Wxtrix Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Terpeast said: Probably automated that'd be my guess, too. it's fun to watch it add snow, but i don't think it is supposed to have a direct relationship to the actual watches and warnings, so it's pointless to freak out about it if the totals go down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Rayno talking dirty now. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 0Z HRRR slightly drier. But it will be different every run for the next 18 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3-6” area wide dc north with 8” lollies from my area over to the cohoctins and of course, 12” at mt PSU - final call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 0Z HRRR slightly drier. But it will be different every run for the next 18 hours. Will def. need to take these with a grain of salt for the next 18-20 hrs. It showed 4” in Baltimore with that last storm a day out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/12/2024 at 4:39 PM, high risk said: Goddamnit, y'all. I have literally worked as a RAP/HRRR developer, and I would still use the JMA or NAVGEM before I used the RAP/HRRR system for snow amounts. I'm not really posting this about this system, but I was reminded of it and have to give it another moment in the spotlight ...one of the best posts of the winter perhaps ever 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Kay said: I'm not really posting this about this system, but I was reminded of it and have to give it another moment in the spotlight ...one of the best posts of the winter perhaps ever No way anyone is panicking about the HRRR. And even still it has a 2-5 storm for everyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, clskinsfan said: No way anyone is panicking about the HRRR. And even still it has a 2-5 storm for everyone. I in no way meant to suggest anyone is panicking. Just seeing the letters hrrr was enough to make me remember this awesome post. I said I wasn't posting about the system 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 At this range I’m all in on the NAM. Bring it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Nam @24 a couple of ass hairs north with LP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Looks like it will be a hold but a bit north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Nice hit a 30 for the entire region 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Heavy snow @ 30 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 https://x.com/wxmvpete/status/1758305044875587626?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 While I’m posting tweets… the GRAF lolhttps://x.com/miketfox5/status/1758288335070740559?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Why’s there another sws even in the watch area? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Snow exiting @33, a little drier this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Why’s there another sws even in the watch area? lol Weird, not sure. Some overlapping going on there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: They’ll probably replace it with a new headline. Not sure why they hoisted a special weather statement in the first place, especially seeing that they hoisted a WSW soon after They replaced it with another SPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Snow exiting @33, a little drier but this time Looks like 3-4" area wide north of 50/66 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Snow exiting @33, a little drier but this time Another great run, almost 5 inches in dc on the 10:1 map. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 8 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 quick hitter, but high rates and good ratios 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1am DC 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Here's the 1.33k at 36 hours - not sure how skilled it is toward the end of the run.. It precips lightly after this. But 90%+ over. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Here's the 1.33k at 36 hours - not sure how skilled it is toward the end of the run.. It precips lightly after this. But 90%+ over. Is that 0.50 QPF in DC metro? I'm trying to differentiate the colors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Here's the 1.33k at 36 hours - not sure how skilled it is toward the end of the run.. It precips lightly after this. But 90%+ over. Freaking back edge is already visible 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, yoda said: Is that 0.50 QPF in DC metro? I'm trying to differentiate the colors I read that at least .50 qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I do like the bolded though Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 907 PM EST Thu Feb 15 2024 DCZ001-MDZ003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-502>508-VAZ025>031- 036>040-050-051-053>057-501-502-505-506-508-526-527-WVZ051>053- 161100- District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll- Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert- Central and Eastern Allegany-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke- Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper- Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania- King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Washington, Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Cumberland, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Strasburg, Woodstock, Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Lovingston, Charlottesville, Stanardsville, Madison, Orange, Gordonsville, Culpeper, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, Dahlgren, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Wintergreen, Haymarket, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 907 PM EST Thu Feb 15 2024 ...ACCUMULATING SNOW POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT... Snow will overspread the area from west to east Friday evening and exit Saturday morning. Generally one to three inches of snow is expected at this time. Localized totals upwards of four to six inches are possible wherever the bands of snow set up. Snowfall rates of one to two inches per hour are possible in these bands. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact travel Friday night into Saturday morning. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Just now, Ji said: Freaking back edge is already visible It’s accumulated precip Ji lol. And yes that’s the .5 line @yoda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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