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The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm


DDweatherman
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24 minutes ago, Ji said:

you told us all we get any now is 1 inch events or HECS and we dont do 3-6/4-8 anymore. Thats all we have done this winter! What a terrible time to go back to moderate snows when we should be getting HECS

All the STJ waves that tracked under us and could have been a big snowstorm were too warm  

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10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Oh it is, but no matter what Baltimore is only getting 5" because they aren't allowed to have warning events there anymore.  @Maestrobjwaknows  

Thought about that a little while ago...I believe we finally broke that during our first wintry week (I THINK...we ended the week with 9.1 inches so at least one of those must've been over 5). Listen, given what we could facing next winter (and the next if the next will double dip like ninas LOVE to do), and the overall uncertainty in our climo, I may not be as picky now. Gonna enjoy the moderate--although I'll still hope for the big one one day :lol:

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11 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Well this one certainly could've been one had the waves timed up better and phased more, right?

no this setup was always way too noisy to likely be a HECS event.  The way this evolved was probably one of the best scenarios we could hope for.  If this tracks right I really do think a 4-8" event is possible and short of getting lottery level lucky with a very complicated phasing scenario...that's about max potential this could have been IMO 

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Lot of models have wanted to paint this band of much lighter precip over Baltimore for several runs now and its really showing up on the HiRes stuff too... makes me a bit nervous. 

I seem to remember a storm a few years ago that did this "crab claw" thing and it became a big joke on here but it really did screw people inside the claw

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