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The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm


DDweatherman
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4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

All 10:1 maps are wrong. Most of the Kuchera as well. Multiply your qpf by 12, possibly as high as 15. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.

If the soundings look like the 3k NAM at 6-7z around DC, then I think 12:1 during that period is reasonable. 

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If the soundings look like the 3k NAM at 6-7z around DC, then I think 12:1 during that period is reasonable. 

I can’t remember the last time @MN Transplant reported in his ratios and we had more than 10:1 in and around the Beltway. That may because I have a godawful memory but I’m never counting on more than 10:1… and should probably be expecting worse.
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13 minutes ago, caviman2201 said:

Lot of models have wanted to paint this band of much lighter precip over Baltimore for several runs now and its really showing up on the HiRes stuff too... makes me a bit nervous. 

I seem to remember a storm a few years ago that did this "crab claw" thing and it became a big joke on here but it really did screw people inside the claw

The last couple of storms... The Baltimore area was supposed to be jackpotted... It never happened.  Maybe it can be reverse psychology this time too and we actually get jackpotted.

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