stormtracker Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 It’s a forum wide 2-4 job with a thin 4-6 stripe to the south 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 At 36 definitely a little bit souther but still a good run perhaps a little more snow this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 35 minutes ago, Scraff said: Can’t wait for 2nd and 3rd call… Thanks for this from DT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Damn, short pump might be the winner this time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Precip still hanging on at 39 before exiting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 where we want it 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: We root for the RGEM/NAM....Bmore roots for the ICON. You know what I'm rooting for? Forum Peace. Euro would be the peaceful solution I think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Damn, short pump might be the winner this time I hope!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Precip field actually shifted north on the GFS too. It's just farther south than other models like NAM and ICON. I'm not buying the 4-6" across northern neck and SoMD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 12 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Hoping on the Metro. Can't compare...on this AND that phone. What about the other phone? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I believe the compromise is somewhere between the ICON and the GFS at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Solution Man said: I believe the compromise is somewhere between the ICON and the GFS at this point. That wouldn’t have anything to do with the fact that would jack us 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 25 minutes ago, stormtracker said: We root for the RGEM/NAM....Bmore roots for the ICON. You know what I'm rooting for? Forum Peace. The Euro was the best, I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Latest blend. Best so far. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 8 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: where we want it The ole Fredericksburg Jack that end up a DC hummer…… its nice to look at tho, always just looking for 2” down here around EZF RR 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 7 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Precip field actually shifted north on the GFS too. It's just farther south than other models like NAM and ICON. I'm not buying the 4-6" across northern neck and SoMD. Nope that’s just fine right there. I will take that and never look back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The GFS is a little more amped at 18z and consolidates over NC. GOOD RUN! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Been a while since we’ve had a bonfide circulating clipper move under us. I’m thinking it may not hustle away as quickly as shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Interesting tweet, and digging deeper into the upper level maps, I agree. This gets us more upside in terms of qpf, but the DC metro is dangerously close to missing the best banding with this north trend. I don't think we go 4/4 on last minute south trend this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 18Z GFS Snowmaps....Sent from my Pixel 8 Pro using Tapatalk 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: where we want it I wouldn’t use 10-1 maps. Some places south will have worse ratios. Some places north better. 10-1 is going to be high in places and low is others. Kuchera is actually better for this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 22 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: If answered already then sorry but for DC proper what is onset and end time? Seeing 10 p.m. and 6 a.m. on latest guidance. could flurry to 8 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Nice to see warning level snow on the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I wouldn’t use 10-1 maps. Some places south will have worse ratios. Some places north better. 10-1 is going to be high in places and low is others. Kuchera is actually better for this one. 10:1 allows people to make their assumptions, but fair. If you really want to know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowguy66 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Why is anybody posting anything from DT? The dude is an embarrassment. He is on the wrong side of the forecast so often but that’s not the real issue. Somehow he’s allowed to make errors in his forecast on a consistent basis, but he is quick to criticize the forecast of other meteorologist, and often in such a rude way that he just makes himself look bad. He definitely has issues. I will admit I follow him, but not because of his forecast and the fact that he thinks he’s the smartest guy in the room. No I follow him because it’s a freaking train wreck. I love it when he says something can’t happen and then the next model runs it happens. Many times when the weather is not going the way he predicted somehow his server goes down or there’s another personal crisis where he can’t get on to make a post. Look things happen, but it seems very convenient that they happen when his forecast goes up and smoke. He is a joke.. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 15 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Precip still hanging on at 39 before exiting This is a W PWC special. I can feel it. Max to our south. Good lift based on that Pauly post. Yeah unless something fucks the pooch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 50 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I gotta find my map where I parodied his maps. I think I posted it last year His start time maps are the best! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 7 minutes ago, Snowguy66 said: Why is anybody posting anything from DT? The dude is an embarrassment. He is on the wrong side of the forecast so often but that’s not the real issue. Somehow he’s allowed to make errors in his forecast on a consistent basis, but he is quick to criticize the forecast of other meteorologist, and often in such a rude way that he just makes himself look bad. He definitely has issues. I will admit I follow him, but not because of his forecast and the fact that he thinks he’s the smartest guy in the room. No I follow him because it’s a freaking train wreck. I love it when he says something can’t happen and then the next model runs it happens. Many times when the weather is not going the way he predicted somehow his server goes down or there’s another personal crisis where he can’t get on to make a post. Look things happen, but it seems very convenient that they happen when his forecast goes up and smoke. He is a joke. . You new here? 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 hours ago, psuhoffman said: This has sneaky upside. It's not really a clipper, its a progressive west to east wave that partially phases with the NS. It's trending more amplified, but I think there is a limit to how far north it can shift given the boundary. Lift looks maximized in the DGZ and mid level temps are cold. Get this into the .35-.55 qpf range and this could reasonably become a 4-8" sneaky snowstorm. The latest GFS doesn't like your ideas. Only .23.- .39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: You new here? You admit that you follow him. What more needs to be said??? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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