Daniel Boone Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 13 minutes ago, snowfan said: Short pump scores !!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, Ji said: 1-3 is Travelors adivisory...2-4 used to be a winter storm watch I don't think so. Maybe a snow advisory. Getting a Traveler's Advisory was like when you wanted McDonalds and your parents saying "we got McDonalds at home". 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: Short pump scores !!! Beats my location. Dammit to hell! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 12Z euro tappin' the juice. We've seen it before...Sent from my Pixel 7 Pro using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: How the fuck are yalls map so different than SV. SV sucks My guess is the very low resolution of the SV maps makes it especially difficult to run an accurate snow map along the rain snow line and even worse if it's a map like Kuchera which factors in ratios. Both of those things require pretty fine details that a low resolution smoothed map would lack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 10 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Room for a north trend Just about 15 miles should do it. Let's get CHO under some dark green/blue. We've been screwed by the last two events! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, TSG said: Just about 15 miles should do it. Let's get CHO under some dark green/blue. We've been screwed by the last two events! Yeah... you guys have. I think I'm good luck for CHO. I thought the 2018-2022 winters down there were pretty decent. Maybe I need a Masters' degree... 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, TSG said: Just about 15 miles should do it. Let's get CHO under some dark green/blue. We've been screwed by the last two events! For once at least we're covered no matter whether it shifts N or S 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 The euro is picking up on something that is likely in this type of NS wave running between the polar and arctic boundaries. There are likely to be two snow maximums, one just north of the polar boundary along just north of the rain snow line and a second further north along the arctic boundary. Despite the southern max having the deeper moisture the northern one almost always ends up the actual snow max because of significantly higher ratios. That might be muted somewhat this time by warmer than normal boundary temps even along that "arctic" boundary...but even if temps are only like 30 ratios will be pretty good with the colder temps in the DGZ which is what matters most so long as surface temps are below freezing. 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 55 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Everybody ready? Told y’all the euro would be better. 6z was a harbinger 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 The euro is picking up on something that is likely in this type of NS wave running between the polar and arctic boundaries. There are likely to be two snow maximums, one just north of the polar boundary along just north of the rain snow line and a second further north along the arctic boundary. Despite the southern max having the deeper moisture the northern one almost always ends up the actual snow max because of significantly higher ratios. That might be muted somewhat this time by lower than normal boundary temps even along that "arctic" boundary...but even if temps are only like 30 ratios will be pretty good with the colder temps in the DGZ which is what matters most so long as surface temps are below freezing. Deja vu reading this — feels like a classic sort of event. Northern tier deathband, QPF jackpot south, DC snow hole? With maybe a MoCo-HoCo band in between it all? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I like that my total is higher on the Kuchera. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 There actually seems to be good overall agreement on most of the guidance leading in, with maybe Ukie as a drier outlier. Hopefully we don't see any rug pulls as we get closer. given the current outlook for the rest of winter, I'm happy to get what i can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Gfs has shown that dual-banded look as well 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 16 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I don't think so. Maybe a snow advisory. Getting a Traveler's Advisory was like when you wanted McDonalds and your parents saying "we got McDonalds at home". And getting a hot dog on a piece of white bread, that crap use to send me into a tantrum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I like that my total is higher on the Kuchera. Euro is colder also, snow falls with surface temps of 25-27 for you and me. And the high on Saturday is 33 in Winchester and 31 here. Might actually feel like winter for a minute or two. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: And getting a hot dog on a piece of white bread, that crap use to send me into a tantrum Or a hamburger with regular ass bread. Our parents traumatized us. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, stormtracker said: Or a hamburger with regular ass bread. Our parents traumatized us. toast that bread and its not half bad but then again i like to eat them like steaks...bread gets in the way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I like that my total is higher on the Kuchera. Yes sir. Not a cold air problem with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 hours ago, EHoffman said: I think we were all looking for a big dog after the insane LR hype of the past month. This seems...anti-climatic. I'm still on board for this though. All we saw from models over and over and over and over and over was monster high pressure up north staying put for weeks on end while storm after storm rolled under us. Scrap the package and redevelop it from ground zero and give us something emphasizing an actual forecast and not a myriad of 60 panels of 0-10” that we are supposed to use as “tools” . It’s a tool all right, like Eddie Haskell 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 9 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Or a hamburger with regular ass bread. Our parents traumatized us. Liverwurst 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’m thinking Saranac Lake, Conway NH, or somewhere between there and about Auburn ME Does Conway still have that Inn where the Marx brothers performed some ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 8 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Yes sir. Not a cold air problem with this one. Man shush that ish before the snow gods hear you, next run it will be 67 degrees with a rain snow line near Montreal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 13 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Gfs has shown that dual-banded look as well Definitely something legit then if the two best globals are picking up on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 34 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I don't think so. Maybe a snow advisory. Getting a Traveler's Advisory was like when you wanted McDonalds and your parents saying "we got McDonalds at home". Don't forget to move your car during the Special Weather Statement! 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Or a hamburger with regular ass bread. Our parents traumatized us. Daggone-you must be an unknown cousin or something haha. But I bet they didn’t send you to school w peanut butter and LETTUCE on white! lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: SO FAR, doesn't seem to be drier than 6z...but urging caution..that's just to our west...just about to get to us and I can better tell Randall if we get one we feel strong about then could we do Ole Ebbits happy hour before the onset? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Daggone-you must be an unknown cousin or something haha. But I bet they didn’t send you to school w peanut butter and LETTUCE on white! lol! Oh man. The abuse you suffered. At least I had tuna sandwiches... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Randall if we get one we feel strong about then could we do Ole Ebbits happy hour before the onset? I told you, I'm always down for that. You me and Zwyts...the old days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 26 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Or a hamburger with regular ass bread. Our parents traumatized us. Haha. My mom used to roll up hotdogs in a damn slice of wonder bread and call it a bun. I cant stand hotdogs to this day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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