anthonyweather Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Zoomed in HRRR. I think the entire subforum would be happy with this!I retract my statement, but rap is further s then this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Heisy said: . i-95 CRUSHJOB! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Hrrr always counts mix as snow accumulation, so cut some off near city for sure, but that run legit crushed our region. That’s def a max potential map . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Just now, anthonyweather said: I retract my statement, but rap is further s then this . If the NAM comes as far south as the RAP then it’s time to start worrying a little. This thing isn’t gonna miss us like it might in Scranton, but another sizable shift south leaves us with 2-4” or 3-6” instead of 6-10”+. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 If the NAM comes as far south as the RAP then it’s time to start worrying a little. This thing isn’t gonna miss us like it might in Scranton, but another sizable shift south leaves us with 2-4” or 3-6” instead of 6-10”+.Yeah just concerning that hrrr and rap made significant jumps south after the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This is insane! I would literally be pulling my hair out if working today. Did mention over the weekend at work that this storm could be a surprise but was not sure where. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: RAP and HRRR just did. Ugh. Were even slowly losing this one up here . Shouldn't have started a thread under that name. I'm looking at you @LVblizzard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Shouldn't have started a thread under that name. I'm looking at you @LVblizzard Be thankful if this keeps going south. If I get shafted it means you get hammered! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Zoomed in HRRR. I think the entire subforum would be happy with this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, MGorse said: This is insane! I would literally be pulling my hair out if working today. Did mention over the weekend at work that this storm could be a surprise but was not sure where. Hrrr looks 83ish with that band and those rates down this way. Ffs make this the one time it verifies lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, LVblizzard said: Be thankful if this keeps going south. If I get shafted it means you get hammered! I know this sir. I hope we can all cash in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Hrrr looks 83ish with that band and those rates down this way. Ffs make this the one time it verifies lol I was 9 years old in that storm in 1983, but I think this is a wee bit different set up. This trend here is unprecidented, fun, unexpected but the temps??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: I was 9 years old in that storm in 1983, but I think this is a wee bit different set up. This trend here is unprecidented, fun, unexpected but the temps??? While rates can overcome marginal temps and warm grounds....this could well be a classic case of elevation playing havoc with totals. I have seen 6" of snow at my spot and drive 1 mile away down 250 ft and only see 3" of snow with a temp at 32-33 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 11 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: I was 9 years old in that storm in 1983, but I think this is a wee bit different set up. This trend here is unprecidented, fun, unexpected but the temps??? HRRR is 32-34F during the heaviest rates...that'll definitely accumulate regardless of how warm it has been leading up to the storm. This sort of set up reminds me of March 7-8th 2018... we were light rain until the heavier echoes moved in then BAM 5-6 hours heavy snow/thundersnow..all surfaces caved despite temps 32-34 during the day...got 9 inches of concrete at 6-7:1 ratio's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Just now, The Iceman said: HRRR is 32-34F during the heaviest rates...that'll definitely accumulate regardless of hour warm it has been leading up to the storm. This sort of set up reminds me of March 7-8th 2018... we were light rain until the heavier echoes moved in then BAM 5-6 hours heavy snow/thundersnow..all surfaces caved despite temps 32-34 during the day. Was March 7-8 the storm that knocked out power to much of eastern PA? I remember that clearly, I was in the Poconos for it and the forecast was 1-3”, instead we got over 6” with blizzard conditions at times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: While rates can overcome marginal temps and warm grounds....this could well be a classic case of elevation playing havoc with totals. I have seen 6" of snow at my spot and drive 1 mile away down 250 ft and only see 3" of snow with a temp at 32-33 I am 100% in your camp. Literally where I live I could have 9" at my house half mile away drop 100 feet be at 3" I get you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Was March 7-8 the storm that knocked out power to much of eastern PA? I remember that clearly, I was in the Poconos for it and the forecast was 1-3”, instead we got over 6” with blizzard conditions at times. Yup! One of my favorite storms the last 10 years. I'm actually pretty sure temps were above freezing the entire event IIRC at least down here by 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Was March 7-8 the storm that knocked out power to much of eastern PA? I remember that clearly, I was in the Poconos for it and the forecast was 1-3”, instead we got over 6” with blizzard conditions at times. Ended up with 11.5" of snow with that one with a temp that never went below 32.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 18z NAM continues the south trend and it is a total crush job. Looks like the HRRR. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Man 3/4 of PA is in for a rude awakening . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18z NAM... everybody happy! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Meanwhile the 3km becomes good friends with the UKMET. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This is a real nailbiter Jesus. Gonna have to live and die with the radar I suppose . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Already told the boss I wouldn't be in tomorrow. He had no idea there was even a storm coming! Most of my coworkers live in Chester/Del counties, soo... I bet there'll be a mad rush for bread and milk after the evening news. It's been a while for many folks. Time to crack open an adult beverage and let the tracking commence! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 9 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Meanwhile the 3km becomes good friends with the UKMET. What a massive shift in 24 hours. This will be fun to watch if it verifies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Snow time window is rain to snow around 5am and the snow ends around 12pm A real early fast hard hitter that tend to cause the most problems 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said: Already told the boss I wouldn't be in tomorrow. He had no idea there was even a storm coming! Most of my coworkers live in Chester/Del counties, soo... I bet there'll be a mad rush for bread and milk after the evening news. It's been a while for many folks. Time to crack open an adult beverage and let the tracking commence! Family member said they heard one inch maybe two and it's so warm it will be melted away in a couple hours they have their mind made up thanks to their accu weather/weather bug lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Zoomed in 18z NAM - NWS has moved my local forecast up from 1" to 3" to 2" to 4" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Put this in the other thread. Seems all the models have shifted the low a touch east over the past day or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: Family member said they heard one inch maybe two and it's so warm it will be melted away in a couple hours they have their mind made up thanks to their accu weather/weather bug lol Exactly what my Wydmoor sis said to me about an hour ago when I gave her a warning... It's 48 here right now with dp 36 so it would be hard to justify a paste job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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