Chris78 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: The good stuff arrives between 9z and 12z..almost looks like a comma head type deal at 12z...was also on 6z Oooh. Keep talking.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: 2-4 with a little lollipop of 4-6 riding the beltway north of DC and toward Annapolis, lol and one just north of PSU land...he could see it from his house It's a pretty run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Deck Pic said: It's a pretty run Indeed. Solid and Sold! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 That isn't the UKMET's fault that's an issue with how the maps are generated. For whatever reason no US outlets provide quality maps for the UKMET. weathermodels.com has good UKMET maps. But I can’t support them because I found out the owner of that project blocked me on Twitter when I’d never talked to them… lol. Guilt by association I guess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 2-4 with a little lollipop of 4-6 riding the beltway north of DC and toward Annapolis, lol and one just north of PSU land...he could see it from his house One thing I like about the euro, and some other guidance trended this way some at 12z, is it's amplifying the wave just enough to get a little better moisture transport across the thermal boundary and thus has a bit more uniform precip field. It also is a flush hit with that better precip field right over our area...but it would mean less extreme winners and losers and just a more uniform snowfall across the area. Not saying there wouldn't be the 5" v 3" type variability but would probably see less 5" to 1" type differences within small geographic areas within the precip field with the euro solution. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 10:1Kuchera 9 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 If the Euro is to be believed, then it's a borderline low end warning event from DC to Mason-Dixon. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: The good stuff arrives between 9z and 12z..almost looks like a comma head type deal at 12z...was also on 6z I like comma heads. Hours of fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: 10:1 Kuchera Oh heck ya 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 @Interstate@North Balti Zen There’s our triangle on the euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 So far models are trending for the better. 36-42 hours out 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Oh heck ya I loved seeing the EURO pick up on the idea that ratios might be better than 10:1. Everything else has had a Kuchera map that’s been worse lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 It's a quick hitter...like 11 pm to 6 am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Oh heck ya 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Solution Man said: friggin awesome. if that's the last event of the season then so be it. looks like 4 inches of fun for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Looks on par with Jan 19 to me, if memory serves correctly. If this verifies or trends any bit wetter, we have a low end warning event. LWX may not go that far because its a saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: friggin awesome. if that's the last event of the season then so be it. looks like 4 inches of fun for us. Gonna be a good bourbon HH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Good luck. Let’s keep amping up the moisture. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Finally a model that understands ratios will exceed 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Good luck. Let’s keep amping up the moisture. Exactly my friend. The rest doesn’t matter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Looks on par with Jan 19 to me, if memory serves correctly. If this verifies or trends any bit wetter, we have a low end warning event. LWX may not go that far because its a saturday This has sneaky upside. It's not really a clipper, its a progressive west to east wave that partially phases with the NS. It's trending more amplified, but I think there is a limit to how far north it can shift given the boundary. Lift looks maximized in the DGZ and mid level temps are cold. Get this into the .35-.55 qpf range and this could reasonably become a 4-8" sneaky snowstorm. 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Euro looks good. I want that band north of PSU that wants to make a run at 6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 NWS has issued… a special weather statement… lol 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Saturday and Saturday night look to be a nice wintry period. Reasonably cold. Not like the garbage on Tuesday 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 My guess is the reason the snow maps from LWX made such a large jump is due to the ratios. I just think the maps we are looking at don’t have a grip on that aspect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: NWS has issued… a special weather statement… lol And Winter Storm Watches just to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: And Winter Storm Watches just to the west Those been there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 29 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 3z at the doorstep...not seeing any remarkable changes for us so far 10pm onset is utterly delicious wrestling is over, night is not over, not sucking down coffee for a 3am onset that’s rain, had dinner with grandchildren earlier, obs thread will be stellar. Could be woody material come crunch time ! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tstate21 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 9 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: NWS has issued… a special weather statement… lol I'm counting this as a "winter weather advisory watch". 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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