showmethesnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Basically done by 72. But what a run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Believe this should be the totals for the run up the coast. Could this be a Nesis3 or 4? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reale WX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 looking at WV, trough might be digging even slightly faster than models predicted. I believe that could only yield good things for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 GFS basically drives warning level snows all the way back to 81 in my CWA...impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 How often do you get major snows from almost the Gulf up to the tip of Maine. Unbelievable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 24 and 26 inches respectively from 1947. Yep, that may be tough to beat. Hope you give it a good run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 http://www.nws.noaa.gov/ Winter storm watches and warnings going up on the eastern seaboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 looking at WV, trough might be digging even slightly faster than models predicted. I believe that could only yield good things for us The Ridge is really starting to pump up in the west. I'm finding that equally as impressive as the energy diving down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Why is the nam out to sea lol on the day the storm starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Why is the nam out to sea lol on the day the storm starts DT quote time..> Maybe IT screwed the pooch? Honestly... though it did comes west...slightly ;x Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Why is the nam out to sea lol on the day the storm starts out to sea (hopefully) = out to lunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The Ridge is really starting to pump up in the west. I'm finding that equally as impressive as the energy diving down. Always felt that was the problem we had from the runs from a few days ago. Showed it to far to the east with lower heights and broader. Thought that we needed to see that stronger and sharper to get it up the coast with the ridge in that position and that's what it's doing. Of coarse, what do I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 its actually good to have something slightly out to sea, because everything else is trending so close to the coast, that if it gets any closer we will have mix issues. GFS and MM5 are almost a perfect match right now. RGEM is a big hit also. SREF trended west again. EURO trended west too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 WOW...this is the wettest run for us in the dc area since the euro was going bonkers a few days ago! snowing a decent amount at 42....still coming down and have managed to pick up between .75-1 of precip already! wake up folks! OMG. Just woke back up I'm shocked the GFS held...I expected it to come east a little bit or something NAM is garbage,,I hope, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 DT quote time..> Maybe IT screwed the pooch? Honestly... though it did comes west...slightly ;x does not look any better to my eyes. It has me concerned as I live in Edison,NJ. I want to mark it up as a 6 Z blip run but honestly it is troublesomes. makes you wonder about all the bad data and problems with the gfs runs latly per the HPC yea the euro looked awsome, but this model has been acting awful recently to poor overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RGEM...came west...AGAIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 does not look any better to my eyes. It has me concerned as I live in Edison,NJ. I want to mark it up as a 6 Z blip run but honestly it is troublesomes. makes you wonder about all the bad data and problems with the gfs runs latly per the HPC yea the euro looked awsome, but this model has been acting awful recently to poor overall Good point but.. time to counter point. 0z Euro, 0z Euro Ensembles, 0z GFS, 0z GFS ensembles, 0z GGEM, 0z RGEM, MM5, RUC, SREF ensmelbes 21z, 3z, 6z GFS all further west. Its Nam against all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 What a night bro. Can't sleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Nice shift west for the DC and Baltimore crew. Could that possibly be showing a signature of banding? 06Z 00Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 well thats interesting-- qpf field expands westward for 6z, but the 0z actually had a more expansive area of 1.5-1.75 inch qpf here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beez Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Good point but.. time to counter point. 0z Euro, 0z Euro Ensembles, 0z GFS, 0z GFS ensembles, 0z GGEM, 0z RGEM, MM5, RUC, SREF ensmelbes 21z, 3z, 6z GFS all further west. Its Nam against all... Im on the jersey shore and the latest gfs actually turns me over to a period of rain. Im hoping hoping things turn out closer to the nams depiction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Im on the jersey shore and the latest gfs actually turns me over to a period of rain. Im hoping hoping things turn out closer to the nams depiction well hopefully you get a blend. Were you turning over to rain with the 0z GFS? If not, that might be a best case scenario for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RGEM...came west...AGAIN Trying to remember 00Z. Does that that shift the low another 50-75 miles closer to the coast off the mid atlantic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Everything except the NAM was at least 50 miles further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beez Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 well hopefully you get a blend. Were you turning over to rain with the 0z GFS? If not, that might be a best case scenario for you. no....0z soundings showed all snow,,although it was above freezing at the surface. this storm is a nail biter in every way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 no....0z soundings showed all snow,,although it was above freezing at the surface. this storm is a nail biter in every way Plus its not helping that this is occuring in late Dec-- SST are still kind of mild at this point (low 40s). if it was mid Feb, a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Plus its not helping that this is occuring in late Dec-- SST are still kind of mild at this point (low 40s). if it was mid Feb, a different story. If I remember correctly with these wound up storms you always seem to have to watch for WAA infusions. So I wouldn't be surprised at some point to see sleet mixed in on the immediate coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 If I remember correctly with these wound up storms you always seem to have to watch for WAA infusions. So I wouldn't be surprised at some point to see sleet mixed in on the immediate coast. Hopefully it wont impinge accumulations too much, we had sleet mix in with Jan 96 for 3 hours and still got 22 inches lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I've got some light snow falling--- this is that first piece of energy left over from the midwest storm Yeah, there saying some light snow might make it here by this evening, making for some slick spots. Primer for the big storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mencken_Fan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This is my 8th winter in Wilmington, NC...but having lived through ~ 50 years of MD/DC/DE winters....there is one particular thing that concerns me.....CLOUDS. I love the models as much as anyone here, but over 50 years of empirical evidence tells me that cloud cover is often a critical factor in these borderline situations. I want crystal clear skies at night.....then cloud cover the moment the sun rises. Maximum night cooling; then maximum sun-blocking before precipitation falls makes a world of difference with winter storms. I wold be pleased to hear from anyone how cloud cover will play out over the southeast. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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