoever gets under banding will do better than this thinks. Snow growth looks pretty optimal imo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2024 Share Posted February 16, 2024 3k and 12k kuchera. But the ratios are being limited by the boundary temps. I think whoever gets under banding will do better than this thinks. Snow growth looks pretty optimal imo. Thanks. While this is nice....I can't help but feel like we wasted a golden opportunity for historic this weekend Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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