stormy Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 6 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: This won't shift north (of 18z GFS) and you'll get 2.5" to 4.5" (6" WV). I am very happy to read this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 21 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Not 100% sure for DC south, even mby. If the 18z euro jumps north from 12z, I’m pulling the fire alarm on this aka "commence the unpinning!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 7 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: This won't shift north (of 18z GFS) and you'll get 2.5" to 4.5" (6" WV). in the mountains, sure—the winter storm warnings will go live tonight. but most of us don’t live there and will get 2-3”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Started a new job last week and have a data analytics class that’s taking up my time, so this system would be a nice bookend to a busy last few weeks in my world. Side note…I’m hoping Richmond gets on the board to help my snowfall forecast. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 I am hoping for five of these to help my snowfall forecast. Edited my forecast re WV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 7 minutes ago, Wxtrix said: in the mountains, sure—the winter storm warnings will go live tonight. but most of us don’t live there and will get 2-3”. Nah. I think you will do better than that. My Final call: 3-5 for everyone in this subforum with 8 inch jacks in elevated areas. Maybe double digits up around Deep Creek. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Nah. I think you will do better than that. My Final call: 3-5 for everyone in this subforum with 8 inch jacks in elevated areas. Maybe double digits up around Deep Creek. My final call: 2-4 for most in this subforum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Winter Storm Watch extended to DC suburbs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EB89 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-CECIL- CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY- NORTHWEST HOWARD-NORTHWEST HARFORD-AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH- FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-RAPPAHANNOCK-NORTHERN FAUQUIER- WESTERN LOUDOUN-EASTERN LOUDOUN-CENTRAL VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE- NORTHWEST PRINCE WILLIAM-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON- 600 PM EST THU FEB 15 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... * WHAT...HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE MOST LIKELY, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED TOTALS OF UP TO 6 INCHES UNDER HEAVIER SNOW BANDS. * WHERE...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL, NORTHERN, AND WESTERN MARYLAND, NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA, AND EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA. * WHEN...FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS MOST LIKELY FROM LATE FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH THE PRE-DAWN HOURS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. THE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS COULD IMPACT THE FRIDAY EVENING COMMUTE WEST OF INTERSTATE 81. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT UNDER THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS. VISIBILITY MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 There you go @Ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 24 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Hopefully we may not need to. Ensembles on all models have been zeroing in on our sub and looking more stable. Most years I’d be very nervous. But this year there really hasn’t been any north trend once inside 100 hours. The storms that did shift north all did it way before now. Under 48 hours the trend has been south really. Obviously every situation is different but the seasonal trend does matter some. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Why can't they just throw the city in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Most years I’d be very nervous. But this year there really hasn’t been any north trend once inside 100 hours. The storms that did shift north all did it way before now. Under 48 hours the trend has been south really. Obviously every situation is different but the seasonal trend does matter some. Don’t tell Boston about trends within 100 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 "ADDITIONAL DETAILS...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS OVERNIGHT" Sign me up!! First watch of the year here. Amazing that models have trended better once again within 36 hours. Definitely been the theme of the winter. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Divided PWC with the Winter Storm Watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Meanwhile, just over the border in York County…..nothing and a local forecast for 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
understudyhero Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 4 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Divided PWC with the Winter Storm Watch We are “northern” in Haymarket right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 4 minutes ago, anotherman said: Meanwhile, just over the border in York County…..nothing and a local forecast for 1-2. There’s a watch there now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 4 minutes ago, anotherman said: Meanwhile, just over the border in York County…..nothing and a local forecast for 1-2. From your mouth the the weather gods, you got a watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 5 minutes ago, understudyhero said: We are “northern” in Haymarket right? Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 37 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: There you go @Ji WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Still a special weather statement in the immediate suburbs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 I recently picked up a bottle of makers mark bourbon named “winter storm warning.” Not cracking it until the next time im under a wsw. Could it be tomorrow!?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 5 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Still a special weather statement in the immediate suburbs. Probably going WWA shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 being under a watch---like seeing the words Winter Storm watch and my county...electrifying! 5 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Probably going WWA shortly Pretty sure at some point this will happen across the metro areas, with an area-wide 2-4" more or less expected. But interesting the watch actually extended east and south, even into northern MoCo and HoCo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 I need an app that wakes me with an alarm any time snow rates go above an inch per hour. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 4 minutes ago, Ji said: being under a watch---like seeing the words Winter Storm watch and my county...electrifying! Back in the early 00s, with no Internet. You'd listen to the NOAA Weather Radio right as you get home from school. You've noticed that morning the forecast increased the chance of snow and the temperatures were lowered. A few wisps of cirrus were hanging low over the western horizon. Suddenly, a short pause in the radio. Then you heard it, "the following is a statement from the National Weather Service......Winter Storm Watch in effect." It's coming. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 WB 18Z EURO 10pm-4am ( actually a tick south) 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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