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The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm


DDweatherman
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6 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Looks on par with Jan 19 to me, if memory serves correctly.

If this verifies or trends any bit wetter, we have a low end warning event. LWX may not go that far because its a saturday

This has sneaky upside.  It's not really a clipper, its a progressive west to east wave that partially phases with the NS.  It's trending more amplified, but I think there is a limit to how far north it can shift given the boundary.  Lift looks maximized in the DGZ and mid level temps are cold.  Get this into the .35-.55 qpf range and this could reasonably become a 4-8" sneaky snowstorm.  

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29 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

3z at the doorstep...not seeing any remarkable changes for us so far

10pm onset is utterly delicious

wrestling is over, night is not over, not sucking down coffee for a 3am onset that’s rain, had dinner with grandchildren earlier, obs thread will be stellar.  Could be woody material come crunch time !

 

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Yeah this storm has more potential than most of the storms we dealt with this year.  Coming at night, somewhat of a decent cold air supply at the right time(even if a hit and run), decent precip shield and the track. This reminds me a lot of 2013-2014 storms we encountered.  The track especially, if I were to guess, once over VA mountains we could see a nice intensifying of the storm. I do think this likely could be a general 4-8 for many as we get even closer but I will differ to the better posters on that.

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