The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm

[Daniel Boone]

13 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Short pump scores !!!

[stormtracker]

Just now, Ji said:

1-3 is Travelors adivisory...2-4 used to be a winter storm watch

I don't think so.  Maybe a snow advisory.

Getting a Traveler's Advisory was like when you wanted McDonalds and your parents saying "we got McDonalds at home".

[BristowWx]

2 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said:

Short pump scores !!!

Beats my location.  Dammit to hell!

[IronTy]

12Z euro tappin' the juice. We've seen it before...

Sent from my Pixel 7 Pro using Tapatalk

[psuhoffman]

10 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

How the fuck are yalls map so different than SV.   SV sucks

My guess is the very low resolution of the SV maps makes it especially difficult to run an accurate snow map along the rain snow line and even worse if it's a map like Kuchera which factors in ratios.  Both of those things require pretty fine details that a low resolution smoothed map would lack.  

[TSG]

10 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Room for a north trend 

Just about 15 miles should do it. Let's get CHO under some dark green/blue. We've been screwed by the last two events!

[NorthArlington101]

2 minutes ago, TSG said:

Just about 15 miles should do it. Let's get CHO under some dark green/blue. We've been screwed by the last two events!

Yeah... you guys have. I think I'm good luck for CHO. I thought the 2018-2022 winters down there were pretty decent. Maybe I need a Masters' degree...

[IronTy]

3 minutes ago, TSG said:

Just about 15 miles should do it. Let's get CHO under some dark green/blue. We've been screwed by the last two events!

For once at least we're covered no matter whether it shifts N or S 

[psuhoffman]

The euro is picking up on something that is likely in this type of NS wave running between the polar and arctic boundaries.  There are likely to be two snow maximums, one just north of the polar boundary along just north of the rain snow line and a second further north along the arctic boundary.  Despite the southern max having the deeper moisture the northern one almost always ends up the actual snow max because of significantly higher ratios.  That might be muted somewhat this time by warmer than normal boundary temps even along that "arctic" boundary...but even if temps are only like 30 ratios will be pretty good with the colder temps in the DGZ which is what matters most so long as surface temps are below freezing.  

[WinterWxLuvr]

55 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Everybody ready?

Told y’all the euro would be better. 6z was a harbinger 

[NorthArlington101]

The euro is picking up on something that is likely in this type of NS wave running between the polar and arctic boundaries.  There are likely to be two snow maximums, one just north of the polar boundary along just north of the rain snow line and a second further north along the arctic boundary.  Despite the southern max having the deeper moisture the northern one almost always ends up the actual snow max because of significantly higher ratios.  That might be muted somewhat this time by lower than normal boundary temps even along that "arctic" boundary...but even if temps are only like 30 ratios will be pretty good with the colder temps in the DGZ which is what matters most so long as surface temps are below freezing.  

Deja vu reading this — feels like a classic sort of event. Northern tier deathband, QPF jackpot south, DC snow hole? With maybe a MoCo-HoCo band in between it all?

[WinterWxLuvr]

I like that my total is higher on the Kuchera. 

[AlexD1990]

There actually seems to be good overall agreement on most of the guidance leading in, with maybe Ukie as a drier outlier. Hopefully we don't see any rug pulls as we get closer. given the current outlook for the rest of winter, I'm happy to get what i can get.

[WxUSAF]

Gfs has shown that dual-banded look as well

[RedSky]

16 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I don't think so.  Maybe a snow advisory.

Getting a Traveler's Advisory was like when you wanted McDonalds and your parents saying "we got McDonalds at home".

And getting a hot dog on a piece of white bread, that crap use to send me into a tantrum

 

 

[psuhoffman]

3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I like that my total is higher on the Kuchera. 

Euro is colder also, snow falls with surface temps of 25-27 for you and me.  And the high on Saturday is 33 in Winchester and 31 here.  Might actually feel like winter for a minute or two.  

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, RedSky said:

And getting a hot dog on a piece of white bread, that crap use to send me into a tantrum

 

 

Or a hamburger with regular ass bread.   Our parents traumatized us.

[AlexD1990]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Or a hamburger with regular ass bread.   Our parents traumatized us.

toast that bread and its not half bad  but then again i like to eat them like steaks...bread gets in the way

[clskinsfan]

5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I like that my total is higher on the Kuchera. 

Yes sir. Not a cold air problem with this one. 

 

[WEATHER53]

2 hours ago, EHoffman said:

I think we were all looking for a big dog after the insane LR hype of the past month.  This seems...anti-climatic.  I'm still on board for this though.

All we saw from models over and over and over and over and over was monster high pressure up north staying put for weeks on end while storm after storm rolled under us.

Scrap the package and redevelop it from ground zero and give us something emphasizing an actual forecast and not a myriad of 60 panels of 0-10” that we are  supposed to use as “tools” . It’s  a tool all right, like Eddie  Haskell 

[psuhoffman]

9 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Or a hamburger with regular ass bread.   Our parents traumatized us.

Liverwurst 

[WEATHER53]

2 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I’m thinking Saranac Lake, Conway NH, or somewhere between there and about Auburn ME

Does Conway still have that Inn where the Marx brothers performed some ?

[psuhoffman]

8 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Yes sir. Not a cold air problem with this one. 

 

Man shush that ish before the snow gods hear you, next run it will be 67 degrees with a rain snow line near Montreal 

[Eskimo Joe]

13 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Gfs has shown that dual-banded look as well

Definitely something legit then if the two best globals are picking up on it.

[paulythegun]

34 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I don't think so.  Maybe a snow advisory.

Getting a Traveler's Advisory was like when you wanted McDonalds and your parents saying "we got McDonalds at home".

Don't forget to move your car during the Special Weather Statement!

[wasnow215]

17 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Or a hamburger with regular ass bread.   Our parents traumatized us.

Daggone-you must be an unknown cousin or something haha. But I bet they didn’t send you to school w peanut butter and LETTUCE on white! lol!

[WEATHER53]

1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

SO FAR, doesn't seem to be drier than 6z...but urging caution..that's just to our west...just about to get to us and I can better tell

Randall

if we get one we feel strong about then could we do Ole Ebbits happy hour before the onset?

 

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Daggone-you must be an unknown cousin or something haha. But I bet they didn’t send you to school w peanut butter and LETTUCE on white! lol!

Oh man.  The abuse you suffered.  At least I had tuna sandwiches... 

 

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

Randall

if we get one we feel strong about then could we do Ole Ebbits happy hour before the onset?

 

I told you, I'm always down for that.   You me and Zwyts...the old days

[clskinsfan]

26 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Or a hamburger with regular ass bread.   Our parents traumatized us.

Haha. My mom used to roll up hotdogs in a damn slice of wonder bread and call it a bun. I cant stand hotdogs to this day.