RedSky Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Globals probably not the guidance of choice this late in the game. Could be right but I would weigh more heavily on the mesos. Well yeah you always go with the most snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 4 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: HRRR starting to come back north a little. Current radar supports that. Looks exactly the same 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 13, 2024 Author Share Posted February 13, 2024 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Looks exactly the same For SE PA, yes, but the precip cutoff is well north. State College, Williamsport, and Scranton are close to heavy snow again. Not that it matters for this subforum but it’s a clear sign that the south trend has stopped for good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 If anything the hr³ is juicier over extreme sepa this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 13, 2024 Author Share Posted February 13, 2024 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: If anything the hr³ is juicier over extreme sepa this run. Still snowing for Philly eastward. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 2 run trend shows the QPF swath actually shifted south slightly on 23z HR3...after the last few bumps back north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: 2 run trend shows the QPF swath actually shifted south slightly on 23z HR3...after the last few bumps back north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairie Dog Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Winter Storm Warning extended to Lower Bucks Mercer County etc 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 I love the HrrRr 18hrs and under this is happening 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 WWA just got extended down to the next tier of counties to including Philly & Delco. Quote Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 723 PM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 PAZ070-071-131330- /O.EXA.KPHI.WW.Y.0006.240213T0800Z-240213T2000Z/ Delaware-Philadelphia- Including the cities of Media and Philadelphia 723 PM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Delaware and Philadelphia. * WHEN...From 3 AM to 3 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Briefly heavy snow will be possible around the time of the morning commute, with snowfall rates up to 1 inch per hour possible. There is uncertainty regarding snow amounts and how efficiently the snow will accumulate on roads, given mild temperatures with precipitation starting as rain overnight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Winter Storm Warning downgraded from 7-10in to 5-8in in the Lehigh Valley 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 DT had to redo his last call map lol It's good for us 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: DT had to redo his last call map lol It's good for us Pics or it didn't happen 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Pics or it didn't happen I'm not in the bat cave 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Some drips starting to fall... 45F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 15 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Pics or it didn't happen 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Just like claiming victory prematurely I probably shouldnt accept failure yet, but my thinking that this was too early in the pattern change and SE PA would be close but no cigar looks like an epic fail. But those are the fails I like...so yeah. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 It had Started rain/sleeting when I left work in Thorndale at quarter of 7. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 2 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: It had Started rain/sleeting when I left work in Thorndale at quarter of 7. Must be hail, it's 43F... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 13, 2024 Author Share Posted February 13, 2024 Latest RAP and HRRR back off quite a bit. I’m getting tired… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 10 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Must be hail, it's 43F... 41 according to the car...were talking like 3% sleet and big rain drops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 4 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Latest RAP and HRRR back off quite a bit. I’m getting tired… Maps (final hour version‼️)⁉️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Have been getting very light rain the past hour or so - enough to wet the walks but not enough to tip the bucket. Temp is 45 with dp 38. Had made it up to 49 for a high with a 36 low. Am concerned with icing over tomorrow night if it drops just below freezing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 13, 2024 Author Share Posted February 13, 2024 2 minutes ago, snowwors2 said: Maps (final hour version‼️)⁉️ Here’s the HRRR. The RAP is similar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Still 46°F here in Reading. Seeing some blobs here and there on the radar though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 1 minute ago, CoolHandMike said: Still 46°F here in Reading. Seeing some blobs here and there on the radar though. It's "junk and stuff". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 0z NAM is running. Guess we are just about at go-time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 13, 2024 Author Share Posted February 13, 2024 0z runs so far are not good for the Philly burbs. 3-6” now compared to the 6-12” solutions from earlier today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 0z 12k NAM is still NAMing south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 18 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: 41 according to the car...were talking like 3% sleet and big rain drops Messing w/you. Could be graupel or minor hallucinations? Happens to the best of weenies. Thinking some frozen stuff mixing in/changing by 3am for the far burbs, by 5am for mid/upper Mont/Bucks counties and 6am+ for Philly and lower Mont/Bucks counties. The earlier the better of course... 44F/light rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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