Interstate Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: I’m just curious if you think you’re telling us something new? Did they just put the mountains there last week? Why so hostile? I am just pointing it out. Expecting it to really juice up will be hard with the orientation of the precipitation field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Just now, yoda said: 12z ICON has the two banding idea... one across M/D line other across i66 corridor... can see this on the qpf map 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Just now, yoda said: Damn. That's sexy AF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Damn. That's sexy AF Equates to a bit less snowfall though compared to the 06z run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Sold 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 3 minutes ago, yoda said: If that verifies, someone along the m/d line is getting 7”+ 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 15, 2024 Author Share Posted February 15, 2024 4 minutes ago, Interstate said: Why so hostile? I am just pointing it out. Expecting it to really juice up will be hard with the orientation of the precipitation field. Not necessarily, trying to be hostile, but most of your posts aren’t positive. This threat looks pretty solid, compared to where we started. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 I see Wes 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Not necessarily, trying to be hostile, but most of your posts aren’t positive. This threat looks pretty solid, compared to where we started. I am not being negative like the last threat. I think this will be good for 1-3 inches east of the BR with maybe some 5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Equates to a bit less snowfall though compared to the 06z run Still really close to its 6z run. Basically 3 to 5 across much of the area with maybe 6 or 7 in the area that jack pots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 36 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: NOAA has a new link for the NBM snowfall. It's really slick: https://sites.gsl.noaa.gov/desi/?chart=x4d&lat=40&lon=-105&theme=dark&timeZone=local&hourFormat=12&x4dviewState={"latitude"%3A40.5%2C"longitude"%3A-100%2C"bearing"%3A0%2C"pitch"%3A20%2C"zoom"%3A4}&dset=HREF-CONUS&clusHghlgt=true&x4dGrid={"HREF"%3A{"url"%3A[40.5%2C-100%2C388%2C270]}}&x4dMapStyle=2D&x4dMaps={"basemap"%3A{"value"%3A"Mapbox"}%2C"simpleBasemap"%3A{"value"%3A"Dark"}%2C"mapboxBasemap"%3A{"value"%3A"Satellite"}} btw be careful using that website, only do it for personal use as its non operational rn and only for testing if too many people use it and share it it might be taken down which would be a shame since its an amazing resource Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Sold Appetizer coming up before the HH main event this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 GFS time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 If these precip amounts are correct the snowfall totals are wrong 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 15, 2024 Author Share Posted February 15, 2024 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: If these precip amounts are correct the snowfall totals are wrong I agree; good 850’s, pretty good lift in the DGZ, I expect 12-14:1 ratios in places north of DC and especially I70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 You think 6" is in play for DCA? Because that would bring it's seasonal total to ~14" which is slightly above climo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: If these precip amounts are correct the snowfall totals are wrong yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 33 hours, looks like it's holding so far....money frames coming up...looks just an ass hair quicker out west. Noise level tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 I think this looks good for another region wide advisory event, would put 2-4” as a starting point for most. Still room for a bit more upside, and I think we’ll see pockets of 6”+ near the Mason-Dixon Line. Perhaps a lite version of 1/19? I wouldn’t be surprised if there was a last second tick north but most should be immune from that. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Starts at 3z. 6z light/moderate snow over the area. Looks slightly cooler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Heaviest max crept north just a smidge...now touching DC south to the northern neck. Freezing line was north of DC at 6z...now it's barely south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 42 looks tasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 12z Saturday, freezing line well south of DC. Still ongoing, but light now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Forum wide 2 to 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Just now, yoda said: 42 looks tasty How does it taste? You say this all the time and I'm curious how the model tastes? Snozzberry? 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: How does it taste? You say this all the time and I'm curious how the model tastes? Snozzberry? Tastes like iced caramel macchiatto with extra caramel 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 North of Mont county to Mappy and PSU land has less QPF, BUT colder...that's how they get the same amount we get here. OF course they are gonna score Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Just now, yoda said: Tastes like iced caramel macchiatto with extra caramel Ewww 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: North of Mont county to Mappy and PSU land has less QPF, BUT colder...that's how they get the same amount we get here. OF course they are gonna score For the record, that is genuinely not the case every time, or even most times - it might be the case with big dog cold storms but still need decent qpf in these kind of situations even up here to get decent accumulations... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2024 Share Posted February 15, 2024 Northarlington is gonna post a map that shows like 1". SV graphics are the worst 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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